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Updates, rumors and predictions about the MLB 2022 winter meeting


For the first time since 2019, the baseball team winter meetings are back!

All signs point to a week filled with rumors, contracts and deals in San Diego — and we’ve got it all for you right here, from our MLB experts’ predictions in meetings to updates and the latest analysis when the moves go down .

When Judge Aaron decide between staying with New York Yankees and go to San Francisco Giants or another suitor? Which of the four front-runners in this year’s free agent class will find a home first? And will Justin Verlander or Carlos Rodon Sign up to lead your team’s rotation before the meetings are over Jacob deGrom make waves by joining Rangers on Friday night? Check out our predictions now and update regularly for the latest information as the week progresses.

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Deals we want to see | Top free agent | Preview of Passan | FA class


winter meeting prediction

Who will be the biggest names signing in San Diego?

Bradford Doolittle: Jeff Passan recently written that Aaron Judge’s free agency will most likely end before the winter meetings are over. Judge is the biggest name in the free agency market. So you don’t have to be Aristotle to see the logic of claiming that Judge will be the biggest name to sign.

Buster Olney: Judge’s situation is very similar to that of deGrom — he’ll get a big deal, as the top freelance agent on the board, but not many pursuers. It sounds like he’s heard the best offer he’ll ever hear from the Giants and from the Yankees. Agents not involved in the negotiations are predicting he will do something in the next 24 to 48 hours.

Joon Lee: Judge. There will be a big domino effect after he signs and is likely to set the market for the biggest contract. The Yankees will have a lot of plans for their season formed around the outcome of what happens to slugger and how they approach spending money this season, especially with an impatient fan base. rings for the championship like they used to do.

David Schoenfield: The judge is right. Because he actually has fewer teams chasing his signature than some other famous players, all he has to do is make a decision. His market is independent of everyone else’s, so while it may benefit players in other positions — like four stops — to wait for the dominoes to start falling, but there’s no benefit for the Judge to wait. And if it’s just between the Yankees and the Giants, that decision could come in San Diego.

Jesse Rogers: Justin Verlander. He doesn’t sound like a “wait until February” guy. His market is not necessarily tied to Judge. The pitchers are starting to sign contracts, and Verlander should sooner or later sign. He’s also different from other pitchers in that he’s older, which means he may not be the one looking for rejection and the like.

What is the only rumor that will dominate the week?

Olney: Verlander’s situation may mirror what happened to Trevor Bauer’s freelance agency a few years ago, with the Dodgers vs Mets duel. He’s a future Hall of Famer and upcoming Cy Young Award recipient, and will have an immediate impact — and both of these teams need him.

The Mets just lost another future Hall Famer at deGrom and have big holes in their rotation and could really use a plug and play star — and Verlander’s contract structure (wage) high, short-term contracts) suited the Dodgers’ preferences. With Bauer, the Mets thought they had a right-hander signed before the Dodgers rushed in last to send Bauer away; Both parties will be well aware of that history as they go through this process.

There’s been a lot of chatter in the front offices about how Max Scherzer and Verlander might not be the best of friends and whether that factor could have influenced the Mets’ pursuit of Verlander, but keep in mind. that — during the Buck Showalter days with the Diamondbacks, he managed Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson, Hall of Fame pitchers who weren’t close but pushed each other spontaneously. course.

Doolittle: Of all the chases involving short distances, the Twins’ pursuit of Carlos Correa seems to be the most high-profile story topic. That suggests Correa could be the first domino to drop in the derby to knock him out, Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts or Dansby Swanson. Maybe that won’t mean Minnesota will hold a big press conference to announce that Correa will be returning to the Twin Cities — or maybe it will. But I can certainly see discussions about Correa looming in the meetings, not just because he is a star player in his own right, but because of the signing of him. could create a chain reaction for the rest of the market.

Schoenfield: I’ll go with all the rumors surrounding the Mets. With three starters and two dropping their top setup from 2022, all at free agency, they have some big moves to make – which could include a standout, such as signing Verlander to replace deGrom on top of their rotation. But they’ll need at least one more starting pitcher after that, maybe two, some painkillers… oh, and a striker to replace them. Brandon Nimmo if he signs elsewhere. The Mets say they want to keep their prospects, and while Francisco Alvarez is untouchable, they may also have to review some transactions.

Lee: I’m curious what happens with the Xander Bogaerts situation in Boston. The Red Sox’s main office – both private and public – has changed its tune dramatically when it comes to getting ready to hand him a big deal. While there are certainly business reasons not to sign Bogaerts – especially with questions surrounding how long he will stay – the fan base is growing increasingly angry with the organization. organization about attitudes around signing star players, starting with the trading Mookie Betts. If Bogaerts leaves, Boston will need to be aggressive in free agenting to upgrade the team because of patience in getting thin amid the Red Sox Nation.

Rogers: No matter where you turn, the subject will inevitably find its way to the Judge. Will he leave New York or not? It’s not quite the same plot when Babe Ruth leaves the Red Sox for the Yankees — but it’s almost damned.


Latest news, rumors, updates from San Diego

Monday, December 5

The latest on the top four free agent stops

The shortstop market is nowhere near to be found. With four players sought after by up to 10 teams, it can take a while. But the deeper into the season, according to one executive, the less likely it is that any of them will re-sign with their former team. (The exception is Carlos Correa, who can re-sign with the Twins as a re-sign with the old/new team). There is no great sign who can sign first. — Jesse Rogers


Why Verlander could be the next big name to sign

There is an expectation that Verlander will soon sign the contract once deGrom has left the board. The majority of executives remain firmly convinced that he will leave the Astros. — Rogers


How early pitching signings set the standard

A market ($11 million to $13 million per year) for the second tier of free agency touts has been established. Conversations are currently swirling around the total number of packages. Mike Clevinger has a year. Zach Eflin has three. Dealers like the Eflin package, totaling $40 million. — Rogers

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