The Marshall Islands are growing, not shrinking. The World Bank’s Shameful Error in The Alarmer’s 2021 Report – Do You Stand Out?
Via P Gosselin above 20. February 2022
The doom and gloom warnings of the World Bank 2021 report miss a key mechanism: coral reefs.
Last October, just before the Glasgow Climate Conference, The World Bank has released a report with a dire warning for the Marshall Islands. It states: “Sea-level rise in the Marshall Islands atoll is expected to endanger 40% of existing buildings in the capital Majuro, with 96% of the city at risk of flooding. often due to climate change.”
The astonishing claims are based on “new visual models” and that rising sea levels are caused by co2-induced warming.
But now we know that the input to the model is garbage, and the output of the model is also garbage. Nothing like that will happen to the Marshall Islands any time soon.
The analysis shows a 4% growth from 1945 to 2010!
German climate website Die kalte Sonne this Taking a closer look at the impressive claims and finding the World Bank report had a fatal flaw: it failed to take into account the role coral reefs play in island building.
ONE 2015 paper published by Ford et al actually see that the opposite is happening: islands are expanding, not sinking and shrinking. Summary of the article:
Using recent historic aerial photographs and high-resolution satellite images, shoreline changes on six atolls and two mid-ocean reefs in the Republic of the Marshall Islands have been analyzed. The results show that since the mid-20th century, more coastline has been accreted than eroded, with 17.23% showing erosion, compared with 39.74% accretion and 43.03% showing no. change. ”
Overall, the authors found a net result:
The real result of these changes is the development of the islands examined from 9.09 km2 to 9.46 km2 between World War II (WWII) and 2010.”
Die kalte Sonne called the findings “surprising” and noted that the World Bank report made a serious mistake in ignoring the phenomenon that islands made up of coral grow with sea level. offer. When asked why models ignore this important factor, no answer was given.
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