HT / Garbage Science for the title.
Originally tweeted by Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) above September 29, 202
The NY Times article on the link between Hurricane Ian and climate change is interesting.
Their data analysis for Cat 4/5 begins in 1980 for the Atlantic with a 20-year moving average.
Why not go back further?
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/29/briefing/hurricane-ian-storm-climate-change.html
There is no statistical or physical reason to create a chart or analyze data only about Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1970 or 1980.
We have a record of data from the 19th century, with reasonable confidence going back to 1945, especially with regard to landings.
Consult the leading agency for Atlantic hurricane research: NOAA.
They brought together multiple task forces, assessments and workshops to reach consensus on Atlantic hurricanes and climate change.
A very detailed site is here:
https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/
There is no firm evidence of a century-scale upward trend in:
Hurricanes making landfall in the United States, frequency of hurricanes or hurricanes, or percentage of hurricanes reaching hurricane strength.
This conclusion is based on a Research paper in the journal Nature from the summer of 2021 from leading climate scientists in the entire field.
So instead of citing clear and convincing scientific consensus, the NY Times substituted its own story. Sorry!
“Things to Know About Ian and Climate Change.”
Not much.
Originally tweeted by Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) above September 29, 2022.
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