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Bookmakers’ thoughts on Ohio State-Penn, Commanders-Colts; Gambling nuggets


Sure, San Francisco 49ersLos Angeles Rams matchup is one of the more exciting games on the NFL’s Week 8 odds table. And there’s no shortage of conspiracies around Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers like the double-digit team on Sunday night at Buffalo Bills.

But it’s another game that doesn’t have much of an appeal that has seen some exciting action this week: Washington Commanders in Indianapolis Colts.

Here are the details for that contest, along with some other betting information on NFL Week 8 odds and college football Week 9 odds.

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Lassoed Colt

Indianapolis Colts Midfielder Matt Ryan suffered a split shoulder in a losing week 7th at Tennessee. So most people expect Ryan to miss some time. But coach Frank Reich decided that for Ryan, announcing Monday that Sam Ehlinger will begin the rest of the season.

Reich raised the second year’s QB above Nick Foles and even Ryan. Therefore, the old general in the 15th season will be a backup plan when he recovers. This news caught the attention of bettors in a hurry.

“The big move here was on Monday when the Colts coach announced the transfer of the set,” said Rex Beyers, a longtime odds expert who is now head of bets for PlayUp USA. quarterback”. “They were all scrambling for Washington +4 when that announcement was made. But I’m not particularly worried.”

When the Commanders bet comes in, the Beyers initially move the Colts down -3 at PlayUp, then down -2.5. He’s since returned the Colts to -3, and he enjoys his position on the other side of keen customers who feel like they’ve struck a deal in Commanders +4 and +3. Especially since Beyers, who hails from Indiana, has heard nothing but good things about Ehlinger, the former Texas Longhorns The standout will start his first NFL.

“At this point, Indianapolis is better with a more mobile quarterback with better arms,” Beyers said. “There’s a good chance the Colts have solved their two biggest problems – QB and attack lane – with this move if he’s as good as the reports I got from home saying he’s the best player. I’ll upgrade the Colts, not downgrade them.

“So I’m perfectly fine needing the Colts for a good pile on Sunday, as we do right now.”

Who wants to go to the West?

The Rams and Niners met in last season’s NFC Championship Game, and LA eventually won the Super Bowl. Neither team has much to write home about so far this season. Currently, the Rams are at 3-3 straight up (SU) and 2-4 over spread (ATS), while the 49 houses are 3-4 SU and ATS.

In fact, both are currently leading the NFC West of Seattle (4-3 SU and ATS). San Francisco is behind LA on the leaderboard, but the Niners have a game against Los Angeles. On Monday night of Week 4, San Fran won 24-9 as the home favorite by 1 point.

On Sunday, during FOX’s national 4:25 p.m. ET, the Rams are hoping to get some payback. WynnBet trader John Manica says the odds movement so far has been interesting.

“This line actually opens on [last week’s] look ahead at Rams -2.5. Since then, the 49ers have acquired Christian McCaffrey are from Panthers. This makes a lot of sense since reports have come out that the Rams are apparently also racing for CMC,” Manica said. The 49ers won that battle and faced the Rams for the first time. We have seen numbers move significantly after [McCaffrey] deals for the 49ers, who are currently preferred by 1.5.

“So far, the action is small on the 49ers, but the recipients are wide Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is now a question mark for the game. The real action is yet to come, but pressure is on the Rams to avoid the 49ers’ sweep, especially [after] lost to CMC. “

Dylan Brossman, senior director of trading operations for FOX Bet, also pinpointed the 49ers-Rams clash.

“We’re seeing a bit more confidence with the Niners, despite placing 1.5 points. Almost 57% of the money is behind San Fran on the road,” Brossman said. “The Niners’ defense has struggled for the past two weeks, 44 points ahead of Chief and 28 destinations Atlanta. While the Rams have struggled hard this season, they can get help in the form of running again. Kyren Williams and wide receiver Van Jefferson this week.

“The Rams are tending to be healthier, thanks to the timely goodbye, while the 49th team still rushes on both sides of the ball. I prefer the Rams at home to win instantly.”

Aaron Rodgers’ Dog Day

NFL Week 8 odds include a historical benchmark that no one thought Aaron Rodgers would see: is a two-digit number. But with Green Bay lost three in a row – first Jet plane, Giant and Commanders – and currently traveling to face Team Buffalo on bye week, the Rodgers-led outfit is an 11-point dog at WynnBet.

“Wow. I didn’t expect this game to have two numbers when that year started,” Manica said. “Here we are in October and the Bills have separated themselves as an obvious Super Bowl favorite. The Bills are clearly a pass-oriented offense and have since moved on to this philosophy. , it’s important to note the wind in Buffalo. High winds in Buffalo really hurt the home field advantage, as the Bills are significantly better than the home differential with low wind conditions.”

When it’s midweek, Sunday night calls for low to mid-50s temperatures and light winds.

Manica said: “A beautiful night is in the cards in Buffalo. This is troubling the Packers.” “The line of sight ahead is Bills -8 on this game. We opened Bills -11, close to where the market is, at -11.5. Green Bay will have to hope for a bearish night against the market. with Bills to get up to speed in this one.

“So far, we’ve seen small two-way action on both sides [spread] and sum, but no bets are significant. The team bill total (Over 28.5) is an attractive choice for the game if you are not interested in placing a high number on the spread. “

Sharp face

A professional bettor in Vegas jumped to 49th last week with +2.5. But other than that, he wasn’t really attracted to the NFL’s Week 8 odds table.

“Honestly, I don’t like this week so far. Injury reports on Thursday and Friday are required,” he said while pointing at him. Dolphin in Lion Fit. “Detroit +3.5 will most likely be a play. As long as D’Andre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown Good to go, I’ll take the points. “

Swift (ankle/shoulder) looks set to compete for the first time since Week 3. And coach Dan Campbell hopes St. Brown will be back after the concussion ceremony.

College Football Rocks on FOX

Saturday’s college football league kicks off with Big Noon on FOX, in which you have Gus Johnson on your TV – could it get any better? – when the number 2 Ohio State go to 13th place Penn State.

Beyers believes the 15-point margin could be a bit steep for the Buckeyes in the ET midday game.

“Ohio State did not play an offense. Toledo is the best the Buckeyes have seen so far,” said Beyers. That changes this week. That’s a big number on the road, even with an early start. “

That important Big Ten meeting was followed up on FOX by a Big 12 contest between number 9 Oklahoma State and number 22 Kansas Statebegins at 3:30 p.m. ET.

DraftKings opened Oklahoma State -1 and quickly switched to Kansas State -1 when the line went up Sunday afternoon. The Wildcats briefly touched -2 ​​on Monday afternoon and have since stabilized at -1.5. But as of Wednesday night at DraftKings, visiting Cowboys had collected 75% of early differential tickets and 76% of early arbitrage tickets.

Eagles Win / Steelers Cover?

That’s how FOX Bet customers are playing Sunday’s Keystone State battle between Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) and undefeated Philadelphia Eagles (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS).

On the money line – a bet where a team simply has to win, no spread – the Eagles are taking 90% of the total midweek at FOX Bet. And that is despite the huge money-flow price above the favorite of -550, which means a $550 wager to win $100.

But on the Eagles spread -10.5, 60% of the money went to the Steelers to avoid losing more than 10. Brossman wasn’t interested in Pittsburgh’s chances to keep this game in the numbers.

“The Eagles have said their goodbyes, while the Steelers are having a brief week after their loss in Sunday Night Football to the Dolphins,” Brossman said. “Pittsburgh hasn’t scored more than 20 points since Week 1, and I expect that to continue on Sunday. Philly’s offense is simply too much for Pittsburgh to catch up on. The Birds should hit. get 10.5.”

I like big bets and I can’t lie

Sportsbooks hasn’t shared much on how to bet on NFL Week 8 main bets or Week 9 college football games. But the final game of Week 7 saw one Caesars Sports customer hit it all. ways to be there with the big bottom door team Chicago Bears.

New Jersey bettors dropped $15,000 on the Bears +300 cashflow, expecting Chicago to be completely disappointed. As it turned out, the team 8.5 points behind the Bears won 33-14. Bettors don’t even need to break a sweat before cashing out their $45,000 winnings.

The same bettor also bet $40,000 on Bears +8.5, so he bets on that number with another $36,364.

If only we had a bank account to pile into a match as pitiless as the Bears-Patriots and beyond about $80k or so. Here’s hoping you all get lucky – though certainly on a smaller scale – throughout this upcoming football weekend.

Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and a senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a well known journalist in the national sports betting space. He lives in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in the 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.


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