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Hey Joe! How will that “incredible transformation” play out for Ya? – Is it good?


Guest “Amazing transformation” my @$$! ” by David Middleton

Does he even know what the abbreviation EIA stands for? He wouldn’t sound so ironic if he checked in with the Energy Information Administration from time to time…

July 1, 2022

Fossil fuel sources account for 79% of US primary energy consumption in 2021

Fossil fuel-oil, natural gas and coal—Count 79% of the 97-quarters of a million British thermal units (quads) in primary energy consumption in the United States in 2021. Approximately 21% of primary U.S. energy consumption in 2021 will come from non-fossil fuel sources, such as recycled energy and nuclear, according to the data in Monthly energy rating.

4 quarters increase in US preliminary rate energy consumption Last year was the largest annual increase on record and was mainly due to a gradual return to pre-pandemic levels of activity. The increase in 2021 after a decrease of 7 quarters in 2020, that is largest annual decline on record.

Consumption of renewable energy in the United States increased slightly from 11.5 liters in 2020 to a record 12.2 liters in 2021. The increased use of renewable energy for power generation, including wind and solar, is offset. partially offset by a decline in hydroelectricity production. US nuclear energy consumption will reach 8.2 liters in 2020, the lowest level since 2012.

Petroleum has been the most consumed major source of energy in the United States since overtaking coal in 1950. Fuel consumption in the United States remains well below the 2005 peak, a total of 35 liters in 2021. US natural gas consumption reaching a total of 31.3 liters in 2021, down slightly from the previous year.

WE coal consumption increased to 10.5 liters in 2021, marking the first annual increase in US coal consumption since 2013. US coal consumption has increased more than half off since its peak in 2005. Falling coal-fired power output has led to much of this decline.

Ours Monthly energy rating of Pre-1949 estimates of US energy use are based on two sources: Sam Schurr and Bruce Netschert’s Energy in the American Economy, 1850–1975: Its History and Prospects and U.S. Department of Agriculture Circular No. 641, Fuel wood used in the United States 1630–1930.

Our Appendix D Monthly energy rating aggregates these estimates of US energy consumption in 10-year increments from 1635 to 1845 and in 5-year increments from 1845 to 1945. Data for 1949 to present date are provided up to date. Monthly energy rating.

Main Contributors: Owen Comstock

Card: consumption / demand, coal, nature Air, recycled energy, wind, wood, liquid fuel, hydroelectric, oil, biofuel

US Energy Information Administration

Today In Energy wishes you a happy 4th of July. New articles will continue on Monday, July 11th.

Solar? Oh where, where you art?

Hidden in “all other renewables” I think.

There will be no energy transition because there has never been one

We have never converted from one form of energy to another; we just stack new sources on top of old ones and use them more efficiently, with less impact on the environment. We burn almost as much biomass now as when we started burning coal; we no longer rely on whale oil as a major component of that biomass.

Bjorn Lomborg, LinkedIn

But, but, but… Future! Because of climate change!

EIA of Year 2021 International Energy Outlook are also skipping “For climate change!”…

“Renewable energy” includes hydroelectricity. Source: US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021)
Note: Petroleum and other liquids including biofuel

October 6, 2021
EIA projects promote renewable consumption and stable liquid fuel growth through 2050

Today we released International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021). In the case of IEO2021 Reference, assuming applicable laws and regulations, we predict that strong economic growth and growing population will drive an increase in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions global and energy consumption through 2050. Much of the increase in energy consumption will be met with liquid fuels and renewable energy sources. Emerging coal-fired and natural gas production technologies as well as battery use will also drive increased consumption.

Some of the key findings of IEO2021 include:

If current technology and policy trends continue, global energy consumption and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will increase through 2050 as a result of population and economic growth. .
The industrial and transport sectors will mainly drive the increase in energy consumption. Electric vehicle sales will increase through 2050, leading to a peak in internal combustion engine vehicle fleets in 2023 for OECD member countries and in 2038 globally. bridge. Despite the expected growth in electric vehicle sales, continued growth in energy consumption will lead to an increase in global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions through 2050. Our IEO2021.

[…]

Main Contributors: Michelle Bowman

EIA

They also forecast that fossil fuels will continue to be the world’s dominant primary energy source for decades to come…

The EIA plot was previously plotted as a stacked area plot.

The problem with the future will always be…

The future is uncertain and the end is always near…

Jim Morrison, The Doors, Blue pub, 1970

Want some? Morrison Hotell?

The future is uncertain and the end is always near…

Energy Conversion Follies: ERCOT Version

July 10, 2022

ERCOT makes conservation appeal to Texans and Texans businesses

Appeal effective Monday, July 11, 2022

AUSTIN, TXJuly 10, 2022 – With extreme weather driving record power demand across Texas, the Electrical Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) is issuing a Conservation Appeal, asking Texans and Texas businesses voluntarily save electricity, Monday, July 11 from 2-8 p.m. ERCOT has also issued a Warning about expected reserve capacity shortages from 2 to 8 p.m. At this point, no system-wide outages are expected.

Conservation is a trusted tool ERCOT has deployed more than forty times since 2008 to successfully manage grid operations. This announcement comes when the reserve is expected to fall below 2300 MW in 30 minutes or more.

ERCOT encourages all electricity customers to visit the Public Utilities Commission (PUC). Source to save or their electricity supplier’s websites for important conservation tips. According to PUC, ways to reduce electricity use during peak times include increasing your thermostat by a degree or two, if comfortable, and delaying running major appliances or pool pumps during peak hours. afternoon.

ERCOT continues to use all available tools to efficiently and reliably manage the grid, including using stored power, and urges major electricity customers to volunteer to reduce energy use. their quantity.

ERCOT emphasizes that the call for conservation is limited to between 2 and 8 pm

Factors driving a customer’s need to take this important action:

Record high electricity demand. The heatwave extending to Texas and much of the central US is driving electricity use up. Other grid operators are operating under similar conservative operating programs as ERCOT due to the heat wave.

Low wind. While solar is generally nearing its full generation capacity, wind power generation is currently generating significantly less than it has historically produced during this time period. Current projections suggest that the wind generates less than 10% of its capacity.

Under current projected scenarios, Monday’s generator fleet performance is:

Installed capacity Monday (November 7) Tightest hours (2-3pm) Percentage of installed capacity available at tightest hours
Exchangeable 80.083 67,913 85%
Wind 35.162 2,698 8%
Solar system 11.787 9,557 81%

Total demand is forecast to be 79,671 MW.

How to monitor electricity demand

● See daily peak demand forecast, current load and available output at http://www.ercot.com.

● Follow ERCOT on Twitter (@ERCOT_ISO) and Facebook (Electrical Reliability Council of Texas).

● Subscribe to the ERCOT mobile app (available for download at the Apple App Store and Google Play).

● Sign up for the EmergencyAlerts list on http://lists.ercot.com.

Consumer support

Texas Public Utilities Commission Hotline – 1-888-782-8477

-end-

ERCOT

If there is a meeting this afternoon… What is the probability that the media and Democrats (excess, I know) will try to pin it to natural gas?

Supply and demand
Supply and demand is a graphical representation of the current electricity supply and demand of the ERCOT system using Real-Time data, as well as expected electricity supply and demand from hourly forecasts.
Last Updated: July 11, 2022 14:20 CT

The purple solid line of the graph represents previously committed capacity (the amount of electricity available from online generating units). The turquoise line of the graph represents the system’s past demand (the amount of power used). The purple shaded represents the amount of fast-start capacity that is forecast to be available in the near future. The quick start power provided by the generating sets can go online within 10 minutes of receiving the ERCOT notice. These generating sets are tested to ensure fast start-up. The turquoise dotted line represents forecasted future demand. These values ​​are all in megawatts (MW).

While supply must meet demand, the displayed capacity for each period includes power reserve. ERCOT purchases reserves, which may be needed in the event of a sudden change in operating conditions to help maintain reliability. For example, reserve may be needed in the event of an unexpected power outage. The amount of available capacity is based on the current Operational Plan of the generating units and may change over time due to differences in start-up times between generating units. As actual demand shifts into these reserves, it suggests that ERCOT may need to bring all available generations into the network and inform consumers that conservation is required.

ERCOT

It could be an enjoyable afternoon in Texas.

That moment…



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