Reality cannot penetrate the fantasy world of climate campaigners – Would you stand out for that?
Just a few weeks ago when the United Nations International Energy Agency released its Report on “CO2 emissions by 2021.” (The report is not dated, but just “March 2022.”) I presented the IEA Report in my previous post a few days ago. The report details the obvious fact that world CO2 emissions, after a slight decrease in 2020 due to the Covid pandemic, have continued to increase rapidly, mainly due to the massive deployment of sources coal-fired power generation in developing countries with large populations. like China and India.
In any reasonable world, this Report would have to quell any lingering dreams of climate campaigners that worldwide CO2 emissions would be invisible except for a massive increase in emissions. take place in the near future. Climate-obsessed jurisdictions in the United States and Europe already represent only a dwindling minority of the world’s energy consumption, which will be negligible given the world’s populous nations are shrinking. development participates in the fossil fuel era. For example, why would a country with a small population like New York – with about 20 million people, compared to about 2.8 billion for the combination of China and India, and with Existing fossil fuel generation capacity is about 25 GW – struggles to reduce fossil fuel electricity generation by one GW per year, when China alone will add 38 GW of coal-fired power plants this year and 47 GW next year, with hundreds of gigawatts of coal plants already in the pipeline?
The answer is that it is practically impossible to penetrate the fantasy world of climate campaigners.
To prove my point, another United Nations agency, IPCC, published its own Report yesterday titled “Climate Change 2022: Mitigating Climate Change”. This is the result of the so-called IPCC Working Group III, part of the “AR6” assessment report dealing with “mitigation” strategies. In total, this new Report has approximately 3000 pages. For those who can’t get past that kind of volume, here it is Summary for policymakers; and this is Press Release; and here’s a piece at Bloomberg titled “Five points from the latest 3,000-page UN Climate Report.”
Let’s start with the press release. The title is “The proof is clear: it’s time to act. We can halve our emissions by 2030.” A few interesting excerpts:
Without immediate and profound emissions reductions across all sectors, limiting global warming to 1.5°C is out of the question. However, there is growing evidence for climate action, scientists said in the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published today. . . . “We are at a crossroads. The decisions we make now can ensure a livable future. We have the tools and know-how needed to limit warming,” said IPCC President Hoesung Lee. “I am encouraged by the climate action being taken in many countries. There are policies, regulations and market instruments that are working. If these are scaled up and adopted more widely and equitably, they can aid in deep emissions reductions and stimulate innovation.”
Okay guys, how exactly are you going to “halve emissions by 2030” with China going all out to build new coal plants on a scale far beyond anything. the world has ever seen, and India (with a population close to that of China) is not far behind, and the rest of Asia and all of Africa are waiting in the wings? You will not find the answer. Go through press releases and SPM and all you see is to be careful not to mention the development plans of places like China and India. Even the names “China” and “India” seem to be on some taboo list. For example, here from SPM is a graph of total world GHG emissions since 1990:
East Asia? I wonder who that could be.
As you would expect from these people, there is a common claim, based on a completely deceptive “cost equality,” that generating electricity from wind and solar is now cheaper or cheaper than producing electricity from electricity. fossil fuel. Four “renewable” technologies are considered: onshore wind, offshore wind, solar photovoltaic and concentrated solar power. From page 14 of SPM:
By 2020, the cost of energy equality (LCOE) of the four renewable energy technologies could compete with fossil fuels in many places. . . . LCOE. . . includes installation, capital, operation and maintenance costs per MWh of electricity produced. The document uses the LCOE because it allows a consistent comparison of cost trends across a range of energy technologies.
The SPM does mention that the LCOE “does not include grid tie costs”, but does not note that that is almost certainly a large multiple of what is included in the LCOE measure.
So you might be thinking, this can’t fool anyone. If so, you are not understanding the depths of ignorance and incompetence that pervade our ruling class in New York. As I reported before back in december, our City Council just passed a new local law banning any new buildings from using natural gas for heating or cooking starting in 2024 for smaller buildings and 2027 for with larger buildings. It was just the City, but now the entire Clan wants to be in the game. Are from Reuters yesterday:
New York Governor Kathy Hochul will soon announce a budget that will likely include a plan to make New York the first state to ban natural gas and other fossil fuels in new construction, according to Food & Water. Watch and other environmental groups. . . . In his State of the State speech in January, Hochul pledged to “no onsite greenhouse gas emissions for new construction no later than 2027.”
Read the full post at MANHATTAN CONTRARIAN
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