NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks Week 11: Expert advice on favorites, uncertainties to consider in trust groups, office groups
If you’re still running in NFL teams and picking your survival teams, then congratulations. The past few weeks have been crazy, even by NFL standards, and chances are things aren’t going to get any easier. Luckily, the experts from TeamRankings are here to provide some strategic advice and tips for your NFL Week 11 picks.
Picks that are undervalued by the public can yield weekly returns, making the difference between victory and loss in the season-long NFL pool, while clever nasty picks can yield success in the weekly group. TeamRankings is the only site that offers customized picks to maximize your advantage in the NFL’s picks pool. Check out TeamRankings’ Football Selection Choice, NFL Survivor’s Pick, and NFL Betting Options. For a limited time, you can also get a three-day free trial of all their premium soccer selections.
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Week 11 NFL Pick Them Team Pick: Tips, Strategies
How We Determine NFL Week 11 Value Picks
This article was written on a Wednesday, but if the odds of winning and picking the popular numbers stay the same, the teams below all offer an attractive risk-on-reward balance to distinguish the picks. Your 11th week with your team’s opponents.
It’s important to note that we don’t necessarily say you should all of of these options. In particular, some nasty options can pose unnecessary risk to your team, even if they’re technically undervalued. You need to accept the overall level of risk with options that fit your pool size and rules. Seasonal stretch groups often require more conservative choices than one week groups. If you want our individual game picks for all your specific groups, use Football Choose ’em Choose a product.
Note: Winning odds and pick popularity estimates below may vary between publication and start time. If you want the latest numbers, Our products updated several times per day.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
Point difference: +2.5
Choose popularity: 29%
Type: Gamble Value in Weekly Contests
For most of the past two years, the Seahawks have been overvalued in the pick pools, leaving us with some value picks against them. However, the situation has changed with Seattle’s recent struggles. Russell Wilson played badly in his first game back with a finger injury, completing only 50% of his passes, averaging four meters per pass and throwing two expensive interceptions in the red zone. Seattle was first closed when Wilson started.
Poor performance on television broadly means some worth of mild discomfort this week. Wilson should be well over a week away from his return.
WEEK 11 USE DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo!
New Orleans Saints at the Philadelphia Eagles
Point difference: +1.0
Choose popularity: 43%
Type: Bounce is not common
The match between Saints-Eagles is one of the closest matches of the week. We had both value matches last week, and the Eagles came through with a road win while the Saints made a short appearance. However, the Saints were afflicted by a rough passerby call, which lost their ability to intercept in the red area and allowed the Titans to score a vital takedown.
This week, the public wasn’t surprised to support the winning team, but our models are somewhat tilted towards the Saints. They have one of the NFL’s best rushing defenses and face a team built around running the ball.
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Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers
Point difference: +2.0
Choose popularity: 21%
Type: Gamble Value in Weekly Contests
We’ll be staying at the Vikings after they were a valuable road game against the Chargers last week. They are slightly better than their record, as they have some close, late holes. Our season-predicted ratings have Green Bay 2.7 points better on neutral ground, but this one is in Minnesota. The perceived disparity between these two teams is largely driven by close performances, with the Packers being 3-1 in their last games and Minnesota being 3-5.
In weekly competitions, taking the relatively unknown Vikings in this competitive game is a game of value.
WEEK 11 PPR ASSESSMENT:
Midfielder | Run back | Wide receiver | Tight ending | VND / ST | Kicker
Cleveland Browns vs Detroit Lions
Point difference: -11.5
Choose popularity: ninety four%
Type: Big favorite at a fair price
Cleveland is one of the three double-digit favorites this week. But while 94% of the public is choosing the Browns, 99% is choosing the Titans against the Texans. While nasty picks are rare for both games, an entry is six times more likely to give the Lions a chance against the Browns, likely due to recent trends.
If you’re in the confidence score group, it might make sense if you have the Browns as one of your top score plays. There may be enough skepticism after last week’s loss to push them down for more confidence score entries. Add to that that Jared Goff is not guaranteed to start this game, and the path has gone in favor of the Browns, making Cleveland a valuable game despite its high win rate.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys
Point difference: -2.5
Choose popularity: 56%
Type: Favorite value
We were in Kansas City for a value game last week and will be back this week again. The Chief is a small favorite, but the public is pretty even.
Sticking with the preferred Chiefs is a move in both weekly and seasonal groups if the public will be relatively divided on the issue.
NFL Week 11 Survivor Team Picks: Most Popular Picks
Here are the most popular survivor picks for Week 11:
- Tennessee Titans (48% popular) vs Houston Texans
- Cleveland Browns (22) vs Detroit Lions
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9) vs. New York Giants
- Los Angeles Chargers (6) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- San Francisco 49ers (4) at Jacksonville Jaguars
You can check ours Analysis and selection of week 11 and get our customized selection recommendations if you’re still competing in the survivor pool.
Get All of Our NFL Week 11 Picks
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From a strategic perspective, game theory is a fundamental aspect of winning in selection pools. In a nutshell, to win the pick ’em pool, you have to score points that your opponent misses. That means you need to identify unpopular picks that are worth a calculated bet and avoid trendy nasty picks that aren’t worth the risk. Our product does all that for you, 71% of our subscribers say they’ve won prizes in soccer pick competitions.
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Good luck in your pool this week!
