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Overview of the week – scientific edition


by Judith Curry

A couple of things that I’ve come to grips with over the past few weeks.

Future sea level change from Greenland and Antarctica, from CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios [link]

Regional variation in land-based and land-based methane efficiency #climate mitigation options https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/513/2021/…

New paper from DeConto, Pollard et al: Paris climate agreement and future sea level rise from Antarctica [link]

New paper by Tamsin Edwards et al: Forecasting the contribution of land ice to sea level rise in the 21st century [link]

Guardian article in Deconto and Edwards [link]

Will the reduction in COVID-related emissions affect the climate? [link]

Excellent review article: Sensitivity of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to climate change: past, present and future [link]

Medieval weather prediction [link]

Global reconstruction of storm surge (GSSR) https://lnkd.in/ens6YjT

Plastic pollution in the deep sea: A geological perspective https://geosociety.org/GSA/News/pr/2021/21-28.aspx…

Effects of climate risk information on property values [link]

Uncertain future #Southern Sea carbon dioxide absorption is halved [link]

This #super moon there is a change – flooding is expected, but the lunar cycle is masking the effects of #Sea level rise. https://theconversation.com/this-supermoon-has-a-twist-expect-flooding-but-a-lunar-cycle-is-masking-effects-of-sea-level-rise-158412…

Big review: Miocene – future of the past [link]

‘Heat bomb’ destroys Arctic sea ice [link]

Troubleshoot the drivers of ancient storm activity [link]

The most recent CMIP6 modeling studies of the tropical cyclone/storm project failed to detect the most damage-related storm index changes…according to RCP8.5 [link]

Too much cold and rain aggravated the Spanish Flu [link]

Connecting Southern Ocean ventilation with leading atmospheric variability, https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0629.1/JCLI-D-20-0629.1.xml…

Changes in Gulf Streams Before Rapid Warming of the Northwest Shelf of the Atlantic Ocean [link]

During argo’s first 12 years, cyclic variability dominated the change patterns, but warming was deeply embedded in the ocean’s underlying water mass structure. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1…

Humans have shaped much of terrestrial nature for at least 12,000 years [link]

Enhanced El Nino causes anomalies in greenhouse warming conditions [link]

Anatomy of past sudden warming cases [link]

Storms destroyed ‘lost town’ [link]

Technology and policy

Must Read: Vaclav Smil on Energy Transitions [link]

Using hydrogen-based fuels for cars and home heating applications risks locking in dependence on fossil fuel infrastructure and failing to solve the climate crisis. https://theguardian.com/enosystem/2021/may/06/hydrogen-fuel-risks-reliance-on-fossil-fuels…

Nuclear reactors can provide abundant non-carbon hydrogen [link]

Big farming is the best [link]

The mismatch between the world’s climate ambitions and the availability of key minerals could lead to a slower and more expensive energy transition, according to a new report by the National Energy Agency. economy (IEA).” https://world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Minerals-will-be-critical-to-clean-energy-shift-IE

The road to carbon neutral agriculture [link]

Disadvantages of solar energy [link]

China is phasing out the use of coal, but now it is necessary [link]

Integrity in science, public policy and water management in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia [link]

Lessons from hastily replanting the forest [link]

Biden promises to ‘Build back better.’ Some Climate Experts See Trouble.. https://nytimes.com/2021/05/06/climate/climate-biden-louisiana.html…

Farming our way out of the climate crisis [link]

Bill Gates’ message to world leaders [link]

If #Wind energy is “green” why so many rural communities reject it? [link]

Really, how green is wind energy? A new report speaks to the carbon cost of renewable energy [link]

Rebuilding after a wildfire? Most states do not require fireproof materials [link]

New UN report: cutting methane is one way to quickly reduce warming [link]

“Without addressing climate change, forest offsetting in California appears to be adding tens of millions of tons of CO2 to the atmosphere in a balanced way, undermining progress toward long-term emissions goals.” state term.” [link]

Pumped storage looks great from the point of view of a climate-friendly electrical system, but comes at a local environmental cost. [link]

Can we really limit global warming to below 2C? Yes, but only in one model [link]

It’s time to end subsidies for burning firewood from the forest [link]

Prepare in time compared to just in case of pandemic prepare [link]

Lomborg: Which climate and energy policy generates the best return per dollar spent? The biggest policy boom is investing in green energy research and phasing out fossil fuel subsidies https://sciasedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157

“The results of this study suggest that nomadic livestock production contributes to sustainable management of peri-urban land, stimulating grazing can prevent fuel accumulation in coastal forest areas.” https://mdpi.com/2073-445X/9/1/21

Invest in geothermal energy [link]

We can’t let the nucleus die [link]

Biden’s climate plan is not a fresh start, but a culmination of old approaches [link]

An outdated idea that is still shaping US climate policy [link]

Clean up the pile of e-waste [link]

About science & scientists

Does ocean acidification change fish behavior? Allegations of fraud [link]

When science journalism turns into activism [link]

New enemy of open society [link]

Why is politically guided science bad? [link]

“To the extent that the insurance industry directs, funds & validates production & uses science to estimate risk, it is itself a full-fledged political enterprise whose function is to prioritize the interests of the industry” [link]

Is time like an arrow, going in one direction? Is it one-way? Or hazy ways of thinking about the reality of time as it was? [link]

Connecting observations, theory, and numerical models of the oceans with Machine Learning [link]

When diversity eats diversity: the difference between diversity of representation and diversity of thought [link]

Microagressions, problem science and free speech [link]

Climate Scientists Swap Fieldwork for Finance – Tons of growth interest in climate expertise, especially in the financial sector. https://reuters.com/article/us-climate-change-finance-talent-idCAKBN2C20ET…

The tyranny of scientism and the subversion of science [link]

Oreskes: Climate scientists set the proof too high [link]

The lane of scientists and upstream [link]

It doesn’t destroy culture, it destroys technology [link]





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