Weather

Wrong, Washington Post, ‘Less Warming’, Won’t Lead to Greater Climate Disaster


The words ClimateREALITY

It’s not often that we’re here at Climate realism came across an article so erroneous and serious that it earned the title of “Not Wrong,” but The Scott Dance of the washington articles (WaPo) did just that with his article: A new climate reality: Less warming but worse impact on the planet

Phrases used in science are “not even wrong,” like defined by WikiPedia “…usually used to describe pseudoscience or bad science. It describes an argument or explanation that has a scientific purpose but uses false reasoning or speculative premises…”

There are a lot of false claims and false arguments in Dance’s article. For the sake of brevity, this refutation focuses on only two that stand out most.

First, the main and subheadings:

A new climate reality: Less warming but worse impact on the planet

The most severe climate change scenarios are now less likely, scientists say, but extremes are still poised to overwhelm societies

Since global warming or climate change became a topic of media coverage, the message has been unanimous that more warming means more negative impacts. worse in the future, but for now we are supposed to believe that with less warming in the future, we will have The impact is even worse than before.

What Dance fails to mention is the fact that future climate impact scenarios are based on computer model projections, the Representative Carbon Roadmap (RCP), as illustrated in Fig. 1 below, showing projections of the temperature rise relative to the amount of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere.

Based on computer models, the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) said Increased carbon dioxide concentrations are expected to:

These changes will collide food supplies, water resources, infrastructure, ecosystems, and even our own health.

Clear message according to government-backed climate science and media experts; increased carbon dioxide concentrations will be very dangerous for the planet in the future.

Dancing crosses an important point. RCP8.5’s worst case, highlighted in red in Figure 1, has long been accepted poster child for future climate doom. But, and here’s the problem – it was discredit as if Impossible via climate science itself.

The words January 2020 posts in prestigious scientific journals, Nature:

Happy — and it’s a word climatologists rarely use — the world imagined in RCP8.5 is one that, in our view, becomes more and more absurd with each passing year. Emission pathways to RCP8.5 typically require an unprecedented five-fold increase in coal use by the end of this century, an amount greater than some estimates of recoverable coal reserves.

Pandemic: even if we burn all the coal on the planet, we may not get the negative future impacts that RCP8.5 predicts.

However, Dance suggests that removing the worst-case climate model will somehow lead to greater impact in the future due to heating. This is absurd, implying that Dance are lying to save the climate story. Why? Because if smart people realize that the future isn’t as doomsday as they’ve been told, they might not care about the climate anymore.

The second critical point in the WaPo paper concerns a quote from an even more backward scientist from Switzerland:

“People are now dying from climate change,” said Sonia Seneviratne, a professor at ETH Zurich’s Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Sciences in Switzerland. “We’re already starting to see events with a near-zero probability of happening without human-caused climate change.”

People die from climate change? Really? Where? When was the last time you saw a coroner’s report citing “Cause of death: climate change” or a news headline saying climate change killed someone?

The best rebuttal to this kind of nonsense is scientific data. People like Seneviratne seem to believe that all weather phenomena are now climate-like, when in fact there are no connection between both. In A glimpse of the climate: Death from extreme weatheractual science refute Seneviratne’s claims:

  • Extreme weather events are often attributed to climate change, but weather and climate are not the same.
  • Real-world data visualization no significant increase in inclement weather over 100 years.
  • Available data show many Extreme weather events have decreased significantly during the recent period of modest warming, and Deaths from extreme weather events have decreased significantly.

But the real revelation of future doom comes in a peer-reviewed scientific paper by Dr. Bjorn Lomborg. In that paper, Lomborg points out that, even as the Earth warms, deaths from climate-related events have dropped to historic lows and are now close to zero. See Figure 2 below. Climate realism has discussed this fact in many articles, here, hereand here Eg.

Actual data shows no increase droughtor heat wave; no increase flood; no increase Tropical cyclones and hurricanes; no increase winter storm; and not increase thunderstorm or tornadoor is associated with hail, lightning, and extreme winds from thunderstorms.

This, and its ability to alert people to, mitigate and respond to emergencies quickly after extreme weather events, is why the number of deaths from so-called gas-related weather disasters has actually dropped sharply. Clearly, Seneviratne’s view of a future fraught with death caused by climate change is not only wrong, but wildly wrong.

Unfortunately, that’s the nonsense we get from the media and researchers who have substituted political science and activism for the scientific method. They accept worst-case scenarios as reality, even though there’s no science or data to back it up. They live in an apocalyptic fantasy world of their own making.

Anthony Watts

Anthony Watts is a senior fellow for environment and climate at the Heartland Institute. Watts has been in the weather business both in front and behind the camera as an online TV meteorologist since 1978 and now does daily radio forecasts. He has created graphical weather display systems for television, specialized weather instruments, as well as co-authored articles on climate issues. He runs the world’s most viewed website on climate, the award-winning website wattsupwiththat.com.

news7g

News7g: Update the world's latest breaking news online of the day, breaking news, politics, society today, international mainstream news .Updated news 24/7: Entertainment, Sports...at the World everyday world. Hot news, images, video clips that are updated quickly and reliably

Related Articles

Back to top button