David Middleton’s “Scenario Statistics” guest
Who else has played? Baseball Strat-O-Matic? One of mine Moneyball–Type strategy is to draft great players situational statistics. I especially remember two players. We drafted based on the 1989 League Baseball Teams roster. Paul O’Neill, then joined the Cincinnati Reds to a 0.455 record against right-handed pitchers and Fred Manrique, a convenient quarterback. benefits of the Texas Rangers, has nearly 500 batting averages with runners-up in scoring.
The strategy of blocking Paul O’Neill against right-handed pitching, and using Fred Manrique exclusively as a footballer with the runner in the scoring position, achieved a number of Strat- O-Matic is impressive, but very little like the real thing, like the wind of a day or two. set end.
The Bloomberg headline (walled article) is steroid fake news:
Recorded for the first time in nuclear energy, nuclear energy, coal has passed the wind
Clickbait dominates the headlines:
The E&E articles, published on Unscientific Americans less misleading, but still fake news:
In the first, wind generation topped nuclear and coal power for a day
The milestone shows both how far renewables have come and how far the country has to go to meet President Joe Biden’s climate goalsBy Benjamin Storrow, E&E News on April 15, 2022
According to the US Energy Information Administration, wind was the second largest source of electricity generation in the country as of March 29. report Yesterday, marked the first time that wind output simultaneously exceeded coal and nuclear in a 24-hour period.
[…]
The March 29 spike in wind output was driven by the Great Plains states. Southwest Power Pool, the regional grid operator for 14 states stretching from Oklahoma to North Dakota, reported that renewables accounted for 90% of electricity generation as of March 29, with nearly all of the output. coming from the wind.
[…]
The Unsci-Unam article links to this EIA paper:
April 14, 2022
Wind is the second largest source of US electricity generation as of March 29On Tuesday, March 29, wind turbines in the Lower 48 states generated 2,017 gigawatthours (GWh) of electricity, making wind the second-largest source of electricity generation for the day, behind only natural gas, in our opinion. Hourly grid monitor. Daily wind power surpassed electricity from coal-fired and nuclear power on other days earlier this year but has not surpassed both sources in a single day.
Steady growth in installed capacity of wind turbines in the United States has led to more wind power generation. In September 2019, US wind capacity surpassed nuclear capacity, but wind still generates less electricity than nuclear due to differences in the use of those technologies.
Medium capacity number of US wind generators (35% 2021) is lower than the average power factor of nuclear generators (ninety three% in 2021), designed to run at or near full output, which they usually do. Wind turbines currently rank as the third largest source of production in the United States, after natural gas generators and coal-fired generators.
In the United States, wind speed, and correspondingly wind power generation, usually peak in spring. On March 29, the Southwest Power Pool (SPP), which includes parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and surrounding states, and the Electrical Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) all reported report new records of wind infiltration. Wind penetration represents the portion of the electricity demand that is met by wind generation. SPP report wind penetration of 88.5% on March 29, and ERCOT report wind penetration 67.2% on the same day.
Because electricity demand tends to the lowest in the spring and autumn months, some generators — including nuclear and coal — have reduced output or scheduled maintenance during these months. Additionally, on days when the weather leads to more wind production, competing coal and natural gas generators are often required to reduce output in order to provide overall electricity to match demand.
The natural variation in wind speed that contributes to wind production varies widely, depending on the time of day or the season. Wind ranked as the second largest source of US power generation for the first time in an hour in late March 2021.
On a monthly basis, we had less create wind in the United States than natural gas generation, coal thermal poweror create nuclear. We do not expect wind to overtake coal or nuclear power in any month of 2022 or 2023, based on most recent Short-term energy outlook forecast.
Our Hourly grid monitor publishes electricity output from generators measured within the reporting scope of the balance sheet regulator. Typically, balancers do not measure generators on a distributed system — both large-scale and small-scale distributed resources, such as rooftop solar photovoltaic systems. . String data in Monthly electricity represent our official statistical reports and include both large and small scale resources in the generated data.
Main Contributors: Jonathan DeVilbiss, M. Tyson Brown
Card: generation, coal, electricity, nature Air, Atom, recycled energy, wind
On a particularly windy spring day, when thermal power plants were operating for a season of low demand, during the strongest wind of the year, the wind one day blew away nuclear power and charcoal.
This “milestone” was largely driven by the Southwest Power Group (SWPP), an area with phenomenal wind resources and lots of installed wind capacity.
At this time of year, wind is often the leading source of power generation in SWPP…
It will be interesting to see how much wind power must be truncate and how many emigrants? bird was killed on March 29.
Put this into context and we can see that the wind remains in a distant fourth place:
Wind works OK where it works, when it does, unless you happen to be a migratory bird… In which case it works best when it doesn’t, which is most of the time in most places. Fake news isn’t necessarily false… It’s often a story with an unreliable title, which is easily covered by the media because it fits their worldview.
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