The NFL’s weekly betting frenzy has been snuffed out for at least a week as no team below double-digits managed to land a full victory for the first time in weeks. While bettors certainly thanked it for it during their Thanksgiving dinner, it should also be noted that the only reason it didn’t happen was because there were no games with a spread two numbers.
That said, the team with the biggest margin of the week, the Cowboys – who were backed by 7.5 points – lost outright to the Raiders in extra time. So, in a way, this odd, unpredictable betting season continues.
During Week 13, gamblers will continue to review the latest odds, trends, outcomes and injuries to inform them of undervalued options both against spread and outright. Unfortunately, they’ll have to sort through two double-digit differences, as the Buccaneers (-10.5) and Rams (-13) take precedence over the Falcons and Jaguars respectively. Those two opponents Candlestick win those games, but at this point, nothing is obvious. Are not.
Most of the lanes left this week are tight, like they were in Week 12. That means a lot of good matches will be explored this week. Well, they can also be close, ugly games like Ravens-Browns and Washington-Seattle’s first games from last week, but we’ll certainly hope for the former.
AFC continues to be a diary while the battle for NFC Wild Card points is starting to heat up, so most of the competing teams are still fighting for something. It would also be nice to get the 9-2 Cardinals – and a presumably healthy Kyler Murray – back on the roster. They have resisted the spread very well this year, and they will have a good chance against the Bears.
For more expert NFL predictions, check out Sporting News picks straight and against the contagion for Week 13.
NFL WEEK 13 PICKS: Fight the contagion | Straight
NFL Odds for Week 13
Here are the latest NFL Week 13 odds, including point spread, paylines and totals for each game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last Updated: Wednesday, December 1.
NFL Week 13 Score Spread
| Game | Transmitted |
| Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints | DAL -4.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings at the Detroit Lions | MIN -7 |
| The Arizona Cardinals at the Chicago Bears | ARI -7.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Atlanta Falcons | Average -10.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans | IND -9.5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets | PH -6.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals | CIN -3 |
| New York Giants at Miami Dolphins | MIA -3 |
| Washington football team at Las Vegas Raiders | LV -2.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens at the Pittsburgh Steelers | BAL -3.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams | LAR -13 |
| San Francisco 49ers at the Seattle Seahawks | SF -3.5 |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | KC -10 |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | BUF -3 |
NFL Cash Flow Week 13
| Game | Cash flow |
| Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints | NUMBER +172 |
| Minnesota Vikings at the Detroit Lions | CARD +245 |
| The Arizona Cardinals at the Chicago Bears | CHI +290 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Atlanta Falcons | ATL +420 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans | HOU +310 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets | NYJ +220 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals | LAC +146 |
| New York Giants at Miami Dolphins | NYG +130 |
| Washington football team at Las Vegas Raiders | OK +120 |
| Baltimore Ravens at the Pittsburgh Steelers | PIT +166 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams | JAX +490 |
| San Francisco 49ers at the Seattle Seahawks | SEA +148 |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | DEN +360 |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | NE +130 |
NFL over-under Week 13
| Game | On lower |
| Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints | 47.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings at the Detroit Lions | 46.5 |
| The Arizona Cardinals at the Chicago Bears | 45.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Atlanta Falcons | 50.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans | forty six |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets | 45.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals | 50.5 |
| New York Giants at Miami Dolphins | 41.5 |
| Washington football team at Las Vegas Raiders | 49.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens at the Pittsburgh Steelers | 44 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams | 48 |
| San Francisco 49ers at the Seattle Seahawks | 45.5 |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | 47.5 |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 43.5 |
NFL POWER RANKINGS: Patriots, 49 people rose after victory
The best bets for the NFL for Week 13
Broncos (+10) in Chiefs
Sometimes you will look at a spread and just immediately think and know, “Wow. This is too high.“ This is one of those cases.
There’s no denying that the Chiefs have been playing better in recent weeks. They have won 4 games in a row and their defense is playing significantly better than at the start of the season. However, they are not guaranteed to beat the Broncos, a pretty good team, by double digits.
In fact, the captains often play discreetly this season. They have won just three of their seven games by double digits this season. Those guys went up against the Eagles, Washington, and Raiders. All of those matches were one-man matches at a time in the second half, so even those were a little closer than the final result suggested.
I know there are some positive trends towards the Chiefs in this regard. Specifically, they have beaten the Broncos 11 times in a row, so it is unlikely that Denver will win this match right away. However, the Broncos have kept six of those games within 10 points, so even though they lost, they’re still close. That includes the 22-16 loss the Broncos suffered at the end of last season.
Plus, it’s probably this Broncos team’s best iteration since the 2015 Broncos started their losing streak. Those Broncos are Super Bowl champions. These guys aren’t all perfect, but they have a solid defence, good attacking weapons and a solid midfield in Teddy Bridgewater.
It also helped Bridgewater be an elite 42-18-1 against the spread of his career at the start. That includes a 6-5 difference this season.
This seems like a good place to put some faith in Bridgewater and the Broncos. The captains will be ready for this game after a bye week and will win, but double-digit wins are not yet guaranteed. Professional bettors seem to agree, as Denver has a 34% pro early week edge, per BetQL. So basically, people gambling for a living are putting huge sums of money on Denver to cover. Therefore, we would recommend trusting them in a close match.
49ers (-3.5) at Seahawks
Okay, it’s officially time to wipe out the Seahawks. They may bounce back at some point, but after the 17-15 “Monday Night Football” loss to Washington, it’s hard to be optimistic that they will.
Seahawks look completely lost. They couldn’t run the ball without Chris Carson. Russell Wilson is having trouble shooting the ball accurately and is off target on a number of passes that lead to loss of control. Worst of all, the team couldn’t hold the ball. They created only 18:20 in possession and had five trebles in the second half.
Wilson is still suffering from a finger injury from his pitcher, so maybe he’ll finally get out of his funk. That said, it might be too late to do that. Seattle fell 3-8 and appears to have been knocked out of the Wild Card race. They won’t give up during the off-season, but if their struggle drags on, they could reach a climax.
The regular Seahawks will look extremely attractive with the home team under 3.5 points, but they are not as strong at home as they used to be. They have only one win at Lumen Field, although they have played their last few games against the Saints and Titans. Plus, the 49ers are playing well and are considered a tough game for the Seahawks.
The 49ers are sixth in the NFL in dash yards per game with 130.9. Seattle allows ninth fastest dash yards per game (124.9). The 49ers’ average possession time is 31:04 this year, the 9th best in the NFL. The Seahawks died last with the 24:09 mark. That number is nearly three minutes behind the 31st-ranked Jaguars.
What does all this mean? The 49ers are basically built to beat the Seahawks. They can control the clock and force Wilson to beat them with a limited number of turns. He can do it, as he demonstrated in the Seahawks’ 28-21 win earlier this season, but the 49ers have gotten much healthier since then. Elijah Mitchell did not compete in that game and Jimmy Garoppolo was injured in that game. With both of those, the Seahawks will have a harder time competing with San Francisco.
Taking any team as a 3.5-point favorite is a risk. That’s part of the reason that both BetQL and keen bettors see the Seahawks (+3.5) as one of this week’s top picks.
Even so, I still can’t trust Seattle again. This doesn’t look like a good match for the Seahawks. Stopping this powerful rampage from San Francisco seems too difficult for them, and the 49ers’ assault won’t be as frequent as Washington’s.
TRADE RUMORS: Why Washington is a good fit for Russell Wilson
Jet (+6.5) vs Eagle
I already know. Jets are bad. They’re winning, but it’s the Texans, so we shouldn’t read too much into that, should we?
Yes Yes. You’re right. Here’s the problem, though: we don’t like Jets because of the way they performed last week. It favors an important factor on the side of the Eagles’ balls.
Jalen Hurts is dealing with an ankle injury he sustained during the game against the Giants. That could affect whether he can play in Week 13, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter.
Eagles bronze medalist Nick Sirianni said today QB Jalen Hurts is nursing an ankle injury he sustained in Sunday’s loss to the Giants. It could affect the availability of Hurts for Sunday compared to the Jets, with the Eagles saying goodbye next week.
– Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 29, 2021
Here’s a look at Hurts’ trauma. It didn’t look like much, but it was enough to make him limp.
This is how Jalen Hurts hurt his ankle on Sunday
You can see him limping afterwards, especially leaving the field after the loss
Nick Sirianni says they hope Jalen will be able to play on Sunday but is uncertain yet pic.twitter.com/kKvb9yNUZX
– John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) November 30, 2021
It’s never fun to trust an injured midfielder, especially one who relies on his mobility and is dealing with an ankle injury. If Hurts is the right fit, he may have trouble moving around the bag and doing plays, which is what he does best. Trusting him in that perspective wouldn’t be ideal.
And if Hurts does not play, reserve Gardner Minshew will become the starting midfielder for a week. Minshew had some stellar performances starting with the Jaguars, but we haven’t seen him do much with the Eagles yet. He could give the Eagles a leg up, but trusting him would be a risky proposition unless the line drops below three.
It sounds crazy, but consider betting the Jets on this slot. It was a good match for them and it is possible that Zach Wilson will be able to find success against a kicking Eagles team with the second lowest of any team (16.9%).
