The Origin of New York Smoke and the Wet Period Ahead
After a below-average wildfire season, the area is set to get wet, especially BC, Alberta and northern Washington (see rainfall forecast below through Wednesday).
The temperature will not exceed 50 degrees on Saturday and Sunday.
Predict cumulative totals through Wednesday afternoon. Very, very wet red.
Hopefully, this wet reality with climate change wildfire threats has sobered up, such as in the Seattle Times.
After I talk about this soggy future for our region, I’ll turn to smoky New York in the podcast.
As I explain, the smoke from the Quebec fires is started for a brief period in late spring after the snow melts and before new trees “grow green”. An area of strong high pressure leads to rapid warming of up to 20-25F, drying up dead vegetation from the previous year.
Then a higher-level disturbance moved in, creating lightning, igniting dry vegetation, and the wind combined with the disturbance ignited the fires.
THEN the low deepened and got “stuck” off the east coast, sucking up the smoke that enveloped the metro areas of NY.
A lot of random things happened at the right time and in the right way. Like getting all six with multiple dice.
None of the essentials has been significantly altered by anthropogenic climate change.