Saturday’s $100,000, Grade 3 Autumn Miss Stakes at Santa Anita Park brings collectively a area of eight 3-year-old fillies traversing a mile on the turf. Six of the eight have received both their most up-to-date race or the one proper earlier than that, and all eight fillies have been stakes-placed at the least as soon as up to now.
Madone is probably the most completed by way of earnings at $367,800. She earned a few of that bankroll profitable the Grade 2 San Clemente Stakes at a mile in July, the identical distance she’ll attempt once more within the Autumn Miss. Spanish Loveaffair can be a stakes winner, profitable the non-graded Pebbles Stakes final month in New York (she additionally completed first within the Grade 3 Herecomesthebride Stakes in February however was disqualified). Zero Tolerance stretches out to a mile off a win within the Unzip Me Stakes over this course simply 27 days previous to Saturday and is tied for probably the most flippantly raced filly within the area, having run simply 3 times. Ego Trip is the opposite filly making simply her fourth profession begin; she completed third within the Grade 2 Lake Placid Stakes in August, which was her most up-to-date race. Eddie’s New Dream completed second within the Melair Stakes on grime in June and just lately received strongly on the grass, whereas Freedom Flyer missed by a head within the California Oaks this previous April. Burgoo Alley was third behind Zero Tolerance within the Unzip Me and in addition stretches out, having received at a mile on turf simply earlier than that begin. Javanica missed by lower than a size in each the Grade 3 Jimmy Durante Stakes and the Blue Norther Stakes final November and December and returns from two months off following a sixth-place effort within the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks.
I consider strongly Zero Tolerance is the one to beat on this yr’s Autumn Miss Stakes, even over a number of stakes winner Madone. Zero Tolerance missed by a nostril in a giant effort when rallying from eighth of 10 in her profession debut this previous August in a turf dash. Bettering properly 19 days later, she received on grime then moved again to turf for the Unzip Me Stakes on Oct. 3 on the distance of 6 ½ furlongs. Within the Unzip Me, Zero Tolerance rallied from sixth of seven within the early phases to win going away. That effort earned her a profession finest 98 Equibase Pace Determine and if she makes a logical enchancment in solely the fourth begin of her profession on Saturday, it might put her at, or above, the 104 field-high figures Spanish Loveaffair earned profitable the Pebbles Stakes and Madone earned profitable the San Clemente Stakes. There isn’t any doubt in my thoughts Zero Tolerance can stretch out to a mile and run a profitable race, on condition that her dam Torreadora additionally produced a number of stakes winner El Tormenta, who received the 2019 Grade 1 Ricoh Woodbine Mile Stakes. Santa Anita’s main jockey Flavien Prat was within the saddle as Zero Tolerance received her final two races, and he rides again Saturday. That’s another excuse this filly will get prime billing.
Madone has received 5 of 9 races in her profession, together with two of three on the Santa Anita turf and 4 of eight stakes tries. Her finest effort got here in July when she received the San Clemente Stakes on the distance of the Autumn Miss and earned a career-best 104 determine. Nonetheless, her most up-to-date two races had been a few of her poorest efforts as she completed fifth within the Del Mar Oaks after which fifth once more within the Jockey Membership Oaks Invitational final month in New York. Then once more, neither of these was held at a mile, the space of the San Clemente which Madone returns to. Moreover, the Del Mar Oaks was a Grade 1 race and though not but graded, the Jockey Membership Oaks goes to be a Grade 1 race sooner or later. As such, the drop to the Grade 3 stage within the Autumn Miss, and the return to a mile and to a turf course she has had success over previously bode properly for Madone regaining prime type.
Honorable point out goes to Burgoo Alley and Javanica, and I’d take into account each for any exacta tickets performed. Burgoo Alley received at Santa Anita in a turf dash this previous June, making her second begin since importing from Eire. She stretched out to 2 turns subsequent and ran two “A” races in a row, first dropping by a head with a 101 determine after which profitable an allowance race at a mile with a stakes-quality 103 determine. She then stumbled at the beginning of the Unzip Me to be final of seven, was rushed as much as third, fell again to fifth, after which re-rallied for third. Javanica completed second in a pair of stakes final fall and winter on this circuit with large efforts after which tried grime within the Santa Anita Oaks. When that experiment failed, she moved again to grass for the Senorita Stakes at a mile on turf in Could (received by Madone) however ran right into a ton of visitors bother and was finally moved up from sixth to fifth after one other horse was disqualified for interference. Returning in July, Javanica earned a career-best 101 determine with a win in an allowance race however then light to fifth after main from the beginning within the Del Mar Oaks. Freshened once more, she has potential to run in addition to she did in July and might be a contender.
The remainder of the sphere, with their finest Equibase Pace Figures, is Eddie’s New Dreams (86), Ego Trip (94), Freedom Flyer (88) and Spanish Loveaffair (104).
Win Contenders:
