January 9, Georgia bulldog will undertake Horned Frog TCU in the ninth edition of College football playoff (CFP) National Championship Game.
Georgia opens with 13.5 favorites at Bet FOXwith an open Over/Under (total) ratio of 61.5.
According to FOX Sports Research, this is the largest spread for a title game since the BCS founded a game in 1998. The previous high occurred when Miami was 12 points ahead of Ohio State in the Game. 2002 BCS Championship.
Kirby Smart & Co. will appear for the third time in the game, lose Alabama in the 2017 season and then beat Tide in the national championship last year. The TCU, on the other hand, will make its debut in the big dance under first-year head coach Sonny Dykes.
For even more in-depth big game analysis, FOX Sports Research has decided to look at the historical trends of the championship match to give you the edge on next Monday’s betting. Below are trends dissected from two different time lenses: the beginning of the BCS era (since 1998), then the beginning of the CFP era (since 2014).
Let’s dive in!
Here’s how the teams performed when dealing with spread (ATS) and straight (SU), along with different notes on Over/Under.
Since the beginning of BCS (1998):
- Favorites are 12-12 ATS and 15-9 SU in the championship match
- The team that lost the double digits was 2-0 ATS and SU in the national championship; Oklahoma State (+11.5) defeated State of Florida in the 2000 season, and Ohio State (+12) defeated miami in the 2002 season
- The seven-plus favorites in the title game are 3-5 ATS and 4-4 SU
- SEC teams are 14-6 ATS and 14-6 SU in the championship game
- The 12 big teams are 2-5 ATS and 2-5 SU in the title game
- Team #1 in AP Poll is 11-10 ATS and SU in title game
- 3rd team in AP Poll is 3-5 ATS and 2-6 SU in championship match
- Tai was successful in 13 out of 24 national championship matches (one push)
- In games where Over/Under is greater than 60, Under is hit in four of the seven games (one push)
- Georgia is looking to become the second consecutive national champion in the BCS era that Alabama has done so in 2011 and 2012.
- Alabama did so in 2011 and 2012
Since the start of CFP (2014):
- Favorites are 3-5 ATS and 5-3 SU in the championship match
- Favorites of the six pluses are 1-3 ATS and 2-2 SU in the title game
- SEC teams are 4-5 ATS and 5-4 SU in the championship match
- The Big 12 have never had a team in the title game
- The #1 team in AP Poll is 3-3 ATS and 2-4 SU in the championship game
- Team #3 in AP Poll is 3-3 ATS and 2-4 SU in the title game
- Tai was successful in five of eight national championship matches (one push)
- In games where Over/Under is greater than 60, it is split 1-1, along with a push in three combinations
- Georgia is 2-0 ATS and 1-1 SU in the championship game
- Bulldogs are looking to become the first back-to-back national champions in the CFP era
So are you ready to bet on the CFP title game? Go Bet FOX Now for all your bets!
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