US climate is becoming less extreme, not more
By Paul Homewood
I covered this story the other day, and it’s certainly making media headlines (as it should be):
Claims are not based on any actual data but on weather attribution models.
But what does the actual data tell us?
Much of the world lacks high-quality, long-term data. But one country with a lot of this substance is the United States, and it tells us a completely different story than the one presented in the latest report.
Heat waves, for example, used to be much worse than they are now, and not just during the dry years of the 1930s. Climate scammers like to start their trend in the 1960s, when the world was. The world is cooling. But as the chart below shows, there’s nothing unusual about recent heatwaves:
https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-heat-waves
Then we can move on to drought. The record shows big changes, but the drought has clearly not gotten worse – on the contrary, the 1920s, 30s and 50s were worse than they are now:
Flood? I’m afraid not. The data provided by the EPA is an inevitable mixed bag; After all, nature doesn’t make straight lines. Some places, such as the Northeast show a worsening trend, while others are declining. Such regional changes may also be related to ocean cycle changes, such as AMO and PDO, which are known to affect US precipitation patterns. But if the weather distribution models are correct, we should see worse flood trends everywhere.
https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-river-flooding
And the storms?
No trends in the frequency of hurricanes or major storms:
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html
And violent tornadoes are now less frequent:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data
The United States is of course just a country, albeit a large one. And it’s possible that other parts of the world are experiencing more extreme weather. But if the weather distribution models are correct, all of the world, including the United States, will see the same effects.
The fact that the US, and for that matter the UK, doesn’t see such effects fundamentally undermines their credibility.