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Review of the week – climate edition


by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my attention in the past weeks

Despite the gradual rise in sea levels, many atolls – often considered the most endangered – are actually growing on land. [link]

Overall, the risk of death from heat exposure decreased in the United States between 1975 and 2018, although extreme heat events increased Sheridan et al. Year 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-20-0083.1

The Air Quality Life Index shows that air pollution reduces life expectancy globally by more than two years – making it more dangerous to breathe globally than smoking or drinking. [link]

“The ‘attribution science’ is a newly created so-called ‘science’ that seems to be just a stampede of the climate crisis narratives as their analyzes never fully account for all the contributing factors like good science have to have, https://perhapsallnatural.blogspot.com/2022_02_07_archive.html

Strong control of Atlantic SSTs on precipitation in Northeast Mexico over the past millennium. [link]

Exploring tropical Pacific manifolds in models and observations [link]

Summary of the relationship between landfall atmospheric rivers, integrated water vapor transport, and watershed precipitation in California 1982–2019 ″ For a summary of this paper, visit: https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-publication-notice-summarizing-relationships-among-landfalling-atmospheric-rivers-integrated-water-vapor-transport-and-california-watershed-precipitation-1982-2019/

We need to be fully aware of the uncertainties in our estimates, before using them to make decisions. [link]

Sinking Heaven? Climate Change Vulnerability and Extinction of the Pacific Island [link]

Find out Australia’s rainfall [link]

Integrating evidence of terrestrial carbon depletion due to increased atmospheric CO https://nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/nph.16866…

Over the past 50 years, the United States has suffered from a declining rate of hurricanes AND major hurricanes (Cat3+). There is variation, but the trend is both bearish. See Vecchi et al (2021) for a more extensive and powerful look at this topic: https://nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24268-5

There has been only “limited retreat” of glaciers in SE Greenland since the peak of the 1600s-1800s. This same area was “ice-free” during the Early Holocene. Ice rafting (due to warmer temperatures, melting glaciers) and low sea ice are also less common today. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/09596836221080758…

The Great Salt Lake is dry [link]

Effect of ocean salinity on climate. [link]

A study in northern Sweden found that melting permafrost released one-tenth more methane than expected. The findings suggest that emissions from the thawing Arctic tundra may be much less than previously feared.
: https://bit.ly/3wNnnCd

Methane persistence and hydroxyl radical availability [link]

Beyond carbon storage: other ways forests keep us cool [link]

How climate change may have destroyed a historic Tibetan kingdom [link]

Physical processes and feedback obscure the future of the Antarctic ice sheet [link]

Positive trends in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover and associated changes in sea surface temperature. [link]

Research on incorporating social, political and technological responses into climate models suggests that climate policy implementation in the coming decades could accelerate to deliver the Paris goals in the future. reach of hand. [link]

Climate inertia [link]

A new study on regenerative grazing complicates climate optimism https://buff.ly/38gT0ZS

New article by Koutsoyiannis on Causality https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2021.0835

A new analysis of misinformation judgments (N=3794) suggests that our partisan cognitive model is more accurate than classical models of reasoning and motivation. The interesting thing about this paper is the use of formal models for each theoretical framework [link]…

Jet Streams: Will Climate Change Cause More Weather Events? [link]

Climate change and ancient civilizations [link]

Policy and technology

Shellenberger: Why Biden’s attacks on energy are complete madness [link]

Economic freedom is better at reducing poverty than sending aid or technocrats to help design government programs. [link]

Inspired by palm trees, scientists develop wind turbines that are resistant to storms [link]

Related: Low wind and solar output blamed for power market shutdown in Australia as prices soar https://mol.im/a/10918309

Solution or bandana? Carbon capture projects underway [link]

Sigh: Climate change need not be a harbinger of global hunger [link]

Rich synthesis [link]

Green volatility: the new geopolitics of energy [link]

“Increasing crop diversity reduces weather variability and improves yield stability” [link]

Modular reactors generate high amounts of nuclear waste [link]

Why can’t America build quickly anymore? [link]

Scientists are working on ‘solar technology’ that can generate power at night:[link]

Once cycled, nuclear power is now in favor of environmentalists https://observer.com/2022/04/once-reviled-nuclear-power-is-now-looking-good-to-enosystemalists/…

Wind and sun will have to wait [link]

Time for an energy independent moon [link]

How much does climate change really affect GDP? [link]

Russia’s war is the end of climate policy as we know it [link]

Climate Club. How to Fix a Failed Global Effort [link]

Policymakers need to connect climate, biodiversity and society when making transformative change decisions to prevent biodiversity loss and stabilize climate. https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/biosci/biac031/6593160?redictingFrom=fulltext…

The laser reveals the expanse of the ancient metropolis hidden in the Amazon [link]

Africa’s diesel generation boom [link]

Plastic mining: harvesting stored energy in a reuse revolution [link]

Why China is set to significantly over-perform its 2030 climate goals [link]

Don’t abbreviate coal. We need it to ensure grid reliability [link]

The fairy tale of Paris [link]

Eliminating poverty by limiting investment in fossil fuels will not solve climate change [link]

Bullshit in sustainable and transitional literature: A provocation [link]

Countries must also rapidly reduce emissions of “short-lived climate pollutants” to avoid the worst effects of climate change. [link]

Electronic article in which we explore what one can learn from history to understand today’s challenges in implementing ‘sponge city’ solutions, on the interface of #floodriskmanagement and #space plan to address the effects of climate change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2022.103702

This article is probably the best overview of grid stability I have seen. technical but not too technical https://osti.gov/servlets/purl/1660134

About science and scientists

The suicides show a wave of advocates as the climate crisis escalates [link]

Children worried about the environment are overwhelming [link]

Will the ‘great resignation’ affect academia? [link]

Science is politics – and that’s a bad thing [link]

With all due respect to the professionals [link]

We do not raise adults. We are raising excellent sheep [link]

“Those who lament the death of truth should instead acknowledge the end of a monopoly system.” New Atlantis: Reformation in the Church of Science https://thenewatlantis.com/publications/reformation-in-the-church-of-science…





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