An NFC playoff rematch will be the final game of Week 1 of the NFL on Sunday as the Los Angeles Rams travel to Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions (-4.5, 52.5) on Sunday Night Football.
The Lions (+1000) enter Week 1 as one of the favorites to win Super Bowl at ESPN BET. While the Rams currently have 30-1 Super Bowl odds and are +350 to win the NFC West.
With two of the most potent offensive teams in the NFL and a plethora of superstars from Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta to Puka Nucua and Cooper Kupp, Sunday night’s game looks like a great opportunity for bettors to capitalize.
The game will start at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.
Current odds as of the time of publication, provided by ESPN Betting
Game Stream
Spread: Lion (-4.5)
Cash flow: Lions (-415), Rams (+180)
Top/Bottom: 52.5
The difference in amplitude in the first half: Leo -3.5 (+102), Ram +3.5 (-125)
Rams total points: Over 21.5 -150/Under 21.5 +120
Lions total points: Over 27.5 -140/Under 27.5 +110
The props
Passing
Jared Goff Total passing yards: 274.5 yards (Over (Even)/Under -130)
Matthew Stafford Total passing yards: 274.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
hurry
Kyren Williams total running yards: 59.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
David Montgomery total running yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Jahmyr Gibbs total running yards: 59.5 (Over +115/Under -145)
Blake Corum total running yards: 24.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Receive
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s total receiving yards: 89.5 (Over (Even)/Under -130)
Puka Nacua Total yards received: 69.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Cooper Kupp Total yards received: 69.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Sam LaPorta Total yards received: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Jameson Williams Total yards received: 39.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Demarcus Robinson Total yards received: 29.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Colby Parkinson Total yards received: 24.5 (Over -130/Under (Even)
Jahmyr Gibbs’ total receiving yards: 19.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Kalif Raymond Total yards received: 19.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Favorite Choice
Picked: Blake Corum over 24.5 yards run.
While Kyren Williams It was a great season for a Rams team that averaged 27.4 runs per game, Sean McVay has a history of using a committee approach, and the offense struggled when Williams was absent last season. That’s why Los Angeles recruited Corum to help ease the load on Williams. Corum had 505 runs in his last two seasons at Michigan, proving he can handle a heavy workload. He didn’t play in the preseason, which means the Rams will likely keep him for a key role. Plus, McVay mentioned Williams will return kicks, another sign that Corum will be involved. The Rams’ offensive line is one of the heaviest and most overpaid units, ranking 12th in run-blocking win rate. — Eric Moody
Picked: Matthew Stafford275+ Passing Yards (-115)
Stafford has a good matchup against his old team, at his old stadium, in what is expected to be a running contest. According to ESPNBET, the Lions and Rams have the highest total score of the day at 52.5 points, so expect the ball to move throughout the game. The Lions have one of the most potent offensive lines in the league, so Stafford and the Rams will likely need to move the ball through the air to keep up. The Lions’ run defense is stronger than their pass defense, and the Rams come into this game with a strong edge rusher. Puka Nacua And Cooper Kuppas well as winger Colby Parkinsonare expected to have strong games. Stafford and Nacua torched the Lions in their playoff matchup in January, with 181 of Stafford’s 367 passing yards going to Nacua. Stafford started and finished last season on fire, throwing for over 275 yards in three of his first four games and five of his last six, including the playoffs, and I expect him to start this season with similar energy and a big performance against his former team. — Andre Snellings
Betting trends
Courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information
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The Lions had a 12-5 ATS record last season, tied with Las Vegas Raiders for the best record in the NFL (14-6 ATS including the playoffs). The Lions have finished in the top three in the odds in all three seasons under Dan Campbell. Campbell is 39-24 ATS as a head coach (.619), the best record of any head coach who started his career in the Super Bowl era (minimum three seasons). He is 35-16 ATS as the Lions head coach (.686).
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The Lions are 3-0 ATS in Week 1 under Campbell (8-2 ATS in September). The Rams are 6-1 ATS in Week 1 under Sean McVay (13-7-3 ATS in September).
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The Rams are 15-9-3 ATS as a 3-point underdog under McVay, including the playoffs (5-2-3 ATS vs. Matthew Stafford).
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Twelve of the Lions’ last 13 Week 1 games have gone over the total (last year it was under).
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The Lions are 11-6 on the season, tied with Cleveland Browns Football Team And Indianapolis Colts Football Team for the highest outperformance.
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Primetime under odds are 70-42-1 over the last two seasons (35-23 last season). Sunday night under odds are 26-10 over that time period (13-5 in each of the last three seasons).
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