Impact of Human CO2 on Atmospheric CO2 – Summary – Increased by that?

Edwin X Berry, Montana, USA – 2022-08-02

Copyright (c) 2022 by Edwin X Berry. Permission granted to republish with link to Berry (in 2021).

This summary by Berry (2021) shows the main points without the math.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) correctly assumes that the flow of CO2 out of the atmosphere is proportional to the CO2 level divided by a time constant.

This time constant – which the IPCC calls “cycle time” and we call “electron time” – describes the rate at which CO2 flows out of the atmosphere.

IPCC (2007, p. 948) defines “turnover time” as the first capacity of the carbon level divided by the carbon outflow from the reservoir,

“Transition time (T) is the ratio between the mass M of the tank (for example, a gaseous compound in the atmosphere) and the total rate of removal of S from the tank: T = M/S. For each process rejection process, separate revenue. time can be determined. “

The IPCC (2007, p. 948) states that the turnaround time (T) for natural CO is about four years.

“carbon dioxide gas” (CO2) is an extreme example. Its turnaround time is only about four years because of the rapid exchange of atmospheres with oceans and terrestrial biomes.”

IPCC data on its natural carbon cycle (IPCC, 2013, pp. 470-471) show an electronic lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere to be 3.5 years, supporting IPCC’s claim of “about 4 years” “.

Simple physics shows that when the outflow is proportional to the first capacity of the level, the natural and anthropogenic carbon cycles are independent. So we can calculate these carbon cycles independently and then add them together to get the total. We only need to calculate the human carbon cycle over time to see how human CO2 changes atmospheric CO2.

IPCC data show that anthropogenic CO2 into the atmosphere accounts for about 5% of total CO2 intake and natural CO2 is about 95%.

Since human and natural CO2 molecules are identical, their e-times are also identical. Therefore, according to the first estimate, the composition of CO2 in the atmosphere today is about 5% human and 95% natural.

However, the IPCC (2013, p. 467, Executive Summary) states,

“With very high confidence, the increase in CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels and those resulting from land use change are the main drivers of the observed increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations. observed.”

The IPCC (2013, pp. 470-471) assumes natural CO2 levels remained at 280 ppm after 1750 and that human CO2 has therefore caused the overall increase in CO2 since 1750. This would for human CO2 about 32% per 415 ppm by 2020.

How can 5% flow cause 32% of CO2 levels?

It cannot. Even the IPCC recognizes this problem. So, to support the claim that anthropogenic CO2 causes dangerous climate change, the IPCC incorrectly states that anthropogenic CO2 stays in the atmosphere longer than natural CO2.

The IPCC (2013, page 469) incorrectly states:

“The removal of anthropogenic CO2 from the atmosphere by natural processes would take several hundred thousand years (high confidence). … About 15 to 40% of CO2 emissions will remain in the atmosphere for longer than 1,000 years. This long time required… to remove anthropogenic CO2 makes climate change due to elevated CO2 irreversible on the human time scale. “

This IPCC claim violates electronic time based on IPCC’s own data and ignores that natural and anthropogenic CO2 molecules are identical, and therefore their electronic times are identical.

The first approximation considers only the atmosphere. The second approximation uses the IPCC four-bed carbon cycle model. The physical model, using outflow proportional to the IPCC’s electronic level and time, reproduces the IPCC’s natural carbon cycle, shown in Figure 1.

This same model then computes a human carbon cycle compatible with the IPCC’s natural carbon cycle, using annual, recursive time steps from 1750 to 2020, shown in Figure 2.

The compatible human carbon cycle shows that human CO2 has only increased by 33 ppm (8%) while nature has added 100 ppm (92%) to the IPCC’s 280 ppm by 1750, as of 2020.

According to the scientific method, physical modeling has proven the IPCC’s claim – that human CO2 causes all CO2 increases above 280 ppm – to be false.

Good high school students can learn how physical modeling works.

Figure 1 shows the IPCC natural carbon cycle in equilibrium with atmospheric CO at 280 ppm (589 PgC). Boxes show reservoirs and create arrows for flows between reservoirs.

Figure 1. IPCC Natural Carbon Cycle Levels and Flows (2013).

Figure 1 shows that 1.4% of natural carbon is in the atmosphere and 90% is in the deep ocean. This is a balanced fingerprint that human carbon would approach.

Figure 2 shows the physical carbon cycle model with four reservoirs and six outflows of the IPCC, where the arrows are all positive numbers.

Figure 2. The human carbon cycle model uses physics similar to the IPCC’s natural carbon cycle but adds the annual human carbon stream.

Human carbon adds only one percent to the total carbon in the natural carbon cycle.

Figure 3 shows how the reservoir changes over time for human carbon.

The dashed purple line shows the amount of carbon accumulated by humans since 1750. The solid bold line shows the measured atmospheric carbon levels. above 280 ppmv.

The data alone demonstrated that natural CO2 increased CO2 levels above 280 ppm. The “new anthropogenic carbon” accumulated before 1955 was less than the “atmospheric carbon” measured, making it impossible for anthropogenic carbon to cause the full increase in CO2.

Figure 3. How humans’ carbon levels change over time.

The red dashed line shows much less anthropogenic CO2 added to the atmosphere than “Human-Added New Carbon” because the CO2 retention period of 3.5 years allows CO2 to escape from the atmosphere. atmosphere much faster than CO2 can accumulate.

Figure 4 compares the physical model with the Bern model.

Figure 4. Pulse decay according to physical model and Bern model.

The key difference between Bern model and physical model is that Bern model uses IPCC’s invalid assumption that human CO2 causes all increase in CO2 whereas physical model uses electrical time. IPCC mortality is 3.5 years.

Figure 5 shows

• ¹⁴Data C (black solid line) and its curve fit after 1970 (black dashed line).
• ¹⁴Data C relates to the value δ14C in 1970 (jagged line in blue) and the fit of its curve.
• ^twelfthCO2 data in ppmv (red cog line).

¹⁴C is the measure of ₁₄/ ^twelfthC rate. The natural level of¹⁴C is zero.
Human CO₂ do not have ¹⁴C, so it¹⁴C is -1000. If human CO₂ is 32% CO₂ inside
atmosphere, it will naturally dilute¹⁴C level from 0 to -320.
Display data¹⁴C has returned to its natural zero even if ^twelfthC (red line) increase indicates natural CO₂ has dominated the increase of CO in the atmosphere₂.
The ¹⁴C shows fit curve ¹⁴CO₂ electronic time is 10.0 years (Hardy and Salby, 2021; Berry, 2021).
The ^twelfthCO2 e-time is smaller ¹⁴CO₂ e-time because the atom is heavier
the ^twelfthAtom C. This confirms that the electronic time for ^twelfthCO₂ less than 10.0 years.

Figure 5¹⁴Data C (black line) and its curve fit (black dashed line), relative (blue jagged line) and its curve fit (black dashed line) , and ^twelfthCO2 ppmv (red line).

A simple physical model – using IPCC outflows proportional to level and time – produces natural CO2 that controls atmospheric CO. As of 2020, natural CO2 has increased by about 100 ppm, and human CO2 is only 33 ppm, to the IPCC CO2 level of 280 ppm in 1750.

Berry, E. X, 2021: The impact of CO on humans2 on CO in the atmosphere2. The Science of Climate Change, December 14, 2021, Impact of anthropogenic CO2 on atmospheric CO2 – SCC (klimarealistene.com); https://doi.org/10.53234/scc202112/212

Harde, H. and Salby, ML, 2021: What controls CO in the atmosphere?2 Levels? The Science of Climate Change, August 2021. https://doi.org/10.53234/scc202111/28. https://scc.klimarealistene.com/produkt/what-controls-the-atmospheric-CO2- level/

IPCC, 2013: Ciais, P., Sabine, et al. two thousand and thirteen: Carbon and other biogeochemical cycles. The Physics Science Communication. Contribution of the Working Coporation, group I arrive the Thursday IPCC assessment report. Cambridge University Press, UK and New York, NY, USA.