IBHOF boxing and gambling expert Graham Houston looks for bet value in Saturday night’s terrifying showdown between WBC heavyweight champion Tyson Fury and top contender Dillian Whyte .
Tonight is the night of one of the biggest heavyweight bouts in boxing history, with Tyson Fury defending his title against WBC mandatory challenger Dillian Whyte. More than 90,000 people are expected to arrive at Wembley Stadium. Fury is the favorite (2/9 at Betfred) but Whyte can punch and we’ve seen Fury injured and knocked out, so not many people will feel comfortable placing a bid on Gypsy King.
The value here is to accept Whyte as the underdog (7/2 at Betfred) or consider the proposed markets.
Of course, with the heavyweights in the ring, more than any other division, anything can happen, at any time, but I think it’s going to be a long fight. .
Fury’s weight of just under 265 pounds is his lightest since he beat Otto Wallin in 2019. This suggests he plans to move more than he did in two. fight with Deontay Wilder, when Fury hit over 270 pounds.
Whyte’s 253¼ was 6 pounds more than he weighed for his dominant win over Alexander Povetkin in his final bout, but he weighs the same or even heavier in the past.
Those who see Fury winning in 12 scheduled rounds can point to Whyte’s KO defeat to Alexander Povetkin in their first meeting. But I believe this result is somewhat misleading. Whyte was flying along superbly and was hit by a perfect shot he didn’t see coming.
When you think about it, Whyte’s durability looks pretty good in most of his games. He has had a long time in fierce battles with the likes of Dereck Chisora, Joseph Parker and Oscar Rivas. Robert Helenius could shoot with his right hand but Whyte made the Norwegian big man step back for most of 12 innings
Fury has shown vulnerability but he has also shown quite remarkable healing power.
So I think each man can take the punches of the other and stay in the fight, at least for the first few rounds.
Also, does either one really want to walk in with all their guns blazing when they have 12 rounds left in front of them? It seems to make much more sense if the fighters self-regulate and show a sense of defense.
And while Fury is unpredictable, his lighter weight probably means his intention is to take up a boxing.
If you think Fury has a 12 point chance of a decisive win, Betfred has set you a price of 5/2. If you like the idea of Fury beating Whyte the way he took down Deontay Wilder, you’re looking at the price 4/6. And if you feel that victory on Fury’s schedule is more likely to happen in the second half of the competition, Betfred offers Social boxing price increase 7/4. Whyte to win the distance given at 21/5. And one would think that Whyte’s only chance is to stop Fury, who is simply a better, more versatile fighter. Whyte to win the 12-point judgment seems unlikely, but if you consider this a possible outcome, the right price is 25/1.
We can expect Whyte to bring pressure. My guess is that Fury will be looking at the box on the outside, perhaps switching between orthodox and nampaw views, rather than confronting the challenger directly. If Fury pursues smart, sensible boxing, finding a way to take Whyte down instead of trying to take him down, I feel that there’s a good chance the fight will go the distance. So the “yes” distance costs 9/4, while the “no” distance is 1/3.
Personally, I like the “8.5+ rounds” recommendation, which is offered around 11/10 at various stores. Whyte is not known for his explosive punch power although he can certainly hurt people. It took Fury 11 rounds to take down Wilder in their third encounter, and the “Bronze Bomber” was like a dead man in the final few rounds. So I don’t understand why this bout can’t make it to the second half of the ninth inning.
As a straight pick, I’d pick Fury, either by points or by late-round TKO, somewhere around day 10 or 11, with an aging Whyte taking too many shots for the umpire’s will. But, then, in a big fight like this, with a lot of risk, I think the umpire would be inclined to give the boxers a long leash – which boxing doesn’t need for a big fight. size like this. ends on a controversial stop.
Main image: Queensberry promotion.
