CERES Team
CERES Co-Chair Dr. Willie Soon was the keynote speaker at Clintel 5th Anniversary Congress on June 18, 2024. Here is a recording of his speech. Below you can find a summary of his presentation and details of the peer-reviewed articles he referenced in his speech.
Presentation Summary
In this talk, Dr. Soon discussed the main fundamental problems with “detecting and attributing” global warming to United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) The report that the media doesn’t tell you about. The IPCC’s “detection and attribution” process is the entire basis for why the IPCC concluded (using computer models) that global warming is largely man-made. We found that the IPCC’s analysis was scientifically flawed due to major problems with (a) the thermometer record and (b) the total solar radiation database.
Dr. Soon explained that the current global temperature records adopted by the IPCC are affected by an urbanization bias. Once we had eliminated this major error, we created a rural-based temperature profile that we then applied to reexamine the attribution problem. We found that the IPCC’s approach to attribution was highly selective and unscientific, as demonstrated by their recommendation of a single choice of solar radiation coefficient. In contrast, we showed that at least two dozen valid estimates of solar radiation were conveniently discarded by the IPCC team. However, when we applied some of these solar radiation estimates, we found that the rural-only temperature records could be largely explained by the solar radiation coefficient.
This result directly challenges the IPCC’s iconic claim that the warming observed since the 1950s is largely human-caused.
Slides can be downloaded This:
Our peer-reviewed scientific articles are mentioned in the talk.
- W. Early, R. Connolly, M. Connolly, S.-I. Akasofu, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, A. Bianchini, WM Briggs, CJ Butler, RG Cionco, M. Crok, AG Elias, VM Fedorov, F. Gervais, H. Harde, GW Henry, DV Hoyt, O. Humlum , DR Legates, AR Lupo, S. Maruyama, P. Moore, M. Ogurtsov, C. ÓhAiseadha, MJ Oliveira, S.-S. Park, S. Qiu, G. Quinn, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, J. Steele, L. Szarka, HL Tanaka, MK Taylor, F. Vahrenholt, VM Velasco Herrera, and W. Zhang (2023). “Detecting and attributing Northern Hemisphere land surface warming (1850–2018) to natural and anthropogenic factors: The challenge of incomplete data”, Climate11(9), 179; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11090179.
- R. Connolly, W. Soon, M. Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, C.J. Butler, R.G. Cionco, A.G. Elias, V. Fedorov, H. Harde, G.W. Henry, D.V. Hoyt, O. Humlum, D.R. Legates, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, L. Szarka, V.M. Velasco Herrera, H. Yan, and W.J. Zhang (2023). “Challenges in detecting and determining Northern Hemisphere surface temperature trends since 1850”. Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics. https://doi.org/10.1088/1674-4527/acf18e. Additional materials.
- P. O’Neill, R. Connolly, M. Connolly, W. Soon, B. Chimani, M. Crok, R. de Vos, H. Harde, P. Kajaba, P. Nojarov, R. Przybylak, D. Rasol , Oleg Skrynyk, Olesya Skrynyk, P. Štěpánek, A. Wypych and P. Zahradníček (2022). Evaluation of homogenization adjustments applied to European temperature records in the Global Historical Climatology Network dataset. Atmosphere 13(2), 285; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13020285.
- G. Katata, R. Connolly, and P. O’Neill (2023). Evidence of urban mixing in homogeneous temperature records in Japan and the United States: implications for the reliability of global land surface air temperature data. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0122.1.
- R. Connolly, W. Soon, M. Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, CJ Butler, RG Cionco, AG Elias, VM Fedorov, H. Harde, GW Henry, DV Hoyt, O. Humlum, DR Legates, S . Luning, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, L. Szarka, H. van Loon, VM Velasco Herrera, RC Willson, H. Yan, and W. Zhang (2021)How has the Sun influenced temperature trends in the Northern Hemisphere? An ongoing debate. Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics21, 131. https://doi.org/10.1088/1674-4527/6/21/131. Additional materials are available at: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7088728.
Thanks to the filming crew organized by Clintel for filming and editing the beautiful video:
- Robbert Clignett: Camera and Montage
- Sylvester van Nieuwenhuijzen: Camera
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