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The mirror makes the ridiculous claim that most of England will be underwater by 2100 – Watts Up With That?


From everyday skepticism

VIA CHRIS MORRISON

The Great Climate Flood Sting has caught another big media fish. Recently the Mirror get the news Readers bewildered, if it disappears quickly, that much of London could disappear within 80 years, while large areas along the Humber and Midlands could disappear under the waves as well. Mirror Correspondent Sam Elliott-Gibbs notes the existence of “scary new maps” of the UK that predict towns and cities “will disappear into the sea”. Regular readers of daily skepticism may have observed the work of Climate Central, an activist group backed by green billionaires specializing in customized flood disasters, often aimed at the local media.

Elliott-Gibbs informed his readers that the situation was bleak for many along the Humber – including Hull – “as the area became completely flooded, with a large portion of the Midlands also submerged. “. The Mirror printed a “terrible” map showing water flooding into Peterborough. The current annual rate of sea level rise is estimated by the NOAA Satellite Altimeter Laboratory at 3.1 mm, with an error of 13%. The hull is 4 meters above sea level, so with the current sea level rise, it will take 1,290 years to “fully submerge”. At eight meters above sea level, current sea level rise would leave Peterborough without water for nearly three millennia.

These ludicrous projections, based in part on an unlikely increase in high temperatures, assume that sea levels are rising 30 times faster than they are now. “If sea levels are in line with current projections, other parts of the country could be in big trouble,” Elliott-Gibbs noted. Coastal towns in Hampshire, Essex, Sussex and Kent are all thought to be at serious risk. The bigger picture doesn’t escape Mirror one in two. Belgium, Germany, Northern France and half the Netherlands are “expected to be underwater by 2100”.

Climate Central is well funded green agitprop operations based in Princeton, New Jersey that provided material for Mirror story. Elliott-Gibbs explicitly notes that the Climate Center “provides authoritative information to help the public and policymakers make informed climate and energy decisions.” Meanwhile, the operation claims to work with news outlets, “to create stories that stand out that are compelling and scientifically accurate.” For flood stories, it offers a free interactive map and web tools commonly used by local media to create custom disaster replicas.

Earlier this year, the Wiltshire Times report that large areas of south-west England could be underwater by 2050 due to global warming. Among the sites that may be lost is Gloucester Cathedral, located at an altitude of 19 meters. Last year, the echo of Dorset notice to its readers that water would soon flood the village of Lytchett Minster, just 17 meters above sea level.

Climate Central appears to be heavily supported by the Schmidt Family Foundation – funds were initially provided by Eric Schmidt, former CEO and President of Google. Serving on the board is Carl Ferenbach from the High Meadows Foundation and Foundation. The flood project is said to be funded by 12 Foundations, including Schmidt and Prince Albert of Monaco. Among the academic activists involved was Michael Oppenheimer, Professor of Geosciences and International Relations at Princeton University. Oppenheimer is known for once note: “We can’t let other countries have the same number of cars, the same level of industrialization as the United States. We must stop these Third World countries in their place.”

Rising sea levels are an easy hit for disaster forecasters. It is difficult to get an exact global number, even with the help of orbiting satellites. When ice melts over large land surfaces like Greenland, a huge weight is lifted and the surrounding land rises above the Earth’s mantle. This is seen in Oslo, which is currently rising 3 mm per year above sea level due to the melting of ice over thousands of years during the ongoing glaciation. It is sometimes said that the recent melting of ice in Greenland has increased sea levels by 1mm per year. But recent evidence over the past decade suggests this process has slowed, with likely the real iceberg increase size in the year to August 2022.

In his recent 2021 climate status report, Professor Ole Humlum notes the difficulties around accurately measuring sea level, even with the help of satellites. It’s an inexact science, with soil gauges showing lower gain in the 1-2mm range.

Regardless of the increase, not even barely enough to register a longer trend going back to the ice age about 14,000 years ago. in detail 2019 report On sea level and climate change, the American writer and climatologist Judith Curry concluded that recent sea level changes “are within the natural range of sea level fluctuations in the few thousand last year”.

Mirror, mirror on the wall

Who is the least questionable of all of us?

Chris Morrison is the daily skepticism‘S Environment Editor.

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