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Review of the week – climate edition


by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my attention in the past few weeks

This is important. ‘Forced Freshwater Cycle Overturning Atlantic Meridian Revisited’ nature.com/articles/s4155 – ‘AMOC may not be as sensitive to FW flows and Arctic sweetening as currently projected at the end of the twenty-first century’

Changes in water supply due to global tree restoration [link]

International satellite to monitor the impact of small ocean currents [link]

The 60-year-old scientific tool that helped Covid kill [link]

Salt plague: the dual threat of warming and rising salinity [link]

Marine heat waves off Central and Southern Chile: Understanding the compulsion mechanism in 2016-2017: [link]

Saravanan: How to judge a beauty model contest? Performance metrics and attribution metrics [link] Note: this is the best new climate science blog I’ve seen in a while.

Climate control of terrestrial carbon exchange between biomes and continents doi.org/10.1088/1748-9

The new CMIP6 group of climate models has too many highly climate sensitive models. A new commentary argues that end users need to take that into account in impact studies. [link]

How well do we understand the land-ocean-atmosphere carbon cycle? [link]

Global ocean memory decline in the 21st century [link]

The ocean is still sucking up carbon – maybe more than we think [link]

‘Natural fluctuations’ The driving reason for Gulf Stream changes climatechangedispatch.com/study-natural- The North Atlantic is cooling – a striking contrast to most ocean areas. , natural fluctuations are the main reason for this cooling.

Transform environmental research to avoid tragedy [link]

People’s visualizations of how forests are growing – supporting forest health, bushfire resistance, wildlife habitat research [link]

Did volcanoes accelerate the fall of Chinese dynasties? [link]

First time discovered underground water geyser under Antarctic ice line. scripps.ucsd.edu/news/groundwat

Predicting slowdown of decadent climate warming trends with explainable neural networks [link]

How is the ocean’s anthropogenic carbon reservoir filled? [link]

Improved temperature reconstruction from ice core-water isotope records. cp.copernicus.org/preprints/cp-2

A new clue to the collapse of the Antarctic ice shelf [link]

A new way to assess the global warming potential of short-lived pollutants [link]

“Winter and spring climates explain a large part of the annual variation and trends in the western US summer fire zone” iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108

Climate change and future pandemics [link]

The Vikings in Greenland may have disappeared because of a lack of water [link]

Global carbon budget 2021 [link]

Surface warming, not wind variability, is the primary mechanism for changes in ocean currents. [link]

Solid evidence for effective aerosol reversal in reducing climate forcing [link]

How a 18.6-year lunar cycle might slightly affect climate through the regulation of ocean tidal mixing (in a model) – egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022

The risk of wildfires in California is… complicated. Lots of influences compete to untangle, as in this example the precipitation forecast is up to 30% + increase in 2100. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/20

Two levels: history of the speed limit of climate change [link]

Global warming is accelerating ocean currents. This is why [link]

Observation and determination of surface radiation force by CO2 [link]

Hot springs hint at how the Tibetan Plateau became the roof of the world [link]

linking astronomically-driven climate change to human evolution. [link]

The Mystery of Methane [link]

The Arctic is much warmer 6000 years ago 90% of the glaciers are smaller [link]

Technology and policy

Must Read: The New Geopolitics of Energy [link]

The US has more clean energy projects planned than the grid can handle [link]

Is behavioral public policy a distraction from the search for systemic solutions? [link]

Vaclav Smil’s new must-read book “How the world really works: The science behind how we got here and where we’re going” [link]

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World’s first electrochemical ocean CO2 removal plant in operation [link]

About science and scientists

Smarter people are more likely to endorse free speech. Journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.117

“It will take more than professional options… to get our country back to a place where we can disagree without wanting to ruin the lives of those with whom we… disagree. [link]

Break the sure trap [link]

On effective activism and honest wisdom [link]

Remove the intellectual boundaries of the ivory tower [link]

Musk, twitter and moderation [link]

Elon Musk: “He made very consumer products in a way that offended the sensitivities of climate activists who think we need austerity. He wants people to have a high-consumption and low-carbon lifestyle, and it just creates too much friction.” [link]

Scientific conclusions do not need to be accurate, proven or believed by their authors. philpapers.org/archive/DANSCN

Diverse perspectives, one truth [link]

“The False Equivalence Between Academic Freedom and Freedom of Expression” acme-journal.org/index.php/acme

The dangers of lying to yourself about the future [link]

Dorian Shuyler Abbot: Science and Politics: Three Principles, Three Fables [link]

Daniel Kahneman shared his insights into how we make decisions, the “noise” that surrounds human judgments, and how organizations can improve decision-making. Read: ow.ly/j7SF50IMXob

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Willingness to accept criticism is the key to learning [link]

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Why has the past decade been strangely stupid? [link]

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Leading by example: a silent but effective form of action [link]

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