BMW 2024 odds, picks, championship lineup: Surprise predictions from golf model that has won 13 majors
The 2024 BMW Championship begins on Thursday, August 22, and several players will enter Castle Pines Golf Club confident they can win. Viktor Hovland enters the 2024 BMW Championship as the defending champion, having finished T-2 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Hovland is currently ranked 16th in the FedEx Cup standings after only recording two top-10s this season.
Meanwhile, Scottie Scheffler has six wins and 15 top-10s this season and he enters this week’s event as the odds-on favorite at +330. Xander Schauffele (+550), Rory McIlroy (+1200) and Collin Morikawa (+1400) are also among the top contenders according to the latest 2024 BMW Championship odds. Before locking in your 2024 BMW Championship picks, make sure See golf predictions and projected rankings from proven computer models at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has been wildly popular since the PGA Tour resumed play in June 2020. In fact, the model has raised more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, winning every tournament.
The model also won 13 majors over the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third consecutive Masters — and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who followed the model saw huge returns.
Now that the 2024 BMW Championship has been determined, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now for projected standings.
Top Predictions for the 2024 BMW Championship
One big surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 BMW Championship: McIlroy (12-1), a 26-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top contenders, stumbled this week and didn’t even crack the top five. McIlroy has been inconsistent since his runner-up finish at the U.S. Open in June. He finished T-4 at the Genesis Scottish Open but missed the cut at the British Open and is coming off a T-68 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
McIlroy has struggled with driving accuracy this season, ranking 83rd in driving accuracy (60.94%). He’s also inconsistent with his irons, ranking 105th in putting greens in regulation (65.66%). He’s not a strong pick to win and has much better options in the 2024 BMW Championship. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Aaron Rai, a 40-1 underdog, is in a strong race to win the title. He has a better chance of winning than his odds suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday.
To score well at Castle Pines Golf Club, players will need to be extremely accurate with their irons, and few do it better than Rai. The 29-year-old Englishman enters this week’s event ranked third in greens in regulation (72.08%) and sixth in strokes gained: approach to the green (0.795). He’s also extremely accurate off the tee, topping the scoring charts for driving accuracy (71.89%). Those impressive stats, combined with his high odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2024 BMW Championship bets. See who else to support here.
How to make your selection for the 2024 BMW Championship
The model also targets two other golfers at odds of 30-1 or better who will make a strong run for the title. Anyone who backs these long shots could be in for a big win. You can only see the model options here..
Who will win the 2024 BMW Championship and which players will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2024 BMW Championship odds below and then Visit SportsLine for projected BMW Championship standingsAll have followed a pattern that has won 13 major golf tournaments, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.
BMW 2024 Championship Odds, Top Contenders
Get full picks, best bets and predictions for the 2024 BMW Championship here.
Scottie Scheffler +330
Xander Schauffele +550
Rory McIlroy +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Viktor Hovland +1800
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Tony Finau +3000
Tommy Fleetwood +3000
Wyndham Clark +3000
Sam Burns +3500
Billy Horschel +4000
Aaron Rai +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Justin Thomas +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Sungjae Im +4500
Adam Scott +5500
Robert MacIntyre +6000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Jason Day +6000
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Byung Hun An +6000
Shane Lowry +6000
Matt Fitzpatrick +7000
Davis Thompson +6500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7500
Will Zalatoris +7500
Brian Harman +8000
Nick Dunlap +7500
Keegan Bradley +8000
Max Greyserman +9000
Taylor Pendrith +8000
Alex Noren +9000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Eric Cole +11000
Si Woo Kim +11000
Homa Max +11000
Thomas Detry +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Cam Davis +12000
Tom Hoge +11000
Austin Eckroat +12000
JT Poston +15000
Stephan Jaeger +17000
Adam Hadwin +17000
Chris Kirk +20000
Matthew Pavon +22000
