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No, NPR, Climate Change is not ‘…Make the weather more extreme’, nor should it be in the Daily Weather Forecast. – Watts Up With That?


Via Anthony Watts

Originally posted at ClimateREALITY

Rebecca Hersher recently produced an article for National Public Radio (NPR), titled “Climate change is making the weather more extreme. Why don’t most forecasts mention it?” The article is just one more example of journalists acting as climatologists, making false claims based on other media reports rather than actual known science. .

Many of the assertions Hersher makes in her paper are clearly false. Beyond that, there is no obvious benefit to adding the wrong climate connection to the Country. Weather Service (NWS) reporting, forecasting and alerts.

Real-world data refute Hersher’s false claim that Climate change is making the weather more extreme.

Climate science admits that weather and climate operate on very different time scales, 30 years from hour to date. Contrasting and contrary to reality, journalism seems to actually believe that climate is equivalent to weather.

One of the most common extreme weather claims is that hurricanes are getting worse and more frequent due to climate change. Three streams of evidence: tropical storm accumulated energy, frequencyand research (see table 1 below) shows this claim to be false. The data show that the storms did not increase in number or intensity during the recent period of moderate warming.

Like tornado, no increase. The list of extreme weather that has NOT increased as a result of the supposed effects of climate change is quite large and well documented.

For example, AR6 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Chapter 11, Weather and Climate Climate Change Extreme Eventsdraw a conclusion, summarized in Figure 1, illustrating the fact that changes in the number and intensity of extreme weather events have not been detected, nor have any changes been reported. is caused by anthropogenic climate change:

weather events detect Attribution
Increased flooding No No
Increased meteorological drought No No
Increasing hydrological drought No No
Increased tropical cyclones and hurricanes No No
Winter storms increase No No
Increased thunder No No
Increased hail No No
lightning surge No No
Increased strong wind No No
Figure 1. Summary table showing the lack of severe weather event allocation from Chapter 11 of the IPCC AR6 report.

It is clear from the data and research that there is no evidence that any particular weather event is directly driven (or enhanced) by so-called anthropogenic climate change from the amount of climate change. carbon dioxide rises in the Earth’s atmosphere. The IPCC Compendium of the State of Global Climate Science makes no such attribution. You would think that journalists would be more accepting of this than writing falsehoods based on a belief system.

Regarding the second point Hersher makes in his title: Why don’t most forecasts mention it?

It’s really simple – it’s not part of the NWS mission statement:

Mission of the NWS

Provides weather, water and climate data, forecasting, warning, and impact-based decision-making services to protect lives and property and strengthen the national economy.

Their mission is to provide climate data, not climate forecasts, which is not possible. The mission of the NWS is to provide actionable weather-focused data on a short time scale, rather than trying to predict the region’s overall climate for the next 30 years into the future.

Even if the NWS did provide some kind of climate component, what value would it bring to the public?

For example, what if future NWS tornado warnings looked like this:

The National Weather Service in Dallas Texas has issued a climate enhancement Tornado warning for Dallas and Tarrant counties, including the cities of Dallas, Irving, Arlington and Garland, through 3 p.m. CST.

Adding “climate” to the warning does not work at all. It does not provide any new information, nor does it provide any measure of intensity, severity, or duration. All it does is add an unhelpful nod to the climate narrative to appease people like Hersher, who wrongly believe there is some connection between climate and tornadoes, when the data and Research indicates that no such association exists.

When people face a natural disaster like a tornado, they need immediate and helpful information to help them survive, not useless and irrelevant labels that suggest that people are at fault. a particular storm.

Hersher simply doesn’t do the job of a journalist. She chose to promote a link between weather events and climate change that is thought to be caused by humans, when none exists. In the process, she omitted relevant facts that demonstrated no upward trend in inclement weather.

She chose to defend honest reporting, a shameful violation of journalistic professionalism.

Anthony Watts

Anthony Watts is a senior fellow for environment and climate at the Heartland Institute. Watts has been in the weather business both in front and behind the camera as an online broadcast meteorologist since 1978 and now does daily radio forecasts. He has created graphical weather display systems for television, specialized weather instruments, as well as co-authored articles on climate issues. He runs the world’s most viewed website on climate, the award-winning website wattsupwiththat.com.

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