Germany’s Alfred Wegener Institute sees no extreme situation with Arctic sea ice – Is it up to that?
Via P Gosselin
The Alfred Wegner Institute does not see extreme conditions with sea ice in the Arctic (June 2022). The institute’s page states:
The Alfred Wegener Institute’s Center for Polar and Marine Studies (AWI) will participate again this year with the AWI Consortium Model, a dynamic combined sea ice ocean model that has calculated September sea ice area as 4 .75 million square kilometers in the June forecast. This is about 4% higher than the average for all submitted models but in between the predictions made for the dynamic models.
Dr Frank Kauker, a physicist in the Division of Sea Ice Physics at AWI, rates the first prediction as follows: “The first forecast of a year from early June is often still characterized by uncertainty. quite large (this year is 0.43 million km). However, At the moment there is nothing to suggest extreme situation in September.
Ice cover in September there will be a large probability in the range of years, which is from 4 to 5 million square kilometers. A follow-up forecast in early July should ease some uncertainty, as it will become clear in June how many melt ponds will form, which will then determine the rate of ice melt in the future. the rest of the year due to their lower solar irradiance returning.”
Source: Meereisportal.de.
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