Questions still to be answered The office claims that 2022 is the hottest year on record in the UK
VIA CHRIS MORRISON
There’s a lot of excitement – even jubilation – at the Met Office and its mainstream media publishing partners with News that the UK is on track to record its ‘warmest’ year ever (at least since records began about 150 years ago). Supported by mild winters and autumns and brilliant summers, the average temperature in 2022 looks set to be 9.99oC, up from 2014’s previous record of 9.88oC. But overall global temperatures, according to precise satellite measurements, have not changed in more than eight years. As we’ll see, the Bureau of Meteorology’s ramping up of surface measurements seems to be due to something that increases urban heat corruption, as well as some curious placement of the measuring instruments.
There is no more curious placement of a measuring device than halfway up the runway of a military airbase, home to two squadrons of Typhoon fighter jets. The Bureau of Meteorology tells us that one of the extreme weather conditions of 2022 is a peak temperature of 40.3oC on July 19. Regular readers will recall that we have Make a question This ‘record’ at RAF Coningsby, as the temperature was held for only 60 seconds at 3:12 pm and was preceded by a 0.6°C rise in the previous two minutes. By 15:13, the temperature dropped to 39.7oC. The Met Office first explained that the sudden increase could be due to cloud cover, but a satellite photo showed clear skies across Lincolnshire at the time. The daily skepticism It has since been determined that at least two Typhoon jets were operating at the base at the time. The Met Office ignored all of our follow-up questions about the claim.
The Coningsby incident is an indication that urban heat may be corrupt for much of the Met Office’s surface temperature database. Airport locations where high temperatures are commonly reported at nearby Heathrow and RAF Northolt. Temperature records at airports are an easy source of data, as precise measurements along the runway are necessary for aircraft to move safely. But similar temperature deviations are also found in towns and cities.
In recent Breakthrough work, two American scientists – Dr. Roy Spencer and Professor John Christy – working at the University of Alabama at Huntsville, isolated the impact of urbanization on temperature measurements. They used a satellite database of urbanization change called ‘Built Up’ and discovered large corruptions in the urban record. Over the past 50 years, it has been found that warming has been magnified by as much as 50% across the eastern United States.
Spencer and Christy also examined several US airports, comparing raw data from the US NOAA weather service with their ‘de-urbanization’ figures. At Orlando International Airport in Florida, NOAA data shows a strong warming of 0.3oC per decade, but this has dropped to just 0.07oC when adjusted for urban temperatures. The two scientists have provided similar findings to Canada and promise to work in other countries in the future including the UK.
In the US, NOAA’s surface data has been criticized on several scientific fronts. American meteorologist Anthony Watts recently published a study 10 years calls the database “seriously flawed”. He found that 96% of temperature stations in the United States did not meet what NOAA considered itself an acceptable and unmodified location standard. These findings should be of great concern as US records are a large component of global databases, including one run by the Met Office called HadCRUT. These global databases have been adapted to show more recent global warminga trend that is not immediately apparent in meteorological or satellite records.
Given the evidence of recent urban heat, daily skepticism asked the Met Office if it intends to continue using raw data from airports and urban areas without doing significant recalculations to remove all non-climate corruption? As we have noted, the Met Office has not responded. But urban heat corruption should be a major consideration when analyzing this much cited data. In the hot summer of 1976, the average annual temperature was 8.74oC, compared to 9.99oC this year. But only 56 million people lived in the UK some 50 years ago compared with almost 69 million today. Over the past 50 years, there has been considerable urban development, and many towns and cities have increased significantly in size and density.
It is reasonable to question whether the average Met Office temperature increase of more than 1°C during this period only reflects a natural increase or about 50% warming is a transient feature of urban development. ? Someday the Met Office may tell us. Since 1979, satellite records show global warming of about 0.6°C. Temperatures still have to pass their last peak in 1998.
In the meantime, it’s at full speed with stories of weather disasters designed to advance Net Zero’s political agenda. In the latest Armageddon climate preaching, BBC published a Met Office press release listing this year’s “extreme” events. Obviously, Coningsby’s victory was mentioned (see above), but so was the mild fall. Also, “extreme” are the brief winter cold in early December (who never predicted that would come?) and three storms in February. Low pressures often follow one another in midwinter off the Atlantic, so why this is considered “extreme” remains a mystery. Drought conditions are said to have “stricken” the UK in August. Again, a dry period in mid-summer – it’s almost unfathomable.
Chris Morrison is daily skepticismEnvironment Editor’s.
Stop pressing: Tom Slater wrote a good piece Because Add on the development of ecological cults.
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