97% consensus on climate change? Survey shows only 59% of scientists expect significant harm – Is it increasing with that?

Humans may be causing some warming, but there is significant scientific disagreement about whether there will be any significant effects.

ARLINGTON HEIGHTS, IL (November 8, 2022) – A new poll of scientists conducted by Fairleigh Dickinson University found that only 59% of respondents think global climate change will cause ” significant harm” to “current human living conditions”. That falls far short of the “97 percent consensus” narrative put forward by climate alarmists and their media allies around the globe.

The surveyconducted in September and October 2022 by Fairleigh Dickinson University and authorized by Heartland Institutepolls only experts and scholars with at least a bachelor’s degree in the fields of meteorology, climatology, physics, geology and hydrology.

The important question of survey Ask: “In your opinion, what will be the overall impact of global climate change on the living conditions of people living today globally?” Fifty-nine percent said “significant harm.” Thirty-nine percent said “significant improvement”, “slight improvement”, “no change” or “mild damage”. Two percent uncertain.

Among the most experienced respondents – those at least 50 years old – less than half expect significant harm to those alive today. Scientists aged 30 and under were the only age group where more than 60% expected significant harm.

Like previous surveys of scientists, the new poll shows that the vast majority of scientists agree that the planet is warming. On average, respondents attributed 75% of recent warming to human activity. More importantly, scientists disagree on whether future warming is a big deal.

The poll also found that 41% of respondents believe there has been a significant increase in the frequency of extreme weather events. The majority said that there was no change or only a slight increase.

In fact, objective data show that stormy, tornado, Forest fires, droughtand other extreme weather events have become less frequent in recent decades.

“The scientific method asks us to engage with science by testing and analyzing theories against objective data, not through showy hands,” says James Taylor, president of the Heartland Institute, who often speaks in the media and in testimony before lawmakers. “However, to the extent that people are curious about what other scientists believe, there is considerable disagreement among scientists about whether climate change poses serious threats to the environment. important or even just significant threats.

Taylor added: “This latest survey destroys the repeated propaganda that 97% of scientists around the world believe climate change is a serious problem that requires immediate action. .

“While the media and climate advocates claim that there is a ’97 percent consensus’ on climate change, this poll shows that there is less consensus and a wider range of opinions. broader differences,” said Heartland Institute Senior Researcher Anthony Watts. “Climate change is almost always seen as something bad, this poll found that 30% said climate change would cause only ‘mild harm’ to our standard of living and 8% say they believe our standard of living will improve or remain unchanged due to climate change.

“Only 44% of scientists over 50 believe that climate change will lower our standard of living in our lifetime,” Watts added. “Furthermore, they do not believe that extreme weather events have increased, by only 38%. The results show that draconian solutions like net-zero being pushed by the left, even when they are indeed effective, are aimed at a problem that is not a problem. “

“This survey, once again, blows up the myth that 97% of climate scientists believe humans are causing catastrophic climate change,” said H. Sterling BurnettDirector of Arthur B. Robinson Center for Climate and Environmental Policy at the Heartland Institute. “Although on average, most respondents attributed 75% of recent warming to human activity, almost 40% of those surveyed said they believe climate change will only cause mild harm, no harm or even improvement of living conditions.

“So climate change? Right. Humans responsible for most of it? The poll said, ‘yes.’ Disastrous? No deal,” Burnett said. “Interestingly, it seems that the more experienced a researcher is, the more skeptical he or she is about claims of climate extremes, with less than half of those surveyed aged 50 and older believing that Humans are responsible for most of climate change or that climate change threatens to cause significant harm to people living today.

Burnett added: “It seems that years of teaching have succeeded in brainwashing younger, less experienced climate scientists into believing that humans are causing a climate disaster.

“This survey shows that, at least among those surveyed, there is an exact consensus that Earth’s climate has in fact changed, but it is clear that the science of anthropogenic causes out, or the severity of the impact, is still not completely stable,” said Heartland Institute Research Fellow. Linnea Lueken. “This is good news, and there should be a lively and enthusiastic debate without fear of losing funding or career prospects; no view can be completely ignored without testing. It is particularly striking that some of the scientists surveyed believe there is an increase in extreme weather events such as hurricanes, even though the data suggests this is not the case.

“To me, this result indicates that many opinions are being influenced not by scientific data, but by sensational media coverage,” she added. “After all, scientists are human like the rest of us, and just as susceptible to biased and unscientific propaganda as anyone else.”

The Heartland InstituteA free market consulting organization founded in 1984 that is one of the world’s leading organizations promoting the work of scientists who are skeptical that human activity is causing the crisis. climate crisis.

Heartland organized 14 International Conference on Climate Change has had thousands of attendees since 2008 – and is organizing 15^order International conference on climate change in Orlando, Florida on February 24-25.

Heartland also published volume six Climate change series revisited by the International Non-Governmental Commission on Climate Change, and for 21 years published Environment and Climate News. Heartland has published a number of popular books and studies on climate, including Broken climate station: Official US temperature record still severely skewed (2022), Why scientists disagree on global warming (2015), and Seven theories of climate change (2010).