2023 RSM Classic odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that’s called 10 majors

The 2023 RSM Classic gets underway from Sea Island Resort in St. Simons Island, Georgia, on Thursday, Nov. 16. Experienced and amateur bettors alike will lock in wagers for this event, which features a great mix of proven champions and budding superstars eager to make their mark on the PGA Tour. Proven winners like Brian Harman, Matt Kuchar, Billy Horschel and Si Woo Kim could be in the mix at the 2023 RSM Classic with 500 FedEx Cup points going to the winner.

According to the latest 2023 RSM Classic odds, Ludvig Aberg is the 12-1 favorite, followed by Cameron Young (16-1), Harman (18-1) and Russell Henley (22-1). Should you back one of the favorites this week, or should your 2023 RSM Classic bets include a longshot like Kuchar (35-1) or Horschel (40-1)? Before locking in your 2023 RSM Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2023 RSM Classic field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 RSM Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the RSM Classic 2023: Brian Harman, a major champion and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and doesn’t even crack the top five. Harman is a seasoned veteran on the PGA Tour and he enters this week’s event ranked 19th in one-putt percentage (42.51%) and 22nd in strokes gained: putting (0.446). 

However, Harman has struggled mightily with his irons this season, which could cause trouble at Sea Island Resort. Harman enters the RSM Classic ranked 82nd in greens in regulation percentage (66.92%) and 107th in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.030). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the RSM Classic 2023 field.

Another surprise: Eric Cole, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Cole has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

The 35-year-old enters this week’s event as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, which has helped him finish inside the top five in three of his last four starts. In fact, Cole currently ranks second in putts per round (27.76), second in putting average (1.696) and fourth in one-putt percentage (43.99%). In addition, Cole ranks eighth in birdie average (4.31) and 10th in scoring average (69.26). If he’s striking the ball well this week, he’ll have a great shot at securing his first PGA Tour victory at the 2023 RSM Classic. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 RSM Classic picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the RSM Classic 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 RSM Classic odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 RSM Classic leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including this year’s Masters and Open Championship.

2023 RSM Classic odds, field

See the full RSM Classic 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Ludvig Åberg+1200
Cameron Young+1600
Brian Harman+1800
Russell Henley+2200
Corey Conners+2500
Justin Suh+3000
Alex Noren+3000
Si Woo Kim+3000
Matt Kuchar+3500
Denny McCarthy+3500
Eric Cole+3500
J.T. Poston+3500
Billy Horschel+4000
Adam Svensson+4000
Keith Mitchell+4500
Stephan Jaeger+4500
Brendon Todd+5000
Luke List+5000
J.J. Spaun+5000
Chris Kirk+5000
Thomas Detry+5000
Matti Schmid+5500
Akshay Bhatia+5500
Camilo Villegas+6000
Davis Thompson+6000
Chesson Hadley+6000
Alex Smalley+6000
K.H. Lee+6000
Nicholas Lindheim+6000
Harris English+6000
Adam Schenk+6500
Cameron Champ+7000
Ben Griffin+7500
Doug Ghim+7500
Taylor Pendrith+7500
Taylor Montgomery+8000
Adam Long+8000
Webb Simpson+9000
Carl Yuan+9000
Nick Hardy+9000
Callum Tarren+10000
Sam Ryder+10000
Mackenzie Hughes+10000
Mark Hubbard+10000
Austin Eckroat+11000
Brandon Wu+11000
Ben Kohles+11000
Nate Lashley+11000
Stewart Cink+11000
Scott Stallings+12000
Vince Whaley+12000
Chad Ramey+12000
Dylan Wu+12000
Ryan Palmer+12000
Padraig Harrington+12000
Peter Kuest+12000
Kevin Streelman+12000
Maverick McNealy+12000
Sam Stevens+12000
Lanto Griffin+12000
Will Gordon+15000
Hayden Buckley+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
MJ Daffue+15000
Matt NeSmith+15000
Ryan Moore+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Grayson Murray+15000


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