NBA knockouts begin Saturday with top seed Milwaukee Bucks enters the post-season as a +275 betting favorite. That’s tied for the longest odds for bettors entering the post-season since 2000, making it an extensive knockout on paper.
4 seeds phoenix sun were prioritized to win in the West, making them the third team to be placed fourth or below as the convention’s favorite in the knockout stages and the first since 2021 Los Angeles Lakers lost in the first round as the 7th seed to the Suns.
The golden empire warriors second favorite in the West. They are the first six seeds that have been at least -200 favorites in the playoff series over the past 35 seasons.
While the Los Angeles Lakers are seventh in title odds at Caesars Sportsbook (14-1), they are the weaker team to Grizzly Memphis. It will be the first time LeBron James once ended as the weak team in the playoffs.
Playoff Trends
The bottom score was 51-34-2 in the knockout stages last season, including 21-6 in games 5-7. The bottom scoreline has been 223-186-10 for the past five seasons, including 68-49-2 in games 5-7. The bottom score in Game 1 was also 35-24-1 in the last four seasons.
The hosts are 42-33 ATS in Game 1 of the playoff series for the last five seasons. The scoreline was 42-32-1 in Game 1 during that period (35-24-1 in the last four overtimes).
In the last five seasons, the hosts have scored 88-61-1 ATS in the first two games of the playoff series, including 47-32 ATS in the first round. Top lane teams were 36-20 ATS in Game 6 and 7 in that time period (13-4 ATS in Game 7).
In the last 11 seasons, teams that have at least six points preferred are 227-170-4 ATS (0.572). After last season, the favorites with at least 8.5 points are 2-8 ATS, while the favorites 6-8 points are 17-3 ATS.
phoenix sun (-470) at Laser cutting (+350)
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This is the widest price chain in the first 4-5 round match since 2018 when Cleveland Cavaliers is -600 vs Indiana Pacers (won in 7 games).
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The Suns got -200 favorites as they beat the Clippers in the 2021 Western Conference Finals (Clippers +170).
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The Suns drew 2-2 on aggregate and 3-1 ATS against the Clippers in the regular season. Kevin Durant play in none of those games.
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The Suns lead 8-0 and 6-2 ATS with Kevin Durant in the lineup. Top and bottom are 4-4.
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Phoenix was 8-4 ATS in the first games under Monty Williams.
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The Clippers are 40-42 ATS this season. They are 28-24 ATS with Kawhi Leonard in the squad.
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Clippers’ home games are 26-15 over, while Clippers’ home games are 26-14-1 over.
Philadelphia 76ers (-900) at brooklyn network (+600)
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The 76ers are 48-34 ATS in the regular season, the best record in the NBA and tied with the 2016-17 season for the 76ers’ best run of the past 30 seasons. The score was 45-36-1 in the 76ers’ games.
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The -900 series price is the second-biggest series price of the Philadelphia favorites over the past 35 seasons, just behind the first round in 2021 when the 76ers beat the Wizards in five games for a -1000 favorite.
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The Nets were 43-39 ATS in the regular season with a bottom score of 44-38. They are 13-14 ATS since then Mikal . Bridge‘ premieres on February 11 (under: December 15).
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The 76ers won 4-0 overall and 3-1 ATS in the regular season against the Nets. The score is 3-1.
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Doc Rivers is 16-31 ATS in potential serial games, including 3-14 ATS since leaving the league Boston Celtics.
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Philadelphia is 9-6 ATS on at least eight points this season. However, out of 6 times without scoring, they lost 5 times.
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A win in the Nets series would be the biggest series win since the Western Conference 2020 semi-finals when Denver nuggets (+850) upset the Los Angeles Clippers. The last time a team weaker than +600 won a playoff series outside of the 2020 pandemic bubble was in round 1 in 2012 when the Philadelphia 76ers (+900) upset the team. Chicago bulls Later Derrick Rose injured.
Cleveland Cavalry (-210) at New York Knicks (+175)
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This is the first time the Cavaliers have been favored in the playoff series without LeBron James on the roster since the first round in 1996, when they lost the series -185 to the New York Knicks.
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The Cavaliers are 27-16-1 ATS in the regular season when at least four points are preferred and 16-21 ATS in all other games (7-10 ATS as the weaker team).
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Tom Thibodeau is 6-21 outright and 11-16 ATS as the underdog after the season. The Knicks trailed 1-4 and ATS in the knockout stages last season under Thibodeau with a 4-0-1 scoreline.
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The Knicks have won 3-1 overall and ATS against the Cavaliers this season, all of which are underdogs, including by a margin of victory in their last three meetings.
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The Knicks overs are 24-16-1 favorites this season (18-20 as the underdog).
King Sacramento (+225) vs. golden empire warriors (-275)
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The Kings are the first top 3 seed to have at least +200 weaknesses in the first round of the past 35 seasons, while the Warriors are the first team to be seeded 6th or lower to be the -200 series favorite in the Round. 1 during that period. They are the fourth lane team in the last 20 seasons to have at least a -200 favorite in the first round.
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The Warriors are the seventh team in the past 20 seasons to become the favorites in the first-round playoff series despite being seeded sixth or worse. Five of the previous six cases actually lost the beloved series on the road, including all four.
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The Warriors have led 11-30 this season, the fourth-worst record in the NBA, just ahead of the Spurs, Rockets and Pistons. The Warriors have the league’s worst 12-29 ATS on the road, the second-worst regular-season record of any team over the past 30 seasons, just ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers 2020-21 (10-26 ATS during the season. shortened solution). However, the kings only have 18-23 ATS at home.
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While they’ve struggled on the road, the Warriors have won 33-8 at home this season, including a league-best 27-13-1 ATS. They were led 5-0 by ATS as the weaker team at home. However, the Kings have the best ATS road record in the NBA with a score of 27-14, including 14-7 ATS as the favorite and 13-7 ATS as the underdog.
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Both teams also had fierce points sharing phase at home. The upper score is 28-12-1 in the Warriors’ road games, compared to the bottom score of 23-17-1 at home. Kings home games are 25-15-1 over, while Kings road games are 25-15-1 over bottom.
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The Kings have exceeded expectations this season, becoming the best-performing player to win any league in the NBA, NFL, MLB or NHL over the past decade, winning the Pacific with score 250-1. Their win total is also 34.5, the lowest of any team that made it to the knockout stages. They entered the season 350-1 to win the NBA championship and 150-1 to win the Western Conference championship.
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Mike Brown is 48-34-1 ATS in his post-season career (0.585). Steve Kerr is 68-57-2 ATS in his post-season career (0.544).
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The Warriors are 45-35-2 this season, tied for the fourth-highest record in the NBA.
Boston Celtics (-1000) vs Atlanta Hawks (+650)
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This is Boston’s biggest favorite in a streak since the first round of 2008 when they were -8000 favorites against the Hawks (won in 7 games).
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The Celtics have won and have met five times in a row, including three times this season.
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The Hawks’ games are 47-36 this season (0.566), the third-highest score in the NBA, including 29-18 as the favorite. Celtics games are 42-39-1 to the end, but 25-15 at home.
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The bottom scoreline has been 17-5-1 in the Hawks’ knockout games over the past two seasons, including a 5-0 scoreline after last season.
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The Celtics are 17-15-1 ATS when prioritized by at least nine points this season. However, they only lead 9/24.
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A Hawks series win would be the biggest series win since the 2020 Western Conference semifinals when the Denver Nuggets (+850) upset the Los Angeles Clippers. The last time a team weaker than +600 won a playoff series outside of the 2020 pandemic bubble was in the first round of 2012 when the Philadelphia 76ers (+900) upset the Chicago Bulls after Derrick Rose was injured.
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The play-in tournament winners were 6-3 ATS in their first knockout.
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The Hawks are not favored by more than 7.5 points this season with Young Tea in the squad. With Young, the Hawks drew 3-3 on aggregate and ATS were at least four points behind, including their win in the play-in tournament as five points behind at Heat Miami.
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The two seeds were 99-73 ATS in the most recent post-production year. In the past six postseasons, the seven and eight seeds have totaled ATS 44-82-1.
Grizzly Memphis (-135) vs Los Angeles Lakers (+115)
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This is the first time LeBron James has been defeated in a first-round play-off series.
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This is the third best record for a 7th seed in a first-round knockout in the past 35 seasons. The Lakers are -175 road favorites in 2021 against the Suns (losing), while the Celtics swept the Nets last season with -130 favorites. This is only the sixth first round 2-7 series in the past 35 seasons where the favorites have no odds of at least -200.
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Under the score of 14-3 in 17 meetings since James joined the Lakers in 2018. The hosts have won and drawn all three meetings this season (the Grizzlies have taken precedence in all three meetings in this season). regular season).
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The Lakers’ pass is 25-16 on the road versus 18-24 at home. The Lakers’ final eight games of the regular season go over points total, but their play-in against Minnesota ended with a 23.5-point lower total despite overtime.
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James’ teams are leading 3-14 and 6-11 ATS in Game 1 of the road playoff series.
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James is 148-115-3 ATS in the knockout round (0.563).
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The play-in tournament winners were 6-3 ATS in their first knockout.
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The two seeds were 99-73 ATS in the most recent post-production year. In the past six postseasons, the seven and eight seeds have totaled ATS 44-82-1.
