The US will be “carbon-free in electricity by 2035”… A failed prediction in real time! – Is it good?
Guest “From the Famous Failure Prediction Files” by David Middleton
ENERGY Published 5 days ago
John Kerry says US ‘will be coal-free by 2030’
Climate tsar John Kerry declares America ‘will have no coal plants’By Kyle Morris | Fox News
WE climate Special Envoy John Kerry said on Tuesday in Scotland that the US, which prides itself on being the largest country in the world economy, will stop burning coal within the next nine years.
“By 2030 in the United States, we will have no coal,” Kerry told Bloomberg editor-in-chief John Micklethwait in a press release. interview at the COP26 climate conference in Glasgow. “We won’t have a coal plant.”
Discussing the transition from coal, Kerry highlighted that the market is the driving force behind more cost-effective energy sources such as renewables and natural gas. Kerry also reaffirmed her support for Biden ManagerThe goal is to eliminate them all carbon emissions from the US grid by 2035.
“We’re saying we’re going to be carbon-free in electricity by 2035,” Kerry said. “I think that’s leadership. I think that’s an indication of what we can do. ”
[…]
Meanwhile, at the Energy Information Administration…
ANNUAL ENERGY OUTLOOK 2021
Release date: February 3, 2021 | Next release date: January 2022 | AEO narration
Annual energy outlook 2021
NS Annual energy outlook presents the US Energy Information Administration’s assessment of the energy market outlook to 2050.
Annual Energy Outlook Report
NS Annual energy outlook Narrative is the main discussion of Annual energy outlook:
[…]
I downloaded it Electricity PowerPoint. This is slide #2, as it appears in the report:
Here is the expanded left panel:
Here is the same dataset, rendered more realistically:
“We are saying we will go carbon-free in the electricity industry by 2035 2050…”
Not only will we “be carbon-free in electricity by 2035,” but will generate nearly as much “carbon” electricity by 2050 as we do today.
Even with the EIA’s optimistic forecasts, unreliable energy sources will only account for the overall growth in electricity demand over the next 30 years.
The downside is that the grid will be degraded from ~90% reliable to ~60% reliable.
The EIA’s base-case outlook would cost the US power grid resilience, while barely reducing GHG emissions. They will achieve nothing but making energy more expensive and less reliable.
John Kerry’s energy forecasts are what one would expect from someone who barely got a D in geology.
But he almost got a B in French.
John Kerry won the Geico Cavemen….
“Ouais la prochaine fois peut-être faire une small recherche”
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