The betting market once again led the news last week, leading to a two-hour series of well-informed bets that saw sportsbooks show up for the biggest NFL game of the holiday weekend. .
Spread Point on Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles–dalas cowboy the game went on for two hours last Monday afternoon, before ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported at 4:20 p.m. ET, Eagles quarterback Jalen hurts was not sure to play. In that two-hour period, the Cowboys went from a 1.5-point favorite to a 6-point favorite at several sportsbooks, ahead of the Schefter report.
“We’ve seen a few bets [on the Cowboys] from people we respect,” said Craig Mucklow, vice president of trading at Caesars Sportsbook. Obviously, these are not stupid people; They are smart players.”
Bettors don’t just target the Eagles-Cowboys point spread based on Hurts injuries. The announced amount also went according to the odds to win the MVP. In that same two-hour span, Hurts went from favorites -145 for MVP to as long as +425 at Caesars Sportsbook. Simultaneously, Chief of Kansas City midfielder Patrick Mahomes emerged as a favorite, attracted multiple five-figure bets and moved from +170 to a -350 favorite to win the MVP. According to Caesars Sportsbook analyst Max Meyer, the book took 23 bets of $1,000 or more on the MVP market between 2:20 p.m. and 4:17 p.m. ET Monday, 20 of which were on Mahomes. However, the biggest MVP bet during that period was $50,000 for Hurts at +160.
Meanwhile, the Eagles-Cowboys’ point spread continued to rise and fall, before finishing in Dallas -4. The Cowboys will win 6, 40-34, an expensive win for some sportsbooks.
“It’s not a good game for us,” said Adam Pullen, assistant trading manager at Caesars Sportsbook, adding that whenever a game is heavily staked like the Eagles-Cowboys there is Substantial movement and the same final win rate are among the spreads offered, it’s rarely good for sportsbooks. “That could hurt us, returning the Eagles bettors who had their 6 plus and returning the Dallas bettors on the spread as a win.”
“It was also one of the bigger losses in the game, the biggest of the week.” Drag said.
Christmas Day Betting Match: NFL vs. NBA
On paper, it looks like an inappropriate Christmas Day.
The NBA’s five-game roster features featured teams and players like LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks, as well as the Eastern Conference Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks. On the other hand, the NFL’s three-player matchup was average at best and ended in a tie between teams with a losing record. But despite the lackluster matches, it is clear that football is still king in America, at least in the betting windows.
Caesars Sportsbook says bets on three NFL games are about five times more than bets on five NBA games on Christmas Day.
“Even without a good game on paper, the NFL crushes the NBA for interest,” Mucklow said.
The story is the same in other sports books. At BetMGM, three NFL games attract about three times as much bets as five NBA games.
The most wagered Christmas Day games at DraftKings by stake are:
1. Thieves in Cardinals
2. The packers at Dolphins
3. Broncos at Rams
4. Sun in Nuggets
5. Grizzlies in Warriors
“Football is king in this country,” added Mucklow.
NFL Celebrities
Caesars Sportsbook summed up the week’s NFL results as “decent”, with the biggest wins coming from the disappointment of Carolina Newspaper via Detroit lionthe Saint New Orleans via Cleveland Browns and Houston Texas via Tennessee Giants.
Bettors have the best book on Cincinnati Bengals‘ win New England Patriots and the Packers’ acted as the underdog in the win over the Dolphins.
Pullen said: “No shock, but a solid week. “The Bengals hurt and the Cowboys game hurt, but nothing compares to what we’ve won in the big games.”
“Definitely quiet by the standards of an NFL weekend, which was to be expected,” said John Murray, chief executive officer of SuperBook. “We had great action in the Cowboys game with a lot of sharp players and openly flocking to Philadelphia. It was a good result for us. We were beaten against the Bengals in morning, and the Browns melee really hurt us. But overall, it was a pretty forgettable weekend. All of our big players were at home with their families. , but I hope they’ll be back this weekend.”
under pressure
The average total over/under for Saturday’s 11 NFL games of 40.8, according to ESPN Stats and Information, is the lowest one-day ratio, with a minimum of 10 games, as of Sept. 2011. 8 of 14 games were played under total in Week 16, taking part in Monday Night Football.
Sam Garriock, director of sports trading at sportsbookmaker PointsBet, said: “Unsurprisingly, given the weather conditions, we were handling double the pre-match pre-match amount ( bet amount) against the excess. “That hurt us a little bit.
“The sides have gone our way, which more than makes up for the total, and the benefit of the bad weather is that there are fewer scorers touching the ball at any one time and low pitch distance. more, which helps with innings in the same game.”
crammed
A bettor with DraftKings made a $5 three-legged parlay where the player scored the first goal in each Christmas Day game. Bettors take the Dolphins receiver Jaylen waddlingRams tight ending Tyler Higbee and the Cardinals ran again James Conner and win $7,840 when each player delivers.
steam 49ers
rookie midfielder Brock Purdy and the increase San Francisco 49ers is evaporating at the sportsbook. The 49ers are Caesars Sportsbook’s biggest responsibility in terms of winning the Super Bowl.
DraftKings reported on Monday that the 49ers have attracted more bets to win the Super Bowl than any other team in recent days, and at Mojo, a sports betting platform that allows traders to buy and selling shares of statistical operations in the players’ careers, Purdy has seen his shares rise 155.2%, from $1.63 to $4.14, in the last month.
Purdy (+170) has the third best odds to win the Attacking Rookie of the Year at Caesars Sportsbook, behind New York Jets recipient Garrett Wilson (-260) and Seattle Seahawks football team Rerun Kenneth Walker (+450).
Next week: The buffalo bill opened as the 1.5-point road favorites against the Cincinnati Bengals in the decisive Week 17 game on Monday Night Football.
Notable college football
With much of the betting activity expected this week, the point spread in the College Rugby Qualifiers semi-finals has held steady.
Michigan is still a 7.5-point favorite against TCU, a line that has fallen a few points from the month’s opening number. Georgia is a 6.5-point favorite against Ohio State and draws most of the money at Caesars Sportsbook.
“We’re seeing a lot of Georgia action at that 6.5,” said Joey Feazel, Caesars Sportsbook’s top college football trader. “What’s interesting is that we see twice as many tackles in Ohio State-Georgia than in TCU-Michigan. It’s like the mock championship game that everyone wants to see.”
Caesars estimates that more than 80% of bets on the CFP semi-final will be placed this week, before the New Year’s Eve game on Saturday.
As for the other bowl games, Feazel said action is being set up so the house needs Clemson to win Tennessee on Friday in the Orange Bowl and Kansas State against Alabama on Saturday in the Sugar Bowl.
