By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
UAH’s global lower troposphere anomaly for June 2023 increased by 0.01 K from 0.37 K in May to 0.38 K. Thus, the new Pause remains at 8 years 10 month:
Nere is the entire dataset from December 1978 to June 2023:
IPCC (1990), in business as usual emissions scenario A in First assessment report, predict 0.3 [0.2, 0.5] decade-first global warming from 1990-2090. Scenarios B, C, and D all predict less warming, but they all predict fewer emissions errors than Scenario A. For example, Scenario B predicts that annual emissions will be zero increased from 1990 to 2025. In reality, however, emissions have more than halved since 1990. Scenario A, then, is the emissions scenario against which we have to evaluate the IPCC projections, which have proven to be exceed. For the rate of warming since 1990 is only 0.137 K over the decade-firstshows that the IPCC’s initial prediction range is 220%. [150%, 370%] of observable reality.
Here is the UAH temperature record since 1990:
The latest El Niño is going well now. In its past form, it will soon end the Present Pause. Currently, the speechless BBC is covering up and predicting a new record global temperature.
The realitometer, unchanged since last month, continues to show an excess of prediction over observed reality:
Meanwhile, Norwegian climate realists have taken on the daunting task of founding an international journal of climate science and philosophy. The journal is perhaps unique in that it allows the challenge of the official narrative. Climate change science (https://scienceofclimatechange.org). Volume 1.1 arrives on August 1, 2021 with a memorial to Professor Nils-Axel Moerner, two book reviews, and seven feature-length articles (including one of mine on What is science and what is not?. The journal is free to read, but requires authors to pay a small fee to cover publication costs.
I remember Energy and Environment with influence. That journal once provided a home for peer-reviewed articles that defenders of the Party Line would not allow publication elsewhere. Currently Climate change science are performing a similar role. Contributions to new journals are welcome.
volume 2.2 published an article by the late Ernst-Georg Beck, CO . atmospheric reconstruction2 Background level since 1826 from direct measurements near the ground (https://doi.org/10.53234/scc202112/16). A dataset of average annual CO2 Background levels measured directly from 1826 to 1960 are presented. It is based on a process of selecting approximately 100,000 individual samples from more than 200,000 available samples near land on land and at sea, mainly in the northern hemisphere. One of Beck’s discoveries was CO .2 levels around 1940 peaked at 370 ppmv.
Beck’s article sparked a good debate, of which a large part can be seen in Vol. 3.2, the latest of the seven to date (https://scienceofclimatechange.org/volume-3-2-june-2023). Volume 3.2 begins with an essay by Richard Mackey focusing on how the oscillations observed in several atmospheric and oceanic subsystems are primarily responsible for Earth’s weather and climate. The rotation creates oscillations and is the main cause of the climate change we observe. This is currently being ignored.
Ferdinand Engelbeen commented on the above mentioned article by Ernst-Georg Beck. His article was posted for public review, attracting some comments from both sides. Professor Hermann Harde has shown that the CO . release equations2 from land and ocean as higher temperatures may account for the observed peak. In short, there was a debate about a climate question. That, by itself, is rare and valuable.
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