The Week That Was: 2021-11-06 (November 6, 2021)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “I don’t know what’s the matter with folks: they don’t be taught by understanding; they be taught by another approach – by rote, or one thing. Their data is so fragile!” – Richard Feynman
Variety of the Week: $1,000,000,000,000 (One Trillion {Dollars} US)
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: The Gala in Glasgow, higher often called the UN 26th Convention of the Events (COP) to the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCCC), preempted the scope of this week’s TWTW. Maybe, political economics columnist Joseph Sternberg of the Wall Avenue Journal acknowledged it finest.
President Biden hightailed it out of the COP26 local weather confab in Glasgow earlier than the returns from Tuesday’s U.S. elections have been in, and simply as effectively. Discuss a humiliation—for your entire global-summit-industrial complicated as a lot as for Mr. Biden personally or his occasion again dwelling.
Tuesday’s electoral rebuke to America’s Democrats caps a nine-month span during which one has typically puzzled for whom Mr. Biden speaks. He doesn’t signify half of his occasion, though it’s onerous to inform from each day whether or not the half he does signify is the far-left progressive wing or the centrist faction. Neither appears significantly proud of him.
Unhealthy outcomes for Democrats in Virginia, and nearly in New Jersey, recommend Mr. Biden’s occasion is shedding its declare to signify the reasonable swing voters who put him in workplace a 12 months in the past. So, when he indicators on a dotted line at COP26 or wherever else, the primary query any overseas chief ought to ask is: Whose full religion and credit score, precisely, stands behind this dedication?
This could embarrass the global-summit gang as a result of it’s the identical story all over the place else. Contemplate the Group of Seven, one of many older of the world’s many overlapping associations of countries. Its summer time assembly within the U.Okay. paved the way in which for the coverage breakthroughs of current months, from a serious new international corporate-tax deal to a few of the inexperienced improvements to emerge from COP26. And of the leaders on the G-7’s desk, solely Britain’s Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron loved any kind of clear-cut electoral mandate for something, not to mention for something on the agenda on the summit.
As for the opposite world leaders making these selections, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and German Chancellor Angela Merkel each lead minority governments (with out and with a coalition accomplice). Or relatively Ms. Merkel used to guide such a authorities. By the point she confirmed up in Glasgow for COP26 she didn’t signify anybody, having way back introduced she’d retire after the September elections during which her occasion’s proportion of the vote hit a postwar low.
Japan is on to its second of two prime ministers this 12 months, solely the newer of whom received an election. Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi hasn’t been elected by anybody, having come to energy by way of obscure machinations amongst a kaleidoscopic array of events in Rome. The European Union will get a seat on the G-7 desk, too, and its democratic deficit—which in Europe is code for “disaster of legitimacy”—is longstanding, infamous and probably unfixable.
These are the folks negotiating international regulatory offers?
After discussing different points (China’s Xi Jinping and Russia’s Vladimir Putin have been no exhibits, and exhibits resembling Prince Charles and Greta Thunberg hardly have a mandate from the general public of their nations) Sternberg concludes with:
The issue isn’t, as is so generally claimed, a scarcity of “political will” on the a part of world leaders. They reveal extraordinary willfulness by daring to point out up in any respect when nobody elected them to take action. The issue is a scarcity of political mandate. [Boldface added]
Attempting to bow to this actuality whereas scrupulously avoiding a direct acknowledgment of it, COP26 delegates claimed to have discovered a workaround this week. They’ve ditched aspirations for daring political commitments from world leaders to curb carbon-dioxide emissions. As an alternative, they’ll foist main new inexperienced burdens onto private-sector buyers, before everything banks and asset managers.
Discuss doubling down on a foul guess. If a mandate existed amongst international buyers for this technique, they might be investing accordingly already (and a few are). This ploy merely shifts the argument from whether or not politicians have the legitimacy to supply up taxpayer cash for the sake of local weather mitigation to whether or not they have the legitimacy to monkey round with households’ pensions. Good luck with that.
As for home politics, it didn’t use to be the case that main events in Western democracies routinely squeaked into energy with scant pluralities and ideologically incoherent coalitions. That this has turn out to be the norm now might need to do with the fad for embracing the worldwide causes of the roving activist class.
The Glasgow Gala is a showcase for empty fits bragging in regards to the extent to which they’ll punish the folks of their nation. As Paul Homewood wrote in regards to the no-show President of China:
“President Xi could make all kinds of guarantees about peaking emissions, lowering carbon depth and carbon neutrality in 2060. The tough actuality, nonetheless, is that with out fossil fuels, China would now be again within the Darkish Ages.
“If Xi doesn’t respect this, there are many on his Politburo who do, and they’ll rapidly ship him off to the re-education camps if he stands of their approach.”
Nonetheless, the representatives in Glasgow did say that they had an settlement to cease methane leaks from the oil and gasoline industries, however which additionally happen in nature. Methane has the chemical image of CH4, and pure gasoline incorporates small quantities of different hydrocarbons as effectively. Given the overreach of the Biden Administration and regulatory businesses such because the EPA, the problems are what injury the Biden Administration will try to do to the thriving US pure gasoline trade, and what’s the scientific justification? This TWTW will give attention to the affect of methane on local weather, then focus on a number of different deficiencies within the questionable science utilized by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC). See Article # 3 and hyperlinks underneath Issues within the Orthodoxy.
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From Depletion to Extra? These concerned with vitality within the US through the Ford and Carter Administrations of the Nineteen Seventies will recall lengthy traces to purchase gasoline and durations of sudden unemployment throughout chilly winters when there was not sufficient pure gasoline to maintain factories working. Congress handed legal guidelines prohibiting the development of recent energy vegetation utilizing oil or pure gasoline as the first gas. Coal was the brand new miracle gas.
Within the Nineties we had the hysteria of “peak oil” with specialists claiming the world was about to expire of oil. Now we have now specialists claiming the world is utilizing an excessive amount of coal, oil, and pure gasoline, inflicting the world to overheat. The US legal guidelines banning utilizing oil and pure gasoline as the first fuels for producing electrical energy have been repealed. If the legal guidelines have been nonetheless in impact, we’d not have pure gasoline generators producing electrical energy wanted when wind and photo voltaic fail; and the ignorance of the empty fits in Glasgow could be extra apparent, no less than to Individuals. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Three Papers: From 2019 to 2021 physicists W. A. van Wijngaarden & W. Happer produced three papers: 1) Methane and Local weather; 2) Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on 5 Most Plentiful Greenhouse Gases; and three) Relative Efficiency of Greenhouse Molecules. They use the HITRAN database to debate the greenhouse impact because it happens within the earth’s ambiance. These papers haven’t been revealed by any western scientific journals. Apparently, editors of the journals are afraid of the political wrath of the supporters of IPCC “science” and its followers.
One of many issues with the speculation that hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) deplete the earth’s ozone layer is that it could be true within the laboratory however will not be true within the ambiance. The return of the ozone “gap” over Antarctica exhibits that the speculation has issues. Equally, laboratory assessments for the results of greenhouse gases use dry air, a synthetic idea. Even EPA members who dwell within the Washington space should see that in November cars parked exterior are steadily lined with dew or frost. It is very important acknowledge what is definitely occurring within the precise ambiance which the paper, Methane and Local weather (2019), addresses.
Vital graphs within the paper, Figures 4 & 5, use the extensively accepted Stefan-Boltzmann legislation for blackbody radiation, which the IPCC ignored till its newest report, AR6 (2021) and nonetheless bought fallacious. A blackbody is an idealized idea for an object that absorbs all electromagnetic radiation that contacts it. The legislation states that the “whole radiant warmth energy emitted from a floor is proportional to the fourth energy of its absolute temperature.” A temperature rise from 2 Okay to three Okay is simply 50%. However the quantity of radiant warmth energy emitted from the floor is proportional to the fourth energy of the temperature. Two to the fourth energy is sixteen. Three to the fourth energy is eighty-one, or greater than 5 instances sixteen. There isn’t any linear relationship as implied by some research utilized by the IPCC.
The summary of Methane and Local weather states:
“Atmospheric methane (CH4) contributes to the radiative forcing of Earth’s ambiance. Radiative forcing is the distinction within the web upwards thermal radiation from the Earth by means of a clear ambiance and radiation by means of an in any other case similar ambiance with greenhouse gases. Radiative forcing, usually laid out in items of W m-2, will depend on latitude, longitude, and altitude, however it’s typically quoted for a consultant temperature latitude, and for the altitude of the tropopause or for the highest of the ambiance. For present concentrations of greenhouse gases, the radiative forcing on the tropopause, per added CH4 molecule, is about 30 instances bigger than the forcing per added carbon dioxide (CO2) molecule. That is because of the heavy saturation of the absorption band of the ample greenhouse gasoline, CO2. However the price of the rise of CO2 molecules, about 2.3 ppm/12 months (ppm = half per million), is about 300 instances bigger than the speed of improve of CH4 molecules, which has been round 0.0076 ppm/12 months since 2008. So, the contribution of methane to the annual improve in forcing is one tenth (30/300) that of carbon dioxide. The web forcing improve from CH4, and CO2 will increase is about 0.05 W m-2 year-1. Different issues being equal, it will trigger a temperature improve of about 0.012 C 12 months. Proposals to position harsh restrictions on methane emissions due to warming fears are usually not justified by details. [Boldface added]
The rise of about 0.012 C per 12 months is similar as Roy Spencer is reporting within the linear development from 42 years of satellite tv for pc measurements of atmospheric temperature tendencies over oceans (0.12 C per decade).
The authors focus on the results of computationally altering the focus of CO2, which they present of their determine 5. There’s a black curve for current day focus (f = 1), a purple curve for doubled focus (f = 2), and maybe most vital, a inexperienced curve for fully zeroing-out all CO2 (f = 0). Determine 5 makes clear that CO2 has an vital greenhouse impact; however at its present concentrations its effectiveness is already vastly diminished, and doubling its focus makes solely a really tiny distinction. The greenhouse impact of CO2 is claimed to be saturated. Within the final paragraph, the authors outline saturation:
“The rationale that the per-molecule forcing of methane is a few 30 instances bigger than that of carbon dioxide for present concentrations is saturation of the absorption bands. “Saturation” implies that including extra molecules causes little or no change in Earth’s thermal radiation to area. The present density of CO2 molecules is a few 200 instances higher than that of CH4 molecules, so the absorption bands of CO2 are rather more saturated than these of CH4. Within the dilute “optically-thin” restrict, WH [1] present that the tropospheric forcing energy per molecule is P{i} = 0.51×10−22 W for CH4, and P{i} = 2.73×10−22 W for CO2. Every CO2 molecule within the dilute restrict causes about 5 instances extra forcing improve than a further molecule of CH4, which is simply a “tremendous greenhouse gasoline” as a result of there may be so little within the ambiance, in comparison with CO2,” [Boldface added]
The authors additionally focus on feedbacks that are a crucial a part of the acute claims of the IPCC. These will likely be mentioned within the subsequent TWTW with the dialogue of the opposite two current papers by Wijngaarden & Happer. Additionally, it is very important be aware that your entire dialogue is predicated on cloudless skies. Nobody has developed a suitable speculation on clouds. The October 23 TWTW hyperlinks to papers by Fritz Vahrenholt and Hans-Rolf Dübal suggesting that a lot of the warming of the previous 20 years could also be because of a discount in clouds. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy, the October 23 TWTW, and Measurement Points – Environment.
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The Trick and the Hack: Together with econometrician Ross McKitrick, statistician Stephan McIntyre was chargeable for exposing “The Trick” utilized by Mr. Mann and the IPCC within the notorious “hockey-stick.” McIntyre writes:
“Two main new BBC applications, The Trick and the Hack That Modified the World, re-visit 2009 Climategate occasions on the eve of UK internet hosting the newest worldwide local weather get-together. I used to be interviewed by The Hack and talked about in The Trick as a villain.”
On November 1, McIntyre wrote his present views on the Climategate Hacker:
“Subsequent to my interview with the Hack That Modified, I’ve re-examined and cross-checked paperwork and seen some attention-grabbing new connections. I don’t know the id of the Climategate hacker, however do imagine that deductions about his profile (e.g., motivated particular person vs paid institutional hacker) might be made extra intelligently by fastidiously inspecting particulars of what was exfiltrated and when – as I shall do right here.”
McIntyre’s detective work and logic are attention-grabbing, and he concludes:
“Nothing within the hacking approach or timeline factors to Russian intel companies or US fossil gas companies. I don’t know the id of the Climategate hacker, nor do I actually have a guess. What we do know is what we knew roughly for the reason that starting: that Mr FOIA was a reader of Local weather Audit, Watts Up, Actual Local weather and different local weather blogs; that he was cautious each in his use of proxy servers; and that, in contrast to Guccifer 2, he had no real interest in leaving a large social media path.”
His November 2 publish on “The Decline, the Stick and The Trick – Half 1” is extra attention-grabbing as a result of it goes to a present downside persevering with within the research utilized by the IPCC, particularly within the Abstract for Policymakers (SPM, AR6, 2021) and its followers. McIntyre begins:
“One of many central claims of The Trick, if not essentially the most central declare, was that ‘hiding the decline’ was nothing greater than an inopportune phrase a couple of single diagram.
“It wasn’t.
“The ‘trick to cover the decline’ was an inopportune, if revealing, phrase. Nonetheless, relatively than the difficulty being restricted to a single diagram, the inconsistency between the Decline (in noticed tree ring widths and densities) and the Hockey Stick temperature reconstructions (based on tree ring widths) was, the true concern… it was the difficulty that impressed my authentic examination of Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick. That was the driving theme of Local weather Audit from its origin as much as Climategate. There are dozens, even lots of, of Local weather Audit articles that, in a technique or one other, relate again to the conundrum arising from the inconsistency of the underlying proxies and the superficial consistency of the reconstructions. [Edited]
“On this and a few follow-on articles, I’ll illustrate the centrality of The Decline vs The Stick within the controversies within the years previous to Climategate. For the good thing about folks that could be new to those disputes, I re-iterate that I by no means interpreted the late Twentieth century decline in ring widths as proof of a decline in temperatures, however as a significantly problematic inconsistency for ‘reconstructions’ relying largely on tree rings.” [Boldface in original]
McIntyre fastidiously explains his views which he plans to be a part of a collection. In a publish on the backside of the essay on The Hack, analysis professor Donald Rapp summed the problems effectively. He wrote (in response to the publish):
I believe the arguments introduced are credible – there was a easy hack most definitely primarily based on a easy entry. However from my viewpoint, I don’t care if the world’s worst villains have been chargeable for the hack, nor am I involved with the diploma of sophistication used to get into these secret recordsdata. What does matter is that as of 2009, it’s clear that the local weather science tribe was strongly biased in favor of alarmism and constructed their arguments round doubtful information and worse manipulation of the info, full with cherry selecting some and hiding others, whereas on the identical time utilizing their affect to squelch different views and punish these not within the tribe. It turned clear that the entire science of proxies for previous local weather was rife with faux information. Any proxy requires a standardization interval when the mannequin might be in comparison with information. Then, extrapolation to earlier eras requires justification by displaying that different variables have been comparable through the extrapolated interval to these through the standardization interval. I’ve learn dozens of revealed papers that make the most of proxies. Only a few if any present the comparability through the standardization interval and/or the idea for justifying extrapolation. I got here to the reluctant conclusion that the majority the proxy information is very suspect. SM [Steve McIntyre] penetrated much more deeply than I did into the proxies utilized by MBH and demonstrated the fallacies in each the proxies themselves in addition to the strategies of processing information. It appears unimaginable that after all of the demonstrations by SM over a decade and extra, they’re nonetheless placing forth their un-science and Mann nonetheless is a extremely revered chief within the local weather discipline. The local weather gate releases demonstrated not a lot the main points (they have been revealed by SM) as a lot because the mindset of those rascals. Altogether, the occasions of 2009 solid a really lengthy shadow on the periodic UN reviews that got here out subsequently. Are you able to imagine something that the local weather institution publicizes? [Boldface added]
The newest Abstract for Policymakers options the most recent “hockey-stick” by a world paleoclimatology group primarily based in Bern, Switzerland, often called PAGES 2k (PAst International ChangES with 2k referring to the previous 2000 years). Their “hockey-stick” is a set of bits and items cobbled collectively. It’s just like presenting a desk manufactured from chipboard (particle board) (wooden chips and glue) as stable oak. See hyperlinks underneath Climategate Continued.
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Harmful Bureaucracies: Energy engineer Donn Dears wrote of the actions that Basic Electrical CEO Jack Welch took to extend productiveness and the corporate’s prosperity. Welch fiercely reduce on forms at GE headquarters and elsewhere. In his brief essay, Dears brings up the guide Parkinson’s Legislation and Different Research in Administration. With its false claims of science, has the IPCC turn out to be a harmful forms? See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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The Finest and The Brightest? Final 12 months a featured spokesperson for the UN for its claims of a local weather disaster was the darling teenager, Greta Thunberg. This 12 months she is main obscene chants in opposition to the UN COP 26 for inaction on local weather. The UN selected a brand new darling of the day – a small T. Rex! The UN is sponsoring commercials broadcast on US nationwide tv (CBS) that includes a small T. Rex warning a UN viewers in regards to the risks of local weather change. That is doubly absurd. One, the geological proof signifies that the dinosaurs lived between 245 and 66 million years in the past when the earth was a lot hotter and CO2 concentrations have been far higher. Two, they have been most likely worn out by a sudden international cooling triggered when an asteroid hit close to the Yucatan Peninsula, not by international warming.
Is that this the perfect the brightest on the UN can do? At the very least they don’t have to fret about T. Rexes main obscene chants in opposition to them. See hyperlinks underneath Under the Backside Line.
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Variety of the Week: $1,000,000,000,000 (One Trillion {Dollars} US). Based on reviews China and a bunch of different nations are demanding One Trillion {Dollars} to restrict CO2 emissions. In the event that they obtain it, China’s chief Xi Jinping may have respiratory room to make use of in opposition to his fellow members of the Politburo. See hyperlinks underneath Funding Points.
Science: Is the Solar Rising?
New Examine With Groundbreaking Outcomes: “Connection Between Cosmic Rays, Radiation Finances Reaffirmed”
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Oct 31, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Atmospheric ionization and cloud radiative forcing
By Henrik Svensmarkm Jacob Svensmark, Martin Bødker Enghoff & Nir J. Shaviv, Nature Scientific Studies, Oct 11, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99033-1?fbclid=IwAR2PBAVB8S9kNV1-UV8BTTjxhToQJfuMjwNfzW3wgtDt4McnbOP5R9T342c
A Idea of the Hack
By Steve McIntyre, Local weather Audit, Nov 1, 2021
The Decline, the Stick and The Trick – Half 1
By Stephen McIntyre, Local weather Audit, Nov 2, 2021
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Might 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
By W. A. van Wijngaarden & W. Happer, CO2 Coalition, Nov 26, 2019
Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on 5 Most Plentiful Greenhouse Gases
By W. A. van Wijngaarden & W. Happer Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, prepublication, Dec 22, 2020
https://wvanwijngaarden.data.yorku.ca/recordsdata/2020/12/WThermal-Radiationf.pdf?x45936
Relative Efficiency of Greenhouse Molecules
By W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Prepublication, January 14, 2021
https://wvanwijngaarden.data.yorku.ca/recordsdata/2021/03/WPotency.pdf?x45936
CLINTEL to IPCC/COP26: AR6 Abstract for Policymakers Flawed
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Nov 4, 2021
“We conclude that the AR6 WG1 SPM regrettably doesn’t supply an goal scientific foundation on which to base coverage discussions at COP26. It additionally fails to focus on the optimistic impacts of barely elevated CO2 ranges and warming on agriculture, forestry and human life on earth.”
COP26 at Odds with Leaders of Practically 40 % of World’s Individuals, Prone to Fail
India alone is a large thorn within the sides of the Glasgow glitterati
By Vijay Jayaraj, The American Spectator, Oct 31, 2021
[SEPP Comment: The 40% of the world that western opinion fabricators assume does not exist.]
COP26 And The Hubris Of Our Political Overlords
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Oct 31, 2021
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2021-10-31-cop26-and-the-hubris-of-our-political-overlords
Manhattan Contrarian Declares The Arrival Of “Peak Oil-Hysteria”
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Nov 3, 2021
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2021-11-3-manhattan-contrarian-announces-the-arrival-of-peak-oil-hysteria
From the Wall Avenue Journal: “…The hassle spotlighted rising issues in regards to the environmental harms of methane, a byproduct of drilling. . . .” [Boldface added]
Nigel Lawson: Internet zero is a disastrous answer to a nonexistent downside
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 4, 2021
“The local weather hysteria is certainly not a innocent folly. The rationale the world makes use of fossil fuels is that they’re far and away the most affordable supply of large-scale dependable vitality. Nuclear energy is dependable, however not low-cost. Renewables — wind and solar — are usually not significantly low-cost and positively not dependable (the wind doesn’t all the time blow, nor does the solar all the time shine).”
Harmful Bureaucracies
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Nov 2, 2021
Does environmental stress drive migration?
New complete evaluation ranks environmental and social elements for explaining migration globally in addition to in every nation—and it’s extra sophisticated than earlier understanding suggests
Press Launch by Aalto College, Nov 5, 2021 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/934003
Hyperlink to paper: International migration is pushed by the complicated interaction between environmental and social elements
By Venla Niva, et al, Environmental Analysis Letters, Oct 26, 2021
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2e86
From the summary: “Whatever the revenue degree, revenue was the important thing think about explaining net-migration in half of the nations.”
The insanity of clouds (II)
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Hyperlink to publish: 2001-2019 Warming Pushed By Will increase In Absorbed Photo voltaic Radiation, Not Human Emissions
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Oct 18, 2021
Defending the Orthodoxy
IPCC AR6: Extreme convective storms, unspun version
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Significance of Methane
By Employees, EPA, Accessed Nov 3, 2021
https://www.epa.gov/gmi/importance-methane
“Methane is greater than 25 instances as potent as carbon dioxide at trapping warmth within the ambiance.”
Neil Oliver Sums Up The Hypocrisy
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 2, 2021
[SEPP Comment: If there is a crisis caused by CO2, why not use Zoom for tens of thousands of “special people” rather than fly them in? Should the “special people” live lives of poverty as St. Francis did? Should they not walk the walk?]
Strong detection of compelled warming within the presence of probably giant local weather variability
By Sebastian Sippel, et al. AAAS Science Advances, Oct 22, 2021
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abh4429
“We discover a finest estimate compelled warming development of 0.8°C over the previous 40 years, barely bigger than noticed.”
[SEPP Comment: Based on what evidence?]
Why the so-called “vitality disaster” is each a risk and a chance
It is a second to speed up the transition in the direction of web zero, to not retreat.
By Adam Tooze, New Statesman, UK, Oct 27, 2021
“The vitality transition is a historic experiment. We’re all going to have our moments of panic and disbelief. We’re all going to must battle with our ghosts, with nostalgia and with deep-seated fears from the previous. Will probably be a steep studying curve. It might be a turbulent journey. However the one factor that we might be sure of – and 2021 confirms it – is that the established order affords no security.”
[SEPP Comment: We have nothing to lose except our prosperity and reliable electricity?]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
The local weather moaners have to get some perspective from historical past
By Ian Plimer, Spectator, AU, Nov 2, 2021 [H/t Edward Harinck]
As a result of it’s garbage
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
COP 26: Methane insanity
By David Wojick, CFACT, Nov 4, 2021
https://www.cfact.org/2021/11/04/cop-26-methane-madness/
“Right here is how Local weather Residence Information put it: ‘The US and EU bought greater than 100 nations on board with a dedication to chop methane emissions 30% by 2030, placing oil and gasoline sector leakage within the highlight’.”
Emissions, Error and Innumeracy as a Guiding Coverage
By Peter O’Brien, Quadrant, Nov 2, 2021
“I ought to have identified that, as Michael Kile lately identified, sophistry is the lifeblood of the alarmists and any inconvenient ‘inconvenient fact’ might be rationalised away.”
DAN WOOTTON: I wish to save the planet however I resent being instructed methods to do it by a bunch of biased BBC reporters, unelected billionaires, royals, celebrities and tone-deaf politicians whose personal jets have turned Flop 26 into an orgy of hypocrisy
By Dan Wootton, Each day Mail.com, Nov 3, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-10157499/I-want-save-planet-resent-told-it.html
“I don’t know which picture of unbridled hypocrisy, sickening privilege and whole tone-deafness made me fume extra.”
COP26 Eco-Imperialism Threatens the World’s Poor
Local weather alarmists need poor nations stored poor. Poor nations need trillions in compensation.
By Craig Rucker, Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 2, 2021
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/11/02/cop26_eco-imperialism_threatens_the_worlds_poor_801751.html
1979 UN International Cooling Convention
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 4, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/11/1979-un-global-cooling-conference/
“In 1979, the World Meteorological Group gathered 450 specialists to debate the specter of international cooling.”
AEF Local weather Information – November 2021
By Alan Moran, Local weather Information, AU, Nov 1, 2021 [H/t ICECAP]
https://www.regulationeconomics.com/so/97NpLrY4h?languageTag=en#/most important
Local weather Geniuses
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 5, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/11/climate-geniuses/
Video
Ten Hypocritical Moments Surrounding Glasgow Cop26 Local weather Change Summit
Because the mega-rich descend on Glasgow with their personal jets and gas-guzzling vehicles, critics accuse international leaders of “do as I say, not as I do”.
By Sophia Sleigh, Huff Put up, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/ten-hypocritical-moments-cop26-climate_uk_617fb011e4b09314321a5fe4
“A parade of greater than 400 personal jets carrying world leaders and enterprise executives are considered flying in for the summit.
“Scotland’s Sunday Mail estimated the flights will blast 13,000 tonnes of CO2 into the ambiance – extra international warming gasoline than 1,600 Scots burn by means of in a 12 months.”
After Paris!
After 26 COP conferences we’re a Fossil Fueled World: Coal, oil gasoline give us 80% of the vitality on Earth
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 5, 2021
After 26 COP meetings we are a Fossil Fueled World: Coal, oil gas give us 80% of the energy on Earth
Glasgow: The Stampede To Mass Poverty…120 BILLION Tonnes Of Supplies For Wind Generators By 2050?
Commentary by Fred F. Mueller, No Methods Zone, Nov 3, 2021
Main methane deal at local weather summit — with out China
By Patrick Galey and Jitendra Joshi, Glasgow (AFP) Nov 2, 2021
https://www.oilgasdaily.com/reviews/Major_methane_deal_at_climate_summit_without_China_999.html
The tragi-comic local weather doomsday cult
World leaders have made full fools of themselves at COP26
By Melanie Phillips, Her Weblog, Nov 2, 2021
https://melaniephillips.substack.com/p/the-tragi-comic-climate-doomsday
“No marvel Russia and China didn’t even trouble to show as much as COP26. Their contempt for the west have to be bottomless as they appear upon its accelerating financial and cultural inexperienced suicide — and rub their fingers.”
Biden apologizes for US withdrawing from Paris deal underneath Trump
By Morgan Chalfant, The Hill, Nov 1, 2021
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/579422-biden-apologizes-for-us-withdrawing-from-paris-deal-under-trump
18 nations decide to coal section out
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Nov 3, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/579965-18-countries-commit-to-coal-phase-out
Biden’s 85-vehicle motorcade a textbook instance of hypocrisy from ‘limousine liberals’: Boothe
‘The Large Saturday Present’s’ panelists uncovered the ‘guidelines for thee, however not for me’ hypocrisy of the fashionable left
By Graham Colton, Fox Information, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.foxnews.com/media/bidens-85-vehicle-motorcade-a-textbook-example-of-limousine-liberals-hypocrisy-boothe
Change in US Administrations
FACT SHEET: President Biden Renews U.S. Management on World Stage at U.N. Local weather Convention (COP26)
Press Launch, The White Home, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/11/01/fact-sheet-president-biden-renews-u-s-leadership-on-world-stage-at-u-n-climate-conference-cop26/
Biden warns of ‘existential’ local weather risk at Glasgow summit
By Morgan Chalfant and Rachel Franzin, The Hill, Nov 1, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/579403-biden-calls-for-collective-action-at-glasgow-climate-summit
Biden seeks to reassert US management on local weather
By Rachel Frazin and Morgan Chalfant, The Hill, Nov 1, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/equilibrium-sustainability/579482-biden-seeks-to-reassert-us-leadership-on-climate
Had been Biden’s Claims at COP26 Local weather Change Summit Correct?
By Christian Mysliwiec, The Each day Sign, Nov 3, 2021
Granholm touts ‘actually thrilling’ provision in infrastructure invoice at COP26
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Nov 5, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/580268-biden-energy-chief-touts-really-exciting-provision-in-bipartisan
“Vitality Secretary Jennifer Granholm touted funding within the bipartisan infrastructure invoice for direct-air seize demonstration initiatives, calling the availability ‘actually thrilling’ throughout an handle on the COP26 worldwide local weather summit in Glasgow, Scotland, on Friday.”
UN Showdown Needn’t Be America’s Final Stand on Local weather
By Heather Reams, Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 4, 2021
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/11/04/un_showdown_neednt_be_americas_last_stand_on_climate_801961.html
“Alas, my group [Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions] analyzed his [Biden’s] proposal and concluded, given obtainable applied sciences, that focus on can’t be achieved with out catastrophic prices to the U.S. economic system and workforce. Moreover, this feat would necessitate shifting our emissions to nations with far weaker rules—and if his randomly chosen benchmark proves wholly unattainable, America’s management will likely be undermined.”
U.S. Vitality Independence in Hazard
By Employees, Institute for Vitality Analysis, Nov 3, 2021
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Xi and Vlad Go away Two Open Chairs at Glasgow Local weather Disaster Gala
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Nov 3, 2021
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/natural-gas-anti-drilling-coal-plants-congress-of-parties/2021/11/03/id/1043106/
China Nonetheless Burning Extra & Extra Coal
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 5, 2021
COP26 goals to banish coal. Asia is constructing lots of of energy vegetation to burn it
By Sudarshan Varadhan and Aaron Sheldrick, Reuters, Oct 31, 2021
https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/cop26-aims-banish-coal-asia-is-building-hundreds-power-plants-burn-it-2021-10-29/?mc_cid=81c6c2cfaa&mc_eid=870a48a53b
‘Saved by coal’: Removed from COP26, one other actuality in India
Whereas eliminating coal could also be doable for some developed nations, it’s not so easy for creating nations.
By Employees, Aljazeera, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2021/11/1/photos-climate-crisis-saved-by-coal-far-from-cop26-another-reality-in-india
55 New Coal Energy Stations Beneath Building In India
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 4, 2021
Modi Speech–No Emissions Cuts Earlier than 2030
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 4, 2021
“I’ve tracked down the official translation from Hindu of Modi’s speech at COP26, which supplies some clarification:”
[SEPP Comment: Give me the money first!]
Fashions v. Observations
Swiss Evaluation: Local weather Fashions Operating Too Heat, Falsely Calibrated…IPCC Wants “To Evaluation Its Findings”
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Oct 30, 2021
Mannequin Points
Suppressed Late-Twentieth Century Warming in CMIP6 Fashions Defined by Forcing and Feedbacks
By Christopher J. Smith, Piers M. Forster, Geophysical Analysis Letters, Sep 13, 2021
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021GL094948
“For the 1960–2000 interval, the most recent technology of local weather fashions (Coupled Mannequin Intercomparison Venture Section 6 [CMIP6]) exhibits much less international imply floor temperature change relative to pre-industrial than that seen in observations.”
[SEPP Comment: When pressed, models can explain anything!]
Measurement Points — Floor
No person goes there anymore, it’s too crowded
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Urbanization is causing crowding! And increasing surface temperatures.]
@COP 26: Tokyo Hasn’t Seen Any Warming In October In 30 Years…No October Warming In Sapporo Both
Charts by Kirye, Textual content by Pierre, NO Methods Zone, Nov 2, 2021
1920 or 2020? Cape Leeuwin Australia version
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Measurement Points — Environment
UAH International Temperature Replace for October, 2021:+0.37 deg. C.
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Nov 1, 2021
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2021/11/uah-global-temperature-update-for-october-20210-37-deg-c/
International Temperature Report
By Employees, Earth System Science Heart, The College of Alabama in Huntsville, October 2021
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2021/october%202021/202110_Map.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2021/october%202021/202110_Bar.png
Hyperlink to report: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/
Altering Climate
11 Toes of Snow Kilos Alaskan Ski Resort, Asia Braces for a Harsh Winter,
By Cap Allon, Electroverse.web, Nov 2, 2021 [H/t Dennis Ambler]
March 1936 Flooding
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 4, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/11/march-1936-flooding-2/
October 1941
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 5, 2021
“Which simply goes to point out that you would be able to nearly anticipate something the place British climate is anxious!”
Altering Local weather
A Hundred Years Of Local weather Change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 1, 2021
“Whereas the worldwide elite try to restructure our society within the title of the local weather, we have to perceive simply how little our climate has truly modified.”
Earth’s orbit impacts millennial local weather variability
By Employees Writers, Beijing, China (SPX) Nov 03, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/reviews/Earths_orbit_affects_millennial_climate_variability_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Persistent orbital affect on millennial local weather variability by means of the Pleistocene
By Youbin Solar, et al, Nature Geoscience, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-021-00794-1
Holocene CO2 Variability and Underlying Developments
By Renee Hannon, CO2 Science, Oct 31, 2021
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V24/oct/a1.php
Altering Seas
Cyclones Downs, Corals Up – Besides in Glasgow
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Nov 4, 2021
Marine microbes simpler lowering methane than anticipated
By Employees Writers, Stockholm, Sweden (SPX) Nov 03, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/reviews/Marine_microbes_more_effective_reducing_methane_than_expected_999.html
Distinct methane-dependent biogeochemical states in Arctic seafloor gasoline hydrate mounds
By Scott A. Klasek, Nature Communications, Nov 2, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-26549-5
[SEPP Comment: They have been eating the stuff for several hundred million years.]
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
1,000 years of glacial ice reveal ‘prosperity and peril’ in Europe
Proof preserved in glaciers supplies steady local weather and vegetation information throughout main historic occasions
Press Launch, American Geophysical Union, Nov 3, 2021 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/933735
Hyperlink to paper: Alpine Glacier Reveals Ecosystem Impacts of Europe’s Prosperity and Peril Over the Final Millennium
By S. O. Brugger, et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters, Sep 23, 2021
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL095039
“Microfossil information point out that earlier than 1750 CE forests and fallow land quickly changed crop cultivation throughout traditionally documented societal crises attributable to local weather shifts and epidemics.”
[SEPP Comment: The perils of the Little Ice Age, something the UN IPCC AR6 SPM ignores!]
Meltwater runoff from Greenland turning into extra erratic
By Employees Writers, Paris (ESA), Nov 04, 2021
https://www.spacedaily.com/reviews/Meltwater_runoff_from_Greenland_becoming_more_erratic_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Elevated variability in Greenland Ice Sheet runoff from satellite tv for pc observations
By Thomas Slater, et al. Nature Communications, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-26229-4
The ‘Speculation’ That Longwave (Greenhouse Fuel) Forcing Drives Greenland Ice Soften Is Unsuitable
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Nov 4, 2021
Hyperlink to newest paper: Greenland Floor Soften Dominated by Photo voltaic and Wise Heating
By Wenshan Wang, Geophysical Analysis Letters, Mar 27, 2021
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL090653
See hyperlinks instantly above
Altering Earth
Clear Proof of a Low Altitude Cometary Air Burst Over the Atacama Desert ca. 12,000 Years In the past
By David Middleton, WUWT, Nov 4, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Widespread glasses generated by cometary fireballs through the late Pleistocene within the Atacama Desert, Chile
By Peter H. Schultz, et al. Geology, Nov 2, 2021
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/doi/10.1130/G49426.1/609354/Widespread-glasses-generated-by-cometary-fireballs
The silent build-up to a super-eruption
By Employees Writers, Geneva, Switzerland (SPX), Nov 02, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/reviews/The_silent_build_up_to_a_super_eruption_999.html
Development and thermal maturation of the Toba magma reservoir
By Ping-Ping Liu, et al. PNAS, Nov 9, 2021
https://www.pnas.org/content material/118/45/e2101695118
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Do Glaswegians Largely Breathe Nitrogen?
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Oct 30, 2021
International local weather change affect on crops anticipated inside 10 years
By Ellen Grey for GSFC Information, Greenbelt MD (SPX), Nov 02, 2021
https://www.seeddaily.com/reviews/Global_climate_change_impact_on_crops_expected_within_10_years_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Local weather impacts on international agriculture emerge earlier in new technology of local weather and crop fashions
By Jonas Jägermeyr, Nature Meals, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-021-00400-y
[SEPP Comment: More incompetence from NASA-GISS in using five CMIP6 climate models that fail basic testing against the physical atmosphere.]
Practically 30,000 going through ‘local weather change famine’ in Madagascar: UN
By AFP Employees Writers, Geneva (AFP) Nov 2, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/reviews/Nearly_30000_facing_climate_change_famine_in_Madagascar_UN_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Famine never happened before? World grain reserves are overflowing!]
Decreasing Requirements
International inhabitants measurement estimates for polar bears conflict with extinction predictions
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Oct 31, 2021
“What number of polar bears are there on this planet? This was the first query the Worldwide Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) had for the newly-formed Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG) again in 1968.”
“The issue with polar bear inhabitants measurement estimates isn’t that they signify a divide between science and public pursuits. The difficulty is that the PBSG has failed to meet its IUCN mandate in an trustworthy and clear method and particular person PBSG members gas-light the general public at any time when anybody means that polar bear numbers have elevated relatively than declined.
“What they’re doing is advocacy, not science. The IUCN needs to be ashamed it has allowed this to occur.”
BBC’s Justin Rowlatt Loses It
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 1, 2021
“This type of belligerent hectoring is completely unacceptable from our supposedly neutral nationwide broadcaster. It proves that the BBC is now merely a lobbyist for draconian local weather alarmism, and isn’t within the details or any kind of balanced debate.”
Finish of The World Harrabin Wants A Pulpit, Not A Job At The BBC
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 3, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Hilarious Writeup of the Heartland Local weather Convention
By Eric Worrall, Nov 2, 2021
‘Already too late’ to avoid wasting Churchill polar bears declare a false NY Instances local weather change cliché for COP26
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Nov 4, 2021
Making arguments is simply so tiring
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?
No, Roanoke Instances, Local weather Change Is Not To Blame for Virginia Seashore’s Flooding
By H. Sterling Burnett, Local weather Realism, Nov 5, 2021
Hyperlink to report: Land Subsidence and Relative Sea-Degree Rise within the Southern Chesapeake Bay Area
By Jack Eggleston and Jason Pope, USGS, 2013
[SEPP Comment: Fig 9 of the report shows that land compaction around groundwater withdrawal centers at West Point (off the York River) and Franklin are the primary cause of sinking. “Land subsidence in the Hampton Roads area of the southern Chesapeake Bay region has averaged about 3 mm/yr since 1940. Measured rates range from 1.1 to 4.8 mm/yr.”]
Declare: 52F – 59F Annual Common is a “Elementary” Local weather Constraint
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 2, 2021
Will increase in excessive humid-heat disproportionately have an effect on populated areas
The world isn’t solely getting hotter but in addition extra humid
Press Launch, NSF, Nov 2, 2021
https://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_summ.jsp?WT.mc_id=USNSF_1&cntn_id=303812&utm_medium=electronic mail&utm_source=govdelivery
Hyperlink to paper: Current Will increase in Publicity to Excessive Humid-Warmth Occasions Disproportionately Have an effect on Populated Areas
By Cassandra D. W. Rogers, et al, Geophysical Analysis Letters, Sep 17, 2021
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2021GL094183
[SEPP Comment: More “evidence” that humans are unfit to live in the tropics where they evolved? Why the great increase in urbanization world-wide?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
The spectre of the inconceivable
By Tim Worstall, Internet Zero Watch, Nov 2, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Exposing that an article in the Financial Times relies on modeling that uses unfeasible assumptions!]
Seth’s Nature Trick
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 30, 2021
[SEPP Comment: National International Fire Center hiding data before 1983, A Tony Heller Video TWTW missed!]
Nice Barrier Reef’s future dealt blow as examine finds solely 2% escaped coral bleaching
New analysis comes months after Australian authorities lobbied to maintain coral reef off world heritage ‘in peril’ checklist
By Graham Readfearn, The Guardian, Nov 4, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.theguardian.com/atmosphere/2021/nov/05/great-barrier-reefs-future-dealt-blow-as-study-finds-only-2-escaped-coral-bleaching
[SEPP Comment: Does not mean the corals died!]
Glasgow Airport Threatened By 26 Toes Sea Degree Rise
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 30, 2021
“I anticipate this reporter additionally thinks there are fairies on the backside of the backyard!”
Report: Nice particles in air trigger 4M untimely deaths a 12 months
By Wealthy Klein, Washington DC (UPI), Nov 2, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/reviews/Report_Fine_particles_in_air_cause_4M_premature_deaths_a_year_999.html
[SEPP Comment: The accompanying map shows a remarkable decline in PM2.5 in China, particularly south of Beijing and north of Wuhan, and a remarkable increase in desert dust!]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Glasgow Combating Local weather Change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 29, 2021
“In right now’s propaganda bulletin, the BBC has introduced a type of mindbogglingly boring academic items about Glasgow, for individuals who apparently don’t know that the town was stuffed with slums and constructed ships:
“I actually wouldn’t trouble studying it!”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Kids
Local weather Scientists to Their Youngsters: We’re Going to Die Just like the Dinosaurs
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 4, 2021
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Local weather Doom Pantomime at Glasgow, the most popular occasion for the Uber Wealthy to jet into on Fossil Fuels
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 3, 2021
Climate Doom Pantomime at Glasgow, the hottest party for the Uber Rich to jet into on Fossil Fuels
Questioning European Inexperienced
Inexperienced suicide
Babiš criticised the European local weather bundle in Glasgow
By Employees, Czech Press Company, By way of Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Nov 1, 2021
https://motls.blogspot.com/2021/11/green-suicide.html
What Will Internet Zero Value You
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 31, 2021
Video on precise prices to UK residents.
[SEPP Comment: Once you establish policies, technologies will be established?]
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
The safety threats of Internet Zero: One in all 36 Stratagems to defeat the enemy
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Oct 29, 2021
The security threats of Net Zero: One of 36 Stratagems to defeat the enemy
Hyperlink to report: The Worm within the Rose
By Gwythian Prins, GWPF, Press Launch, Oct 23, 2021
Zero means zero… vitality
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Biden Peddles Inexperienced New Deal to UN Whereas U.S. Economic system Suffers
By Ron Estes, Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 01, 2021
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/11/01/biden_peddles_green_new_deal_to_un_while_us_economy_suffers_801572.html
Serfing the planet
Inexperienced insurance policies will speed up the immiseration of the worldwide working and center class.
By Joel Kotkin, Spiked, Nov 1, 2021
Funding Points
China and India Demand a TRILLION {Dollars} to Cut back CO2 Emissions
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 3, 2021
Local weather summit president: Developed nations will ‘seemingly’ commit greater than $500 billion in local weather finance
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Nov 3, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/579807-climate-summit-president-developed-countries-will-likely-commit
The Political Video games Proceed
Nice Speech: The Oil execs are owed an apology
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Oct 30, 2021
“Florida Rep Byron Donalds let’s rip on the committee’s intimidation ways, on their rank infringement of freedoms to talk, to do enterprise, and to carry opinions.”
Vitality Points – Non-US
How Local weather Activists Brought on The International Vitality Disaster – OpEd
By Michael Shellenberger, Eurasia Evaluation, Oct 27, 2021
Vitality Points — US
Financial hassle to worsen for ALL Individuals (and Europeans)
By Employees, ICECAP, Oct 17, 2021
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/economic_trouble_to_worsen_for_most_amercians/
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
Louisiana Is Main America’s LNG Increase
By Haley Zaremba, Oil Worth.com, Nov 2, 2021
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Pure-Fuel/Louisiana-Is-Main-Americas-LNG-Increase.html
“The pure gasoline sector will likely be weak to the identical vicious storms, which can solely proceed to worsen within the coming years, in no small half due to the continued growth of the selfsame trade.”
[SEPP Comment: Hurricanes never hit Louisiana before?]
Return of King Coal?
Coal retains lights on at COP26 as low wind strikes once more
By John Constable, Internet Zero Watch, Nov 3, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: REALISM OR UTOPIANISM?: A proposal for reform of Internet Zero coverage
By John Constable and Capell Aris, GWPF, 2021
Nuclear Vitality and Fears
Reemergence Of Vitality Sanity? Europe Now Considers Nuclear, Pure Fuel As Sustainable
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Oct 29, 2021
Cease burning bushes! Go for nuclear and gasoline to go inexperienced
By Employees, Internet Zero Watch, Nov 5, 2021
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
China sweeps up lithium provides in acquisition blitz
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 4, 2021
Wind Energy Well being Results (newest from Scientific Studies)
By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, Oct 28, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Results of low-frequency noise from wind generators on coronary heart price variability in wholesome people
By Chun-Hsiang Chiu, Nature Scientific Studies, Sep 8, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-97107-8?fbclid=IwAR1-D0UwXjdrwJTFenv–wG8IyEUIlEz8bOyy7msRk_oBDx0jn6qsk9RuMA
Who wants home windows anyway? Examine exhibits houses close to wind generators want hermetic shut home windows
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Oct 30, 2021
Who needs windows anyway? Study shows homes near wind turbines need airtight shut windows
“What number of coronary heart assaults ought to we have now right now to keep away from one heatwave in 2100?”
See hyperlinks instantly above.
Greening deserts: India powers renewable ambitions with photo voltaic push
By Glenda Kwek, Bhadla, India (AFP) Nov 2, 2021
https://www.solardaily.com/reviews/Greening_deserts_India_powers_renewable_ambitions_with_solar_push_999.html
Vitality and Environmental Evaluation: November 1, 2021
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Nov 1, 2021
Virginia’s Blackout Vitality Plan (‘bloody costly,’ says E&E Information)
By Thomas Stacy II, Grasp Useful resource, Nov 2, 2021
Offshore wind in North Carolina: 5 issues to know from our collection
By Charles Duncan, Spectrum Native Information, NC, Oct 29, 2021
https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nc/charlotte/information/2021/10/29/offshore-wind-in-north-carolina–five-things-to-know-from-our-series
“Offshore wind might imply massive enterprise and clear vitality for North Carolina.”
[SEPP Comment: Big business or bankruptcy, the answer is blowing in the wind?]
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Different
Black carbon aerosols heating Arctic: Massive contribution from mid-latitude biomass burning
The year-to-year spring variation in Arctic black carbon (BC) aerosol abundance is strongly correlated with biomass burning within the mid-latitudes. Furthermore, present fashions underestimate the contribution of BC from biomass burning by an element of three
Press Launch, Nagoya College, Nov 4, 2021 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/933667
Hyperlink to paper: Arctic black carbon throughout PAMARCMiP 2018 and former plane experiments in spring
By Sho Ohata et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Nov 4, 2021
https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/15861/2021/acp-21-15861-2021-assets.html
[SEPP Comment: Based on between 03-03-2018 and 04-04-2018]
Landmark U.S. $4.5 Billion Louisiana Clear Vitality Complicated
Press Launch, Air Merchandise, Accessed Nov 5, 2021
https://www.airproducts.com/campaigns/la-blue-hydrogen-project
Nacero to construct $6B pure gasoline to gasoline plant in Luzerne County
By Invoice O’Boyle, Instances Chief, Pennsylvania, Oct 29, 2021
“’We are going to give on a regular basis drivers zero sulfur, 100% home, low- and web zero-carbon gasoline to be used of their present autos with out modification,’ mentioned mentioned Jay McKenna, Nacero’s CEO. ‘Our reasonably priced and accessible merchandise will clear the air and scale back international warming.’”
Carbon Schemes
Prince Charles urges radical rethink of our cities to fight local weather change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 31, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Increase urbanization, and urban warming?]
Individuals (Strange, that’s) want to alter their weight-reduction plan and flying habits to assist planet, chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance warns
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 29, 2021
California Dreaming
California Governor Gavin Newsom Proclaims Pure Fuel To Be Zero-Carbon
By James Conca, Forbes, Nov 3, 2021
https://www.forbes.com/websites/jamesconca/2021/11/03/california-governor-gavin-newsom-proclaims-natural-gas-to-be-zero-carbon/?sh=40d77bf762ad
[SEPP Comment: The Governor decrees no C in CH4!]
Environmental Business
Carl Pope on Vitality: Precisely Backwards (old-school alarmist in denial)
By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, Nov 3, 2021
Contradicting remark by David Middleton: “The world is already in an ‘vitality disaster’ of kinds because of the large misallocation of capital from functioning vitality infrastructure to legendary vitality infrastructure. This has largely been pushed by the false notion {that a} large discount in greenhouse gasoline emissions is the one solution to save our planet (cue George Carlin). As if this wasn’t dangerous sufficient, the COP 26 path ‘to net-zero emissions’ is ‘paved with’ nothing apart from ‘dangerous assumptions’.”
If Solely Local weather Activists Cared About Elephants
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Nov 2, 2021
“The issue for the elephants is searching – unlawful poaching – which was as soon as such an issue for polar bears.”
Different Scientific Information
Origins of contemporary wheat could present clues to creating it stronger
By Brian P. Dunleavy, Washington DC (UPI), Nov 1, 2021
https://www.seeddaily.com/reviews/Researchers_Origins_of_modern_wheat_may_provide_clues_to_making_it_stronger_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Inhabitants genomic evaluation of Aegilops tauschii identifies targets for bread wheat enchancment
By Kumar Gaurav, et al, Nature Biotechnology, Nov 1, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41587-021-01058-4
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Extra money than brainosaurus
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
Hyperlink to video which will work: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/save-your-species-united-nations-uses-dinosaur-fossil-fuel-message-n1282628
[SEPP Comment: An example of the finest brains on this planet determined to fix climate?]
24 bottles of dying on the wall
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 3, 2021
“A single eight-ounce glass of beer takes about 20 gallons of water to provide. The brewing course of requires giant quantities of electrical energy – to warmth scorching water and steam after which for refrigeration. Then there’s glass and aluminum for containers and plastic and cardboard for packaging.”
EU have to be joking! VDL [ President of the European Commission] shamed for 31-mile personal jet flight whereas hailing local weather deal
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 2, 2021
“No shock that the EU troughers are on the entrance of the hypocrisy queue!”
[SEPP Comment: Not confirmed]
The COP26 menu is ‘like serving cigarettes at a lung most cancers convention’
Local weather and conservation teams have questioned the sustainability of the COP26 menu, which is nearly 60 per cent meat or dairy primarily based.
By Sarah Wilson, Large Situation, Nov 2, 2021
https://www.bigissue.com/information/atmosphere/cop26-haggis-the-most-unsustainable-dish-at-glasgow-climate-conference/
[SEPP Comment: Let them eat gruel! The meetings will be less costly to the environment!]
ARTICLES
1. We’re Safer From Local weather Disasters Than Ever Earlier than
Although it receives little point out from activists or the media, weather-related deaths have fallen dramatically.
By Bjorn Lomborg, WSJ, Nov. 3, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/climate-activists-disasters-fire-storms-deaths-change-cop26-glasgow-global-warming-11635973538?mod=opinion_major_pos5
TWTW Abstract: The president of the Copenhagen Consensus and a visiting fellow on the Hoover Establishment writes:
“Activists continually discuss in regards to the existential risk local weather change poses and the deaths pure disasters inflict—however they by no means fairly handle to whole up these deaths. One purpose is that it’s simpler to bend the info about catastrophe frequency than to bend dying statistics. Loss of life tolls inform a really clear story: Persons are safer from climate-related disasters than ever earlier than.
“As this collection of articles has lined already, most of the fearful descriptions you hear of souped-up hurricanes, warmth waves and wildfires aren’t correct. And estimates of expensive however more and more frequent local weather damages are usually designed to mislead. One you see repeated typically within the media is the Nationwide Facilities for Environmental Data’s statistic that the variety of pure disasters costing over $1 billion in injury is on the rise. However as this collection defined in regard to flood prices, solely measuring the full injury of pure disasters over time misses the vital level—there’s rather more stuff to wreck right now than there was a number of many years in the past.
“Because the world has gotten richer and its inhabitants has grown, the quantity and high quality of buildings within the path of floods, fires, and hurricanes have risen. Should you take away this variable by taking a look at injury as a p.c of gross home product, it truly paints an optimistic image. The development of weather-related damages from 1990 to 2020 declined from 0.26% of worldwide GDP to 0.18%. A landmark examine exhibits this has been the development for poor and wealthy nations alike, whatever the kinds of catastrophe. Financial development and innovation have insulated all kinds of individuals from floods, droughts, wind, warmth and chilly.
“Nonetheless, it’s simple to misuse the info to make issues appear worse than they really are. The Worldwide Catastrophe Database—the most important catastrophe information depository on this planet—makes an attempt to register each disaster across the globe utilizing reviews from sources starting from the press to insurance coverage corporations to United Nations businesses. However as a result of the web and proliferation of media has made it a lot simpler to entry data right now, the database information small pure disasters from 1980 onward that in prior many years wouldn’t have been recorded.
“This skews the database by making it seem there are extra whole disasters right now than the previous. (A number of U.N. businesses have twisted this information to say simply that.)”
Lomborg offers particular examples of information manipulation resembling earthquakes and hurricanes. He then continues:
“Loss of life totals, alternatively, are a lot much less pliable. Whereas reviews on local weather catastrophes multiplied over the past century, large-scale deaths have been persistently recorded. The truth is, the catastrophe database’s dying toll could be very near official estimates. And that information tells an unimaginable and heartening story. A century in the past, nearly half one million folks died on common annually from storms, floods, droughts, wildfires and excessive temperatures. Over the subsequent 10 many years, international annual deaths from these causes declined 96%, to 18,000. In 2020, they dropped to 14,000.
“Unsurprisingly, the media this 12 months has been crammed to the brim with protection of pure disasters, from the Northwestern Warmth Dome to floods in Germany and China. But it has conveniently unnoticed the full dying toll. Thus far 5,500 folks have died from climate-related disasters in 2021. Utilizing earlier years’ information to extrapolate, climate-related deaths will most likely whole about 6,600 by the top of the 12 months. That’s nearly 99% lower than the dying toll a century in the past. The worldwide inhabitants has quadrupled since then, so that is a good larger drop than it seems.
“As has been the case throughout this collection of articles, financial development and technological innovation get the credit score for our bettering place. Human beings are fairly good at adapting to their atmosphere, even when it’s altering. Preserve that in thoughts while you see one other fearful headline about local weather disasters.”
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2. Right now’s Historic Summit Agreements Don’t Have A lot of a Future
Whether or not it’s COP26, the G-7, or the G-20, few of the politicians signing offers have the mandate to take action.
By Joseph C. Sternberg, WSJ, Nov. 4, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/historic-summit-virginia-governor-youngkin-cop26-emission-climate-change-glasgow-g7-g20-11636037685?mod=opinion_featst_pos2
[SEPP Comment: Discussed in the This Week section above.]
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3. Steep Cuts to Carbon Emissions Acquire Stronger Financial Backing
New analysis on the price of local weather change lends assist to harder pledges forward of the Glasgow local weather convention
By Greg Ip, WSJ, Oct 31, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/steep-cuts-to-carbon-emissions-gain-stronger-economic-backing-11635672601?mod=hp_major_pos1#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: Beneath a photograph of chimneys blackening the skies, the reporter discusses the varied fashions used to forecast future injury from the usage of fossil fuels (all assuming IPCC claims are appropriate) then writes:
“Michael Greenstone, a College of Chicago economist who led the Obama administration’s calculation of the social value of carbon, mentioned that is now not ok. Mr. Nordhaus’ estimate of two% GDP loss is ‘not grounded in empirical proof,’ he mentioned. ‘Nor does it seize and replicate the heterogeneity, the variations in local weather impacts around the globe.’
“He mentioned that since 2010, 438 empirical research of local weather affect have been launched, none of that are mirrored in established fashions. Mr. Greenstone co-founded the Local weather Impression Lab to place local weather economics on an empirical basis. Its findings break vital new floor. For instance, they present the 2 greatest sources of injury from local weather are untimely dying and decreased labor productiveness because of excessive warmth, neither of which determine prominently in established fashions.”
In an digital publish to the article, Haapala wrote: Empirical basis such because the photograph of smokestacks blackening the skies with invisible carbon dioxide? There isn’t any important bodily proof that CO2 is inflicting harmful international warming, simply hypothesis utilizing pc fashions as stable as these used to assert that the US will run out of oil and gasoline by the top of the Twentieth century. Since John Tyndall began utilizing early spectroscopy in 1859 to point out the significance of the greenhouse impact for human existence, we have now had over 150 years of laboratory experiments backed by over 40 years of atmospheric observations displaying no harmful warming from CO2 – all ignored by the IPCC and the US authorities! US local weather science ignores the area age. Don’t imagine me? Present me the bodily proof that I’m fallacious!
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