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Exit polls expect the BJP leader to return as Prime Minister


Cherylann Mollan,BBC News, Mumbai

Getty Images NEW DELHI, INDIA - MAY 22: Prime Minister Narendra Modi during an election rally in Dwarka for BJP Lok Sabha candidates, on May 22, 2024 in New Delhibeautiful images

Opinion polls say Modi’s BJP is on track to win the election

Opinion polls show Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is likely to win a third consecutive term.

Analysts warn that polls published by many news agencies have often been flawed in the past and are not objective.

However, they have ranked Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the front-runner in the general election.

The BJP, the main opposition Congress party and regional rivals fought fiercely in a fierce campaign across seven phases of polling.

The results will be announced on June 4.

A party or coalition needs 272 seats in parliament to form a government.

The BJP-led coalition, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), will surpass this target – exit polls predict it is close to capturing around two-thirds. seats.

In his first comments after voting ended, Mr. Modi declared victory without mentioning the opinion polls.

“I can confidently say that the people of India voted in record numbers to re-elect the NDA government,” he wrote on X, without providing evidence for his claim.

Getty ImagesVARANASI, INDIA - FEBRUARY 17: Indian National Congress leader Rahul Gandhi (seated in a vehicle, dressed in white) participates in a road show as part of the 'Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra' India tour Come Together Anew) on February 17, 2024 in Varanasi, Indiabeautiful images

India’s main opposition Congress has accused the BJP of silencing its opponents, which the BJP denies

What do the polls say?

Prime Minister Modi entered this election with resounding support, but his main rival – Indian National Congress leader Rahul Gandhi – and the coalition of opposition parties have gained significant momentum throughout. long election campaign.

Now, a compilation of six opinion polls predicts a big win for the BJP-led NDA, but such surveys are not always reliable.

While individual numbers vary, they predict that the NDA will have between 355 and 380 seats.

According to Reuters news agency, the INDIA bloc is expected to get between 125 and 165 seats.

The BJP alone could win about 327 seats, not quite reaching its target of 370 seats.

Getty Images Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) supporters take a photo of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during an election rally in New Delhi on May 18, 2024, ahead of the fifth phase of voting in the ongoing general election taking place in this country.  (Photo by Arun SANKAR/AFP) (Photo by ARUN SANKAR/AFP via Getty Images)beautiful images

Mr. Modi is one of India’s most popular leaders in recent decades

A really big election

India is the most populous country in the world with 1.4 billion people and holding a national election is no different from a national election. Hard mission.

About 969 million citizens are eligible to vote, equivalent to the populations of the US, Russia, Japan, Britain, Brazil, France and Belgium.

Explore the exit
Explore the exit
Explore the exit

What made the headlines in this election?

Voting for the election, which ended just a few hours ago, began on April 19.

The season was marked by fiery speeches from politicians (Some of them are controversial), many protests, criticism, criticism and propaganda as political parties seek to outmaneuver their opponents – on the ground and even online.

And there is no shortage of attention-grabbing incidents. Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal arrested in an alcohol policy case days before voting began drew harsh criticism from opposition leaders and even sections of the media.

Opposition leaders accuse the BJP government of trying to silence opponents and deny them a level playing field – something the BJP denies.

A court granted Mr. Kejriwal bail on May 10 for campaigning. However, he must return to prison on June 2.

The election was also overshadowed by reports of politicians and party workers tampering with voting machines, Muslims are denied the right to vote in some regions and parties flouting the Model Code of Conduct – guidelines issued by the Election Commission of India (ECI) to ensure free and fair elections.

Opposition leaders also accused the commission of not addressing their complaints against the BJP – a charge the ECI has denied.

Getty Images NEW DELHI, INDIA - MAY 25: Voters are seen standing in line to cast their votes during the sixth phase of Loksabha Elections at a polling station in Rajiv Nagar on May 25, 2024 in New Delhi, India.  Voting for the sixth phase of the general election has concluded in 58 constituencies across six states and two Union territories, including all seven seats in Delhi.  According to the Election Commission's Voter Turnout App, voter turnout across six states and two Union Territories in Phase 6 polling was recorded at approximately 58.84 per cent.  (Photo by Sanchit Khanna/Hindustan Times via Getty Images)beautiful images

Voting in India is a huge exercise as millions of people line up to vote in each phase

What did people vote for in this election?

The inauguration of the Ram temple, one of the BJP’s biggest promises in this election, and the government’s welfare schemes are expected to benefit the ruling party.

But high unemployment and rising prices, especially of food and fuel, are also top concerns for many voters.

The election also comes amid accusations from the opposition, activists and global human rights organizations that Indian democracy is under threat. It’s an issue that may have influenced how people voted.

Read more Indian election stories

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