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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #510 – Watts Up With That?


The Week That Was: 2022-07-02 (July 2, 2022)
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: “The decision is a very welcome reaffirmation of the Constitutional rights of citizens of the United States. Untouched is the question of whether the Constitution allows Congress to make scientifically incorrect decisions by majority vote, for example: that carbon dioxide, a beneficial gas that is essential to life on Earth, is a pollutant.”― William Happer on West Virginia et al. v. EPA, June 30, 2022

Number of the Week: Down 80%, up 50%

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Scope: The Supreme Court decision in West Virginia v. EPA is discussed, from a slightly different perspective than in most publications. The above quotation from William Happer is important. A thoughtless reaction by Congress may be incompetent and dishonest, regardless of the motives of the members.

A liberal icon, Constitutional Law Professor at Harvard Law School Laurence H. Tribe who advised President Obama in his presidential campaign filed litigation against Mr. Obama’s Clean Power Plan. In a 2014 essay in the Wall Street Journal, Tribe explained his personal views regarding the Constitutionality of Obama’s plan. Key details are discussed.

The vote in West Virginia v. EPA was 6 to 3. Justice Elena Kagan wrote the agreed upon dissent in which Justices Breyer and Sotomayor concurred. The dissent exposes assumptions that a sound democratic government should not make, and which may be exposed with proper debate. Statements by the current EPA administrator are presented.

Key points of the submission by Happer and Lindzen to the SEC that apply to the EPA decision are emphasized. Further, the forty-three-year record of global temperature trends in the lower troposphere is discussed. No other temperature trend record is as comprehensive, and this is where principal greenhouse gases reside. The failure of the EPA to evaluate this record brings into question the competence and honesty of that organization.

The latest data on world-wide carbon dioxide emissions is discussed, illustrating how irrelevant the Clean Power Plan is to worldwide carbon dioxide emissions.

Ecologist Jim Steele has another video clearly explaining important components of the earth’s weather system. Manhattan Contrarian Francis Menton has selected a winner to his contest on which country or US state will hit the Green Energy Wall first.

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Separation of Powers; The US is a Constitutional Republic with a written Constitution. In 1781 near the end of the Revolutionary War, all thirteen states approved the Articles of Confederation, which were adopted by the Continental Congress in 1777. The Articles did not provide for a sufficiently strong central government, and the states were going their separate ways. In 1787 delegates of the 13 states met behind closed doors in Philadelphia and drafted the Constitution without a Bill of Rights, which was submitted to the states for approval. There was a significant division between those who believed the Constitution was needed, the Federalists, and those who believed it gave too much power to the central government, the Anti-Federalists. After great public discussion, the Constitution was approved by the necessary nine states in 1788. To appease the Anti-Federalists, the Bill of Rights was added in 1791. This is a brief background of the formation of the Constitutional Republic and the need for debate.

The Constitution provides for the separation of powers of the Federal Government into three branches:

“The legislative branch is responsible for enacting the laws of the US and appropriating the money necessary to operate the government.

“The executive branch is responsible for implementing and administering the public policy enacted and funded by the legislative branch.

“The judicial branch is responsible for interpreting the constitution and laws and applying their interpretations to controversies brought before it.”

In writing for the majority in West Virginia v. EPA, Chief Justice John Roberts held that the executive branch (EPA) went too far in assuming powers not granted by the legislative branch. The court recognizes the difference between

“air pollutants that “may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare,”

and hazardous pollutants,

“a threat of adverse human health effects,” “including substances known or anticipated to be “carcinogenic, mutagenic, teratogenic, neurotoxic,” or otherwise “acutely or chronically toxic.” p.4 [Boldface added]

After considerable discussion, the opinion concludes:

“Capping carbon dioxide emissions at a level that will force a nationwide transition away from the use of coal to generate electricity may be a sensible ‘solution to the crisis of the day.’ New York v. United States, 505 U. S. 144, 187 (1992). But it is not plausible that Congress gave EPA the authority to adopt on its own such a regulatory scheme in Section 111(d). A decision of such magnitude and consequence rests with Congress itself, or an agency acting pursuant to a clear delegation from that representative body. The judgment of the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit is reversed, and the cases are remanded for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.” [Boldface added}

Many commentators emphasize different parts of the decision. But the failure of the EPA to identify carbon dioxide as hazardous, and its sweeping assumption of powers were of particular note. See links under Litigation Issues and https://www.ncsl.org/research/about-state-legislatures/separation-of-powers-an-overview.aspx

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A Government of Laws, Not of Men: On December 1, 2014, on behalf of the Peabody Energy Corporation and himself, Laurence H. Tribe, professor of constitutional law at Harvard Law School filed his objections to the Clean Power Plan adopted by his former client President Obama. He justified his actions in an essay in the December 22, 2014, Wall Street Journal, which was briefly discussed in the January 3, 2015, TWTW. As stated in that TWTW:

SUMMARY: A legal, liberal icon expresses why he thinks that the Clean Power Plan as announced by the Environmental Protection Agency is unconstitutional. Tribe states he taught the first course in environmental law 45 years ago, and he believes that “coping with climate change is a vital end but does not justify using unconstitutional means.”

Although a major company joined him, he states he arrived at this professional conclusions as an independent legal scholar. “After studying the only legal basis offered for the EPA’s proposed rule, I concluded that the agency is asserting executive power far beyond its lawful authority.” He writes the EPA will “dictate the energy mix used in each state and leave the state with essentially no choice in implementing its plan” and this is contrary to Supreme Court decisions.

“Even more fundamentally, the EPA, like every administrative agency, is constitutionally forbidden to exercise powers Congress never delegated to it in the first place. The brute fact is that the Obama administration failed to get climate legislation through Congress. Yet the EPA is acting as though it has the legislative authority anyway to re-engineer the nation’s electric generating system and power grid. It does not.” [Boldface added]

In addition, in the essay Mr. Tribe writes:

“Frustration with congressional inaction cannot justify throwing the Constitution overboard to rescue this lawless EPA proposal—especially when the EPA itself, through Senate testimony by its administrator, Gina McCarthy, has touted its proposal as ‘an investment opportunity’ that isn’t really ‘about pollution control’ at all.

“Some defend the EPA’s power grab on the grounds that it has the potential of averting global disaster. They remind us that, to save the Union during the Civil War, Lincoln was willing to suspend habeas corpus without the congressional authorization the Constitution requires. Today, with the benefit of hindsight, even Lincoln’s decision looks more like an overreaction—akin to the Alien and Sedition Acts and the internment of Japanese Americans after Pearl Harbor—than a genuinely necessary response to an existential crisis.

“Justice Robert H. Jackson —Nuremberg prosecutor and among our greatest defenders of constitutionalism and the rule of law—joined the Supreme Court’s decision denying President Harry Truman the authority to seize steel mills during the Korean conflict without the congressional authorization the Constitution required. Truman justified his shortcut by invoking national security, citing the need to prevent labor strife from disrupting the war effort.

“In Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer (1952), Justice Jackson said no. He warned of losing sight of ‘the balanced power structure of our Republic’ and reaffirmed that ‘ours is a government of laws, not of men.’ We should heed his words today.” [Boldface added]

Mr. Tribe is to be congratulated to his adherence to the principles of the Constitutional Republic. Expediency is not a justification for forgetting ours is a government of laws, not of men. See Article # 1.

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The Dissent: In her dissent Justice Kagan writes:

Climate change’s causes and dangers are no longer subject to serious doubt. Modern science is “unequivocal that human influence”—in particular, the emission of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide— “has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.” Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Sixth Assessment Report, The Physical Science Basis: Headline Statements 1 (2021). The Earth is now warmer than at any time “in the history of modern civilization,” with the six warmest years on record all occurring in the last decade. U. S. Global Change Research Program, Fourth National Climate Assessment, Vol. I, p. 10 (2017); Brief for Climate Scientists as Amici Curiae 8. The rise in temperatures brings with it “increases in heat related deaths,” “coastal inundation and erosion,” “more frequent and intense hurricanes, floods, and other extreme weather events,” “drought,” “destruction of ecosystems,” and “potentially significant disruptions of food production.” American Elec. Power Co. v. Connecticut, 564 U. S. 410, 417 (2011) (internal quotation marks omitted). If the current rate of emissions continues, children born this year could live to see parts of the Eastern seaboard swallowed by the ocean. See Brief for Climate Scientists as Amici Curiae 6. Rising waters, scorching heat, and other severe weather conditions could force “mass migration events, political crises, civil unrest,” and “even state failure.” Dept. of Defense, Climate Risk Analysis 8 (2021). And by the end of this century, climate change could be the cause of “4.6 million excess yearly deaths.” See R. Bressler, The Mortality Cost of Carbon, 12 Nature Communications 4467, p. 5 (2021). [Boldface added]

Congress charged EPA with addressing those potentially catastrophic harms, including through regulation of fossil fuel-fired power plants. Section 111 of the Clean Air Act directs EPA to regulate stationary sources of any substance that “causes, or contributes significantly to, air pollution” and that “may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.” 42 U. S. C. §7411(b)(1)(A). Carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases fit that description. See American Elec. Power, 564 U. S., at 416–417; Massachusetts, 549 U. S., at 528–532. EPA thus serves as the Nation’s “primary regulator of greenhouse gas emissions.” American Elec. Power, 564 U. S., at 428. And among the most significant of the entities, it regulates are fossil-fuel fired (mainly coal- and natural-gas-fired) power plants. Today, those electricity-producing plants are responsible for about one quarter of the Nation’s greenhouse gas emissions. See EPA, Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions (Apr. 14, 2022), https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhousegas-emissions. Curbing that output is a necessary part of any effective approach for addressing climate change.

Justice Kagan must believe that the organizations cited, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Sixth Assessment Report (IPCC, AR6, 2021) and U. S. Global Change Research Program, Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA, 2017) are both honest and competent. They are not, as explained below.

EPA administrator Michael Regan issued the following statement:

“As a public health agency, EPA’s number one responsibility is to protect people’s health, especially those who are on the front lines of environmental pollution. Make no mistake: we will never waver from that responsibility.

“While I am deeply disappointed by the Supreme Court’s decision, we are committed to using the full scope of EPA’s authorities to protect communities and reduce the pollution that is driving climate change. We will move forward to provide certainty and transparency for the energy sector, which will support the industry’s ongoing efforts to grow our clean energy economy.

“At this moment, when the impacts of the climate crisis are becoming ever more disruptive, costing billions of dollars every year from floods, wildfires, droughts, and sea level rise, and jeopardizing the safety of millions of Americans, the Court’s ruling is disheartening.

“Ambitious climate action presents a singular opportunity to ensure U.S. global competitiveness, create jobs, lower costs for families, and protect people’s health and wellbeing, especially those who’ve long suffered the burden of inaction. EPA will move forward with lawfully setting and implementing environmental standards that meet our obligation to protect all people and all communities from environmental harm.”

Boldface added: See links under Litigation issues, EPA and other Regulators on the March, and pp 2 & 3 of dissenting https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-1530_n758.pdf

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Not Honest, Not Competent: Last week, TWTW discussed the Comment and Declaration on the SEC’s Proposed Rule “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors,” by William Happer and Richard Lindzen. Lindzen was a lead author on the Third Assessment Report of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, AR3, 2001). He witnessed firsthand what happens in the IPCC process. A few key parts of their comment are repeated below:

I. RELIABLE SCIENTIFIC THEORIES COME FROM VALIDATING THEORETICAL PREDICTIONS WITH OBSERVATIONS, NOT CONSENSUS, PEER REVIEW, GOVERNMENT OPINION OR MANIPULATED DATA”

After substantiating this assertion, they assert

“II. SCIENCE DEMONSTRATES THERE IS NO CLIMATE-RELATED RISK CAUSED BY FOSSIL FUELS AND CO2, AND THEREFORE NO RELIABLE SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE SUPPORTING THE PROPOSED RULE”

They go on to explain that in geological time, even 20 million years is nothing, rendering EPA assertions in its Endangerment Finding about greenhouse gases being unprecedented meaningless. After discussing matters such as how trivial the IPCC dates are, they explain how the IPCC politicizes good science. [Footnotes omitted]

“F. The IPCC is Government Controlled and Only Issues Government Dictated Findings, and Thus Can Provide No Reliable Scientific Evidence for the Proposed Rule

“Unknown to most, two IPCC rules require that IPCC governments control what it reports as “scientific” findings on CO2, fossil fuels and manmade global warming, not scientists. IPCC governments meet behind closed doors and control what is published in its Summaries for Policymakers (“SPMs”), which controls what is published in full reports.

“This is not how scientific knowledge is determined. In science, as the Lysenko experience chillingly underscores, and as Richard Feynman emphasized:

“No government has the right to decide on the truth of scientific principles.” [Boldface added]

The two IPCC rules are:

IPCC SPM Rule No.1: All Summaries for Policymakers (SPMs) Are Approved Line by Line by Member Governments”

After supporting this by quoting an IPCC fact sheet. Happer and Lindzen state:

“Since governments control the SPMs, the SPMs are merely government opinions. Therefore, they have no value as reliable scientific evidence.

What about the thousands of pages in the IPCC reports? A second IPCC rule requires that everything in an IPCC published report must be consistent with what the governments agree to in the SPMs about CO2 and fossil fuels. Any drafts the independent scientists write are rewritten as necessary to be consistent with the SPM.

IPCC Reports Rule No. 2: Government SPMs Override Any Inconsistent Conclusions Scientists Write for IPCC Reports

IPCC Fact Sheet: “’Acceptance’ is the process used for the full underlying report in a Working Group Assessment Report or a Special Report after its SPM has been approved…. Changes …are limited to those necessary to ensure consistency with the Summary for Policymakers.” IPCC Fact Sheet, supra. (Emphasis added).

IPCC governments’ control of full reports using Rule No. 2 is poignantly demonstrated by the IPCC’s rewrite of the scientific conclusions reached by independent scientists in their draft of Chapter 8 of the IPCC report Climate Change 1995, The Science of Climate Change (“1995 Science Report”). The draft by the independent scientists concluded:

“No study to date has positively attributed all or part (of the climate warming observed) to (manmade) causes.” Frederick Seitz, “A Major Deception on Climate Warming,” Wall Street Journal (June 12, 1996).

However, the government written SPM proclaimed the exact opposite:

“The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate.” 1995 Science Report SPM, p. 4.

What happened to the independent scientists’ draft? IPCC Rule No. 2 was applied, and their draft was rewritten to be consistent with the SPM in numerous ways:

• Their draft language was deleted.

• The SPM’s opposite language was inserted in the published version of Chapter 8 in the 1995 Science Report, on page 439: “The body of statistical evidence in chapter 8 …now points towards a discernible human influence on global climate.”

• The IPCC also changed “more than 15 sections in Chapter 8 of the report … after the scientists charged with examining this question had accepted the supposedly final text.” Seitz, supra.

As to the full IPCC reports, hundreds of world-class scientists draft some very good science. What to do? Use a presumption that anything in IPCC reports should be presumed to be government opinion with no value as reliable scientific evidence, unless independently verified by scientific method.

Stop for a moment. Just imagine what would have happened if the IPCC accurately reported the science. The scientists concluded there was no science that attributed all or most of the climate warming observed to manmade causes.

There would be no Massachusetts v. EPA, Green New Deal,” Net Zero” regulation, efforts to eliminate fossil fuels, huge subsidies of renewable energy and electric cars. For whatever reason, the IPCC as a government-controlled organization did not and has never followed the science if the science contradicts the theory of catastrophic global warming caused by fossil fuels and other human emissions.

In conclusion, none of the IPCC SPMs, models, scenarios, and other findings asserting that dangerous climate warming is caused by human CO2 and GHG emissions and fossil fuels are reliable scientific evidence, they are merely the opinions of IPCC governments.

Thus, the IPCC SPMs, models, scenarios, and other findings provide no reliable scientific evidence there is any climate related risk caused by fossil fuels, nor do they provide any reliable scientific evidence to support the proposed rule.” [Boldface added]

We can examine the competence and honesty of the IPCC and the EPA by examining the record of over 43 years of atmospheric temperature trends, where the greenhouse gases are. Dr. Roy Spencer, the University of Alabama in Huntsville reports the global average lower tropospheric temperature increase as of June 30.

“The linear warming trend since January 1979, still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).”

The best global temperature record existing creates serious doubt to dangerous warming. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and Measurement Issues – Atmosphere.

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How Effective? Justice Kagan begins her dissent to limiting the EPA’s control of US power plants with the false claim: “Climate change’s causes and dangers are no longer subject to serious doubt.” Kagan obviously believes (A) that the US is a major contributor to atmospheric CO2; (B) that CO2 is the major cause of climate change; and (C) that the climate is rapidly changing for the worse.  All those beliefs are wrong.

According to Our World in Data in 2020 CO2 emissions totaled 34.8 billion tonnes worldwide. Major regions for emissions were China, 10.7 tonnes (31%); Asia excluding China and India, 7.2 billion tonnes (21%); US 4.7 billion (14%); EU 2.6 billion (7%); India 2.4 billion (7%); and Europe excluding EU 2.4 billion (7%). “The US and Europe now account for just under one-third of emissions.” One must realize that these numbers are approximate, but they are probably as good as any.

So, do we have an administration and judges in the US that wish to ignore the Constitutional separation of Federal governmental powers and punish American industry and the public because they believe Americans who emit 14% of the global CO2 emissions are causing a climate crisis for which they have no physical evidence? Further, they claim that power plants that emit one-quarter of US emissions, less than 4% of the world’s total emissions, are causing human and environmental harm?

Climate has changed without help from humans or CO2 since the dawn of time. Owing to abundant energy, mostly from fossil fuels, the world has never been a more habitable place for humans. See https://ourworldindata.org/co2-emissions

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Trapping Heat? Greenhouse gases prevent the land surfaces from becoming too cold at night to support life by delaying heat energy in certain frequencies (wave lengths) from escaping to space. Yet these gases allow visible light to pass through. Ecologist Jim Steele has another good, simple presentation on the Greenhouse Effect.

Francis Menton had a thought contest on which country or US state government would say no more. Trying to operate a modern civilization with no carbon dioxide emissions is impossible. To Menton, Germany is the clear winner. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and Science, Policy, and Evidence.

SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD – THE JACKSON

SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they think is most deserving. The entire Biden Administration won in 2021, so individuals in it are still eligible.

The voting will close on July 30. Please send your nominee and a brief reason the person is qualified for the honor to [email protected] The awardee will be announced at the annual meeting of the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness on August 14 to 16 at the South Point Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas. Registration: https://aaps.wufoo.com/forms/qb79fo31o62uh1/; Hotel: https://be.synxis.com/?adult=1&arrive=2022-08-14&chain=6903&child=0&currency=USD&depart=2022-08-15&group=DOC0811&hotel=11548&level=hotel&locale=en-US&rooms=1

Number of the Week: Down 80%, up 50%. The Biden Administration may start sales of oil leases on Federal lands soon. In April, it announced that the acreage for lease will be 80% less than previously announced and royalties will be increase by 50%. Restricting US development of energy resources and increasing US prices on energy is how the administration is opposing the Russian invasion of Ukraine? See links under Washington’s Control of Energy.

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Download with no charge:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Download with no charge:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Media claims CO2 “traps heat”! A big lie or a big stupid???

By Jim Steele, A Walk On The Natural Side, June 27, 2022

Text: https://perhapsallnatural.blogspot.com/2022/06/media-claims-co2-traps-heat-big-lie-or.html

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36dAG3YkqSE

Climate Alarmist Claim Fact Checks

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, June 25, 2022

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/alarmist_claim_rebuttals_updated/

Junk Science Week: Net-Zero Edition — Ross McKitrick: Junk science has led to junk policies

The way out of this mess begins by getting back to mainstream economics

By:Ross McKitrick, Special to Financial Post, June 24, 2022

https://financialpost.com/opinion/junk-science-week-net-zero-edition-ross-mckitrick-junk-science-has-led-to-junk-policies

Fossil-fuel price spikes are causing pain but little climate payoff

By Bjorn Lomborg, New York Post, June 19, 2022

https://nypost.com/2022/06/19/fossil-fuel-price-spikes-are-causing-pain-but-little-climate-payoff/

“While Western governments are blaming Russia’s war on Ukraine, prices were already rising because of climate policies designed to choke fossil-fuel investment. Since the 2015 Paris agreement was inked, the world’s 1,200 biggest energy corporations have slashed capital investment in oil and gas by more than two-thirds.”

The Moon’s climate influence detected

By David Whitehouse, Net Zero Watch, June 24, 2022

Link to paper: The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends

By Manoj Joshi, et al. EGUsphere, Apr 26, 2022

https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022/egusphere-2022-151/

Distinguished Professor: “Fed Up” With “Religious Climate Claptrap”…”Green Energy Fantasies”

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 25, 2022

Defending the Orthodoxy

Aussie Climate Minister Promises to Legislate Away that Evil CO2

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 29, 2022

War Puts Climate Change on the Back Burner

By Karl Maier, Bloomberg, June 28, 2022

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-06-28/war-puts-climate-change-on-the-back-burner-balance-of-power

Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science

Counting the true cost of climate change

By John Howell, GreenBiz, June 29, 2022

https://www.greenbiz.com/article/counting-true-cost-climate-change

“That poll reports that firms currently spend an average of $533,000 annually while voluntarily providing the information that the SEC’s rule would require.”

“For perspective, measure that projected $533,000 against this number: $270 billion. That’s the total of global losses from extreme weather events in 2021, according to an annual report by insurer Swiss Re. Losses from floods alone, the No. 1 cause, are growing at a faster pace than global GDP. And insured losses have been on a long-term growth trend of 5-7 percent for a while, accelerated by climate change.”

[SEPP Comment: Distorted comparison, Climate has been changing for hundreds of millions of years. The great distortion of science by the UN IPCC and its followers gives the false implication that humans can control climate.]

Climate change: These cities are on track for extreme conditions by 2050

By Katharina Buchholz, World Economic Forum, Jun 28, 2022

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/06/climate-change-cities-experience-climate-extremes

Link to study cited as NEW: Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues

By Jean-Francois Bastin, et al. Plos One, July 10, 2019

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0217592

“Manila in the Philippines will be almost 4°C hotter and Rangoon in Myanmar is expected to be almost 6°C hotter.”

[SEPP Comment: Also, Tehran will by 6.2°C hotter and Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 6.1°C hotter.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

If only they knew that they don’t know

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

In the first chapter of his Autobiography John Stuart Mill recalls vividly the rebuke he received from his home-schooling father for saying something could be true in theory but not in practice, ‘leaving me fully persuaded that in being unable to give a correct definition of Theory, and in speaking of it as something which might be at variance with practice, I had shown unparalleled ignorance.’ It is a passage on which climate alarmists particularly need to reflect at this point, as their theories increasingly fail to predict or explain what really happens.” [Boldface added.]

Reining in the Bureaucrats

The courts are getting increasingly skeptical of the ‘administrative state’

By Adam J. White, Commentary, July/August 2022

“Particularly with enactment of the Administrative Procedure Act of 1946, Congress attempted to standardize the agencies’ process for making regulations or deciding cases; it made the former look more legislative, and the latter more judicial. It did so for laudable reasons, including efficiency and accountability.”

[SEPP Comment: Assessing whether the court ruling applies to a sweeping proposed rules by the SEC and FTC.]

Warming is cooling and everything is bad

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

“As so often, behind the pseudo-precision and apocalyptic language nobody really has the faintest idea what’s going on. ‘The occurrence of two consecutive La Niña winters in the Northern Hemisphere is common but having three in a row is relatively rare. A ‘triple dip’ La Niña – lasting three years in a row – has happened only twice since 1950.’ Which isn’t very rare. And what was going on before 1950? Well, toss a coin, really.”

Sea Level Rise Acceleration – An Alternative Hypothesis – Part 2

By Dr Alan Welch FBIS FRAS, Ledbury, UK, WUWT, June 29, 2022

“It is also difficult to judge what is an acceptable time range that may give meaningful predictions.  In some tidal data 100 years is still insufficient.  Satellite data may be more accurate but it still early days to judge behaviour let alone predict the future.”

New Study Affirms Temperatures Determine Greenhouse Gas Forcing Trends, Not The Other Way Around

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, June 30, 2022

Link to latest accepted paper: Trends in Downwelling Longwave Radiance over the Southern Great Plains

By Lei Liu, et al. JGR Atmospheres, 2022

Energy is Power but the West’s starving itself

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 28, 2022

Junk Science Week: Net-Zero Edition — John Constable & Debra Lieberman: The energy of nations and the creation of wealth

Faltering or falling energy consumption, particularly electricity, is not an indication of a healthy economy

By John Constable and Debra Lieberman, Special to Financial Post (Can), Jun 24, 2022

https://financialpost.com/opinion/junk-science-week-net-zero-edition-john-constable-debra-lieberman-the-energy-of-nations-and-the-creation-of-wealth

Invisible Demons

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 30, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/06/invisible-demons/

[SEPP Comment: Exposing many false predictions by experts.]

Fifty-Seven Years Into The Scam

By Tony Heller, His Blog, July 1, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/07/fifty-seven-years-into-the-scam/

[SEPP Comment: 1965 speech by President Johnson when urban air pollution was a real problem in the US.]

On Free Market Energy Advocacy

By Robert Bradley Jr., Master Resource, June 29, 2022

After Paris!

Bonn voyage

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

“As Climate Home News put it, and even this assessment could be accused of unwarranted optimism, ‘The sense of urgency that emanated from Cop26 continued to fizzle out this week, as the climate diplomacy hardcore gathered in Germany for the Bonn climate talks.’ The Financial Times was blunter: ‘UN climate talks end in acrimony and accusations of betrayal’”

Change in US Administrations

Biden’s Abuse of Defense Production Act Will Drive Gas Prices Even Higher

By Jason Isaac, Real Clear Policy, June 24, 2022

https://www.realclearpolicy.com/articles/2022/06/24/bidens_abuse_of_defense_production_act_will_drive_gas_prices_even_higher_838977.html

Biden Maladministration Lies Again: Draft Offshore Leasing Plan Not Delivered as Promised

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 1, 2022

Why Biden Keeps Lying About Energy

The president finally admits we need more oil refineries but lies about supply

By Michael Shellenberger, His Blog, June 21, 2022

https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-biden-keeps-lying-about-energy

The Biden Administration Hits Peak Energy Absurdity

By Anne Bradbury, Real Clear Energy, June 27, 2022

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/06/27/the_biden_administration_hits_peak_energy_absurdity_838966.html

The Best-Mislaid Plans of Mice and Men Often Go Awry: Biden Oil Edition

The LNG Export Plan

By David Middleton, WUWT, June 28, 2022

“There have been lease sales every year since the passage of the Submerged Lands Act (SLA) of 1953. 2022 will likely be the first year without a lease sale, the second if you count 2021. BOEM held Sale 257 in November 2021; however, a corrupt Obama judge voided it… Because climate change.”

Social Benefits of Carbon Dioxide

CO2: Negating Ozone for Plant Productivity

By Craig D. Idso, Master Resource, June 28, 2022

[SEPP Comment: On ground level ozone, not stratospheric ozone that contributes to the greenhouse effect. “Stratospheric ozone is formed naturally through the interaction of solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation with molecular oxygen (O2).  The ‘ozone layer,’ approximately 6 through 30 miles above the Earth’s surface, reduces the amount of harmful UV radiation reaching the Earth’s surface.”]

https://www.epa.gov/ozone-pollution-and-your-patients-health/what-ozone

Problems in the Orthodoxy

Climate pledges vanish in Europe

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 27, 2022

Soaring Global Coal Use Is Obliterating Emission Reductions Achieved in the U.S. Since 2005

By Robert Bryce, Real Clear Energy, June 26, 2022

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/06/26/soaring_global_coal_use_is_obliterating_emission_reductions_achieved_in_the_us_since_2005_839166.html

Seeking a Common Ground

There Are Two Fundamentally Irreconcilable Constitutional Visions

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, July 1, 2022

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2022-7-1-there-are-two-fundamentally-irreconcilable-constitutional-visions

Changes in the Greenland Ice Sheet Mass: Crisis in the Making, or Example of Uncertainty in Climate Science?

By Michael F. Cochrane, WUWT, June 29, 2022

“Acknowledging the uncertainty surrounding climate science should lead to a strong sense of humility. Scientists are not advocates. They must provide policy makers with the best evidence, but do so humbly, acknowledging that their conclusions will likely have a major impact, not only on the world economy, but also on the flourishing of billions of vulnerable human beings.”

Science, Policy, and Evidence

And The Winner Is, Germany!

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 29, 2022

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2022-6-29-and-the-winner-is-germany

An Unnecessary Tragedy: The New Mexico Hermit’s Peak Fire

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, June 28, 2022

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/06/an-unnecessary-tragedy-new-mexico.html

“Finally, there should be a special place in Hades for those in the media and in the government that blame such forest mismanagement and prescribed burn missteps on climate change, as illustrated by the article and headline below in the Seattle Times. Such misinformation/disinformation undermines our ability to fix western forests and puts people and the natural environment at risk.”

Only a government could lose money on this one

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

“The Canadian government is setting challenging benchmarks for any state hoping to achieve fame for incompetence. Having bought the Trans-Mountain Pipeline Expansion (TMX to insiders), one of the few domestic energy megaprojects it had not managed to destroy, despite a boom in energy prices it seems poised to lose a fortune on it.”

Models v. Observations

‘A Significant And Robust Cooling Trend’ In The Southern Ocean From 1982–2020 Defies Climate Models

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, June 27, 2022

Link to latest paper: Understanding Sea Surface Temperature Cooling in the Central-East Pacific Sector of the Southern Ocean During 1982–2020

By Xiaoqi Xu, et al. Chinese Academy of Sciences, Geophysical Research Letters, May 11, 2022

http://hg.lasg.ac.cn/ueditor/php/upload/file/20220525/1653459783138717.pdf

Measurement Issues — Atmosphere

UAH Global Temperature Update for June 2022: +0.06 deg. C

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, July 1, 2022

“The linear warming trend since January, 1979, still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).”

Changing Weather

Precision agriculture for South Asia

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. June 27, 2022

“Our client is Precision Development (PxD). PxD is a global non-profit organization that builds low-cost information systems at scale to share knowledge with the world’s poorest and most disadvantaged people.  I am extremely impressed by what PxD is doing and their personnel, and we welcome this project as a way to return to CFAN’s [Climate Forecast Applications Network] roots – our first project was flood forecasting in Bangladesh.”

Global decrease in tropical cyclones identified by Australian scientists

By Ben Deacon, ABC News, Weather, June 28, 2022 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-28/cyclone-frequency-decline-worldwide-climate-change/101189558

Link to paper: Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming

By Savin S. Chand, et al. Nature Climate Change, June 27, 2022

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01388-4

[SEPP Comment: Questionable: Uses “a reconstructed long-term proxy of annual TC [tropical cyclone] numbers together with high-resolution climate model experiments.”]

Climate Change Weekly #439: Hurricanes Not Increasing, Despite Warming

By H. Sterling Burnett, Environment & Climate News, June 30, 2022

Extreme Weather In The Past: Germany’s Great Drought Of 1947 And Its “Catastrophic” Consequences

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 26, 2022

Changing Seas

Of rising seas and cities

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

Rebels to the Coral Reef Cause (Part 1)

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, July 1, 2022

“Everybody claims to care about the Great Barrier Reef, but very few people take the time to actually visit it.  The reports of mass coral bleaching this past summer are mostly from aerial surveys flown at 150 metres altitude in aeroplanes and helicopters. I have repeatedly argued that you can’t see very much from that distance.

“The Institute of Public Affairs have a new program that is all about getting young people out to see the Great Barrier Reef – not from an aeroplane but we will be getting into and under the water.  The program kicks off next week and I am so excited to be one of the guides.”

CDN by the Sea: Gibara, Cuba

By John Robeson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 29, 2022

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Claim: data exists showing polar bear body condition improves over summer on sea ice

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 29, 2022



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