2024 Masters odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that nailed 10 majors
It wasn’t long ago when Jon Rahm slipped on the green jacket for the first time in his career. Rahm secured his second major title with a 12-under par performance in last year’s Masters, beating Brooks Koepka and Phil Mickelson by four strokes. Rahm will look to defend his title at the 2024 Masters, which gets underway from Augusta National Golf Club on Thursday, April 11. The 2024 Masters odds list Rahm at 19-2 to repeat. Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are going off as the 15-2 co-favorites in the 2024 Masters field, followed by Viktor Hovland (15-1), Koepka (19-1), and Jordan Spieth (19-1) on the PGA odds board.
Should your 2024 Masters predictions involve backing a favorite or should you target a longshot like Tiger Woods (75-1), Justin Rose (75-1), or Phil Mickelson (130-1)? Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the 2024 Masters golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler’s 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. McIlroy has won three of the four grand slam titles, but he’s never been able to break through at Augusta National.
He’s especially struggled at the Masters in recent years, finishing 67th or worse in two of his last three starts. McIlroy missed the cut in 2023 after firing a 77 in the second round. The 34-year-old star is among the longest hitters on the PGA Tour, but he’s struggled with accuracy. Last season, McIlroy ranked 171st in driving accuracy (53.25%), which spells trouble at a demanding course like Augusta National.
Another surprise: Xander Schauffele, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Thomas has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Schauffele has been hitting the ball well off the tee this season, averaging over 300 yards per drive. Schauffele’s ability to drive the ball deep into the fairway allows him to use his short irons to approach the green. That lethal combination has helped him rank second in greens in regulation percentage (80.30%) and 18th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.772). He also ranks inside the top 20 in strokes gained: total (1.322), scoring average (68.00), and birdie average (5.20). Schauffele is one of the top value picks that should be all over your radar at the Masters 2024, according to the model. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Masters, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Masters 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Masters leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including last year’s Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Masters odds, field
Full set of Masters picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Jon Rahm +950
Viktor Hovland +1500
Brooks Koepka +1900
Jordan Spieth +1900
Cameron Smith +2100
Patrick Cantlay +2100
Ludvig Aberg +2100
Justin Thomas +2400
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2800
Bryson DeChambeau +3200
Tony Finau +3600
Cameron Young +3600
Will Zalatoris +3600
Dustin Johnson +3600
Max Homa +4100
Sung-Jae Im +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4600
Min Woo Lee +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Jason Day +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +5500
Tommy Fleetwood +5500
Patrick Reed +5500
Sam Burns +7000
Joaquin Niemann +7000
Brian Harman +7500
Corey Conners +7500
Justin Rose +7500
Tiger Woods +7500
Louis Oosthuizen +9000
Russell Henley +9000
Talor Gooch +9000
Nick Dunlap +9000
Phil Mickelson +13000
Gary Woodland +13000
Adam Scott +13000
Seamus Power +15000
Abraham Ancer +15000
Chris Kirk +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Si Woo Kim +16000
Tom Hoge +18000
Sergio Garcia +18000
Mito Pereira +18000
Keegan Bradley +18000
Charl Schwartzel +19000
Cameron Champ +19000
Kurt Kitayama +19000
J.T. Poston +19000
