John Deere Classic 2024 odds, picks, lineups: Surprising predictions from golf model called 13 majors
After stopping in Detroit last week, the PGA Tour will make another visit to the Midwest this week with the 2024 John Deere Classic. The event begins on July 4, and fireworks have become the norm at the event, as more than half of its editions are decided by a shot or a playoff. TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Ill., will host the 2024 John Deere Classic, and the par-71 course is a breeding ground for low scores. Heading into the 2024 John Deere Classic, the tournament’s five most recent winners had an average score of nearly 22 under par.
Sungjae Im, who has five top-10 finishes this season, is the 14-1 favorite, ahead of only Sepp Straka (15-1) and Aaron Rai (16-1). Jordan Spieth is 20-1 in the latest 2024 John Deere Classic odds as he looks to win his third tournament. Before locking in your picks for the 2024 John Deere Classic, make sure See PGA predictions and projected standings from proven computer models at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has been incredibly popular since the PGA Tour resumed play in June 2020. In fact, the model has raised nearly $9,500 on the best bets since the restart, winning every tournament.
The model also won 13 majors over the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third consecutive Masters — and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who followed the model saw huge returns.
Now that the 2024 John Deere Classic has been set, SportsLine has simulated the race 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now for projected standings.
Top Predictions for the 2024 John Deere Classic
One big surprise the car is calling for at the 2024 John Deere Classic: Spieth (20-1), a two-time winner of the event and a top-ranked favorite, stumbled this week and just missed the top five. Spieth is often hailed as one of the best hitters on the PGA Tour, and he enters this week’s event ranked seventh in batting average (1.717).
However, Spieth has finished T29 or worse in each of his last nine starts on the PGA Tour, including two missed cuts. He has also struggled with his irons this season, ranking 70th in greens in regulation (66.05%) and 110th in strokes gained: approaches to the green (-0.085). TPC Deere Run is heavy on ball striking, which doesn’t bode well for Spieth’s chances of finishing atop the leaderboard. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Keith Mitchell, a 30-1 underdog, made a strong run for the title. Mitchell finished seventh at this event in 2019, and he has performed admirably on courses comparable to TPC Deere Run. The course is on the short side of PGA Tour courses, like TPC River Highlands and Hamilton Golf & CC, and Mitchell posted top-10s in his last starts at those venues.
Additionally, Mitchell is the best ball-striker in the 2024 John Deere Classic, leading all competitors in both strokes gained: tee-to-green and SG: off-the-tee while ranking second among competitors in SG: approach the green. TPC Deere Run has 11 par-4s, and Mitchell also happens to be one of the best players on those holes, with a 3.98 scoring average that ranks 14th on the entire PGA Tour. Mitchell’s odds for the event have taken a hit after last week’s elimination in Detroit, but his strengths will be amplified at a course like Deere Run. See who else to support here.
How to Choose a John Deere Classic 2024
The model also targets four other golfers at odds of 22-1 or better who will make strong runs for the title, and McClure’s best bets include a big 66-1 long-shot to win outright. Anyone backing those long-shots could be in for a big win. You can only see the model options here..
Who will win the 2024 John Deere Classic and which underdogs will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2024 John Deere Classic odds below and then Visit SportsLine to see the projected standings for the John Deere ClassicAll have followed a pattern that has won 13 major golf tournaments, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.
John Deere Classic 2024 Odds, Top Contenders
Get full John Deere Classic 2024 picks, best bets and predictions here.
Sungjae Im 14-1
Sepp Straka 15-1
Aaron Rai 16-1
Denny McCarthy 18-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Davis Thompson 22-1
JT Poston 28-1
Maverick McNealy 28-1
Nick Dunlap 28-1
Keith Mitchell 30-1
Jason January 33
Kevin Vu 35-1
Sam Stevens 40-1
Beau Hossler 40-1
Adam Svensson 40-1
Eric Cole 45-1
Luke Clanton 45-1
Lucas Glover 50-1
Patrick Rodgers 60-1
Seamus’ Power 60-1
