The Breeders’ Cup begins on Friday with a quintet of World Championship races at Del Mar. The spotlight from a sporting perspective is undoubtedly the $2 million TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance.
Held at 1 1/16 miles on dust, the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile serves as a year-end championship for North America’s greatest 2-year-old Thoroughbreds. The winner is regularly topped champion 2-year-old male on the Eclipse Awards, and the race additionally serves as a profitable cease on the Highway to the Kentucky Derby Introduced by Woodford Reserve, awarding 20 Derby qualification factors to the winner.
Simply as importantly for horseplayers, the 2021 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile is shaping as much as be a fantastic betting race. A dozen gifted children have been entered, together with a trio of confirmed Grade 1 winners. However is it attainable the most probably winner is the lone entrant who has but to win a race?
The anticipated favourite for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile is #1 Jack Christopher, a speedy chestnut conditioned by four-time Eclipse Award-winning coach Chad Brown. The son of Munnings is undefeated and unchallenged in two begins, successful his dash debut at Saratoga by 8 3/4 lengths earlier than stepping up at school for the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes racing one mile at Belmont Park. After monitoring a quick tempo, Jack Christopher powered to the lead and drove house on prime by 2 3/4 lengths.
Jack Christopher has run quick on the Beyer, Brisnet, and Equibase velocity determine scales, however does this imply he’s destined to win the Juvenile? Not essentially. Jack Christopher is bred prime and backside for velocity and has but to compete in a two-turn race just like the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, so the longer distance at Del Mar is a significant query mark. Drawing the rail is one other impediment for Jack Christopher—with plenty of velocity to his exterior, he might should dash laborious early to keep away from getting trapped in site visitors within different runners.
In case you’re eager to play towards Jack Christopher at a brief worth, then why not contemplate Champagne runner-up #10 Commandperformance? Granted, the grey colt is 0-for-2 and has but to expertise a winner’s circle celebration. However 4 years in the past at Del Mar, 2017 Champagne runner-up Good Magic parlayed an equivalent 0-for-2 resume into an upset victory within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, so there’s a precedent for a horse like Commandperformance to safe a maiden victory within the Juvenile.
Actually, Commandperformance has the looks of a promising colt. As a son of Belmont Stakes winner Union Rags out of a mare by three-time main sire Tapit, Commandperformance is bred to relish racing round two turns. And his kind thus far is promising — after overcoming a troubled begin to end second in his dash debut at Saratoga, he unleashed a sustained exterior rally to complete second once more within the Champagne. Commandperformance really gained 2 3/4 lengths on Jack Christopher by way of the ultimate eighth of a mile, and this relentless ending energy figures to serve him nicely at Del Mar.
Certainly, there’s numerous velocity within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile area. Along with Jack Christopher, the undefeated duo of #9 Pinehurst and #12 Corniche are critical front-runners with top-level expertise. Pinehurst flaunted his velocity to win the Grade 1 Runhappy Del Mar Futurity throughout the summer season, whereas Corniche hasn’t been headed in two begins, together with a 3 1/4-length romp within the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes.
Throw within the Japanese raider #2 Jasper Great, who wired his debut racing 1,800 meters (about 1 1/8 miles), and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile appears destined to unfold at a fast tempo. Such a situation would play proper to the strengths of Commandperformance, who can settle nicely behind the early tempo earlier than launching a successful rally underneath three-time Eclipse Award-winning jockey Irad Ortiz Jr.
So, how ought to we guess the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile? Actually a win guess on Commandperformance is price contemplating—he’s listed at 5-1 on the morning line, an attractive worth. However relying in your price range, we’ll additionally contemplate betting Commandperformance on prime of exacta and trifecta tickets utilizing Jack Christopher, Corniche, Jasper Nice, and American Pharoah third-place finisher #3 Oviatt Class (20-1) beneath.
Wagering Technique on a $10 Funds
$7 to win on #10 Commandperformance
What to say on the betting window: Del Mar, 10th race, $7 to win on 10
$1 exacta: 10 with 1,2,12 ($3)
What to say on the betting window: Del Mar, 10th race, $1 exacta 10 with 1,2,12
Wagering Technique on a $30 Funds
$12 to win on #10 Commandperformance
What to say on the betting window: Del Mar, 10th race, $12 to win on 10
$3 exacta: 10 with 1,2,12 ($9)
What to say on the betting window: Del Mar, 10th race, $3 exacta 10 with 1,2,12
$1 trifecta: 10 with 1,2,12 with 1,2,3,12 ($9)
What to say on the betting window: Del Mar, 10th race, $1 trifecta 10 with 1,2,12 with 1,2,3,12
Good luck, and benefit from the race!
