2024 Masters odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that’s called 10 majors
The 2024 PGA Tour has already produced memorable moments and the best golfers in the world will gear up for the first major championship of the season in just under two months. The 2024 Masters will take place at Augusta National Golf Club beginning on Thursday, April 11 and invites are already out for the world’s best players. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 2022 Masters champion and finished in the top 10 in nine of his last 14 major championship appearances.
Scheffler is a 15-2 co-favorite with Rory McIlroy in the 2024 Masters odds. Defending champion Jon Rahm is 19-2, while Viktor Hovland is at 15-1. Two-time runner-up Brooks Koepka and 2015 Masters champion Jordan Spieth are next in the Masters odds 2024 at 19-1. Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the 2024 Masters golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler’s 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. The 34-year-old is No. 2 in the Official World Golf Ranking and won the Hero Dubai Desert Classic earlier this season, but he hasn’t been particularly sharp in recent PGA Tour events.
McIlroy was 66th at the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and 24th in the Genesis Invitational. McIlroy has finished top-10 at Augusta National seven times, including a solo second finish in 2022, but he’s missed the cut at the Masters in two of the last three years. He’s lost 0.511 strokes per round to the field so far this season (121st on the PGA Tour) and the model doesn’t like his chance to win a fifth major at Augusta National.
Another surprise: Ludvig Aberg, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Swede has made quite an impact on tour since turning professional in June 2023. Since then, he’s played in 16 PGA Tour events, placing in the top 25 in 11 of them with six top-10 finishes. He picked up a European Tour win last September, his first PGA victory at the RSM Classic last November, and also has a pair of runners-up since turning pro.
The RSM victory will allow Aberg to participate in his first major championship at Augusta. He’s already proven himself as one of the game’s elite ball-strikers, ranking 12th on tour in total driving efficiency and placing in the top quartile of PGA Tour golfers in strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: approach the green. He’s also kept pace with the best in the world, as Aberg has four top-25 finishes across his five starts at signature tournaments. Aberg doesn’t yet have the name recognition of many others on tour, but his name is one to remember when making 2024 Masters picks. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Masters, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Masters 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Masters leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including last year’s Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Masters odds, field
Full set of Masters picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Jon Rahm +950
Viktor Hovland +1500
Brooks Koepka +1900
Jordan Spieth +1900
Cameron Smith +2100
Patrick Cantlay +2100
Ludvig Aberg +2100
Justin Thomas +2400
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2800
Bryson DeChambeau +3200
Tony Finau +3600
Cameron Young +3600
Will Zalatoris +3600
Dustin Johnson +3600
Max Homa +4100
Sung-Jae Im +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4600
Min Woo Lee +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Jason Day +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +5500
Tommy Fleetwood +5500
Patrick Reed +5500
Sam Burns +7000
Joaquin Niemann +7000
Brian Harman +7500
Corey Conners +7500
Justin Rose +7500
Tiger Woods +7500
Louis Oosthuizen +9000
Russell Henley +9000
Talor Gooch +9000
Nick Dunlap +9000
Phil Mickelson +13000
Gary Woodland +13000
Adam Scott +13000
Seamus Power +15000
Abraham Ancer +15000
Chris Kirk +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Si Woo Kim +16000
Tom Hoge +18000
Sergio Garcia +18000
Mito Pereira +18000
Keegan Bradley +18000
Charl Schwartzel +19000
Cameron Champ +19000
Kurt Kitayama +19000
J.T. Poston +19000
