Essay by Eric Worrall
h/t Hedley; “Everyone is dying from climate change now” – but “solar and wind acceleration” will save us from “the most severe climate change scenarios”.
A new climate reality: Less warming but worse impact on the planet
The most severe climate change scenarios are now less likely, scientists say, but extremes are still poised to overwhelm societies
Via The Scott Dance
January 6, 2023 at 6:30 a.m. EST…
Accelerating use of solar and wind power means global warming likely won’t reach the extremes once feared., said climate scientists. At the same time, recent heat, storm and ecological disasters demonstrate that the impacts of climate change can be more severe than anticipated even with less warming.
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Scientists have pointed to recent signs of the fragility of societies: drought contributed to the Arab Spring uprisings; California nearly lost power on a large scale amid record high temperatures; Heat waves kill tens of thousands of people each year, including in Europemost developed continent on the planet.
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“Everyone is dying from climate change right now,” said Sonia Seneviratne, professor at ETH Zurich’s Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Sciences in Switzerland. “We’re already starting to see events with a near-zero probability of happening without human-caused climate change.”
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Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/01/06/climate-change-scenarios-extremes/
Back to the real world, For the first time, total coal consumption reached 8 billion tons ever in 2022. Oil use is skyrocketing. The increase in CO2, measured at Mauna Loa observatory whenever the volcano is not Eruptionshas shown a significant steady upward progress.
So what has led to this desperate attempt to come up with less climate scenarios and claim, despite the lack of evidence, that wind and solar are about to have an impact on global CO2 increases?
My guess, and this is just speculation, is that climate scientists are worried about the impact on their credibility for growing pause in global warming.
I’m not suggesting that any of them have considered the possibility that they could be wrong. The alarming climate scientists really trust their models. But pauses and warming trends that deviated from their predictions upset them, even as they told each other that the deviation was due to natural variability.
Many of them are expecting an outbreak of severe global warming at any time, once the inexplicable natural variation that is hiding pent-up global warming unleashes the its restraint. In my opinion this is why they continue to make ridiculous “end of snow” guess.
… Where did the heat go? … Why don’t you agree with a statement that says we can’t tell where the energy is going or if the clouds are changing to make the planet brighter? We are not close to balancing the energy budget. The fact that we can’t explain what’s happening in the climate system makes any consideration of geoengineering hopeless, as we will never be able to tell if it will work or not! It’s a farce! …
Climategate Email 1255523796.txt (October 14, 2009 speaker .) Professor Kevin Trenberth)
Some of them even expressed hope that the world would suffer a global climate catastrophe, just so they could be unequivocally proven right.
… This is from an Australian at BMRC (not Neville Nicholls). It starts from the attached article. What an idiot. The scientific community would certainly attack me if I said that the world has cooled since 1998. Okay, that’s true, but that’s only 7 years’ data and it’s not statistically significant. … As you know, I am not politically active. If anything, I want to see climate change happen, so that science can prove it right, whatever the consequences. This is not politics, it is selfish. …
Climategate Email 1120593115.txt (speaker 5/7/2005 Professor Phil Jones)
How much evidence does it take to convince climate scientists to warn they’re wrong about global warming?
In 2015, UK climate change secretary Rudd Amber tried to bring skeptics and skeptics into the same room, to see if they could resolve their differences.
According to Breitbart;
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“We identified them on this hiatus… they argue that yes, there may have been a hiatus, but warming could be spreading into the ocean, or it could be due to mountain activity. fire. So we asked at what point would you start accepting that there is no warming. If five years, or ten years without warmth? “
They finally admit it they will wait fifty years.
“We asked, is it fifty years from now, or fifty years from 1997, when the hiatus begins? They say they won’t change their mind 50 years from now.
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In other words, we will never convince most of the core cadres of climate believers. Most core cadres will go to their graves still waiting for global warming to break through, regardless of whether observational evidence contradicts their model predictions.
“People underestimate the power of models. Observational evidence is not very helpful. Our approach is not entirely based on experience.” – John Mitchell, MET UK.
If we can’t convince the most vigilant climate scientists, we can try to reach those less committed to their theories. We regularly prove predictions of impending climate catastrophes unreliable, by highlighting all absurdity and prediction failure.
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