Overview of the week – scientific edition
by Judith Curry
A couple of things that I’ve come to grips with over the past few weeks.
Future sea level change from Greenland and Antarctica, from CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios [link]
Regional variation in land-based and land-based methane efficiency #climate mitigation options https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/513/2021/…
New paper from DeConto, Pollard et al: Paris climate agreement and future sea level rise from Antarctica [link]
New paper by Tamsin Edwards et al: Forecasting the contribution of land ice to sea level rise in the 21st century [link]
Guardian article in Deconto and Edwards [link]
Will the reduction in COVID-related emissions affect the climate? [link]
Excellent review article: Sensitivity of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to climate change: past, present and future [link]
Medieval weather prediction [link]
Global reconstruction of storm surge (GSSR) https://lnkd.in/ens6YjT
Plastic pollution in the deep sea: A geological perspective https://geosociety.org/GSA/News/pr/2021/21-28.aspx…
Effects of climate risk information on property values [link]
Uncertain future #Southern Sea carbon dioxide absorption is halved [link]
This #super moon there is a change – flooding is expected, but the lunar cycle is masking the effects of #Sea level rise. https://theconversation.com/this-supermoon-has-a-twist-expect-flooding-but-a-lunar-cycle-is-masking-effects-of-sea-level-rise-158412…
Big review: Miocene – future of the past [link]
‘Heat bomb’ destroys Arctic sea ice [link]
Troubleshoot the drivers of ancient storm activity [link]
The most recent CMIP6 modeling studies of the tropical cyclone/storm project failed to detect the most damage-related storm index changes…according to RCP8.5 [link]
Too much cold and rain aggravated the Spanish Flu [link]
Connecting Southern Ocean ventilation with leading atmospheric variability, https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0629.1/JCLI-D-20-0629.1.xml…
Changes in Gulf Streams Before Rapid Warming of the Northwest Shelf of the Atlantic Ocean [link]
During argo’s first 12 years, cyclic variability dominated the change patterns, but warming was deeply embedded in the ocean’s underlying water mass structure. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1…
Humans have shaped much of terrestrial nature for at least 12,000 years [link]
Enhanced El Nino causes anomalies in greenhouse warming conditions [link]
Anatomy of past sudden warming cases [link]
Storms destroyed ‘lost town’ [link]
Technology and policy
Must Read: Vaclav Smil on Energy Transitions [link]
Using hydrogen-based fuels for cars and home heating applications risks locking in dependence on fossil fuel infrastructure and failing to solve the climate crisis. https://theguardian.com/enosystem/2021/may/06/hydrogen-fuel-risks-reliance-on-fossil-fuels…
Nuclear reactors can provide abundant non-carbon hydrogen [link]
Big farming is the best [link]
The mismatch between the world’s climate ambitions and the availability of key minerals could lead to a slower and more expensive energy transition, according to a new report by the National Energy Agency. economy (IEA).” https://world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Minerals-will-be-critical-to-clean-energy-shift-IE
The road to carbon neutral agriculture [link]
Disadvantages of solar energy [link]
China is phasing out the use of coal, but now it is necessary [link]
Integrity in science, public policy and water management in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia [link]
Lessons from hastily replanting the forest [link]
Biden promises to ‘Build back better.’ Some Climate Experts See Trouble.. https://nytimes.com/2021/05/06/climate/climate-biden-louisiana.html…
Farming our way out of the climate crisis [link]
Bill Gates’ message to world leaders [link]
If #Wind energy is “green” why so many rural communities reject it? [link]
Really, how green is wind energy? A new report speaks to the carbon cost of renewable energy [link]
Rebuilding after a wildfire? Most states do not require fireproof materials [link]
New UN report: cutting methane is one way to quickly reduce warming [link]
“Without addressing climate change, forest offsetting in California appears to be adding tens of millions of tons of CO2 to the atmosphere in a balanced way, undermining progress toward long-term emissions goals.” state term.” [link]
Pumped storage looks great from the point of view of a climate-friendly electrical system, but comes at a local environmental cost. [link]
Can we really limit global warming to below 2C? Yes, but only in one model [link]
It’s time to end subsidies for burning firewood from the forest [link]
Prepare in time compared to just in case of pandemic prepare [link]
Lomborg: Which climate and energy policy generates the best return per dollar spent? The biggest policy boom is investing in green energy research and phasing out fossil fuel subsidies https://sciasedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520304157
“The results of this study suggest that nomadic livestock production contributes to sustainable management of peri-urban land, stimulating grazing can prevent fuel accumulation in coastal forest areas.” https://mdpi.com/2073-445X/9/1/21
Invest in geothermal energy [link]
We can’t let the nucleus die [link]
Biden’s climate plan is not a fresh start, but a culmination of old approaches [link]
An outdated idea that is still shaping US climate policy [link]
Clean up the pile of e-waste [link]
About science & scientists
Does ocean acidification change fish behavior? Allegations of fraud [link]
When science journalism turns into activism [link]
New enemy of open society [link]
Why is politically guided science bad? [link]
“To the extent that the insurance industry directs, funds & validates production & uses science to estimate risk, it is itself a full-fledged political enterprise whose function is to prioritize the interests of the industry” [link]
Is time like an arrow, going in one direction? Is it one-way? Or hazy ways of thinking about the reality of time as it was? [link]
Connecting observations, theory, and numerical models of the oceans with Machine Learning [link]
When diversity eats diversity: the difference between diversity of representation and diversity of thought [link]
Microagressions, problem science and free speech [link]
Climate Scientists Swap Fieldwork for Finance – Tons of growth interest in climate expertise, especially in the financial sector. https://reuters.com/article/us-climate-change-finance-talent-idCAKBN2C20ET…
The tyranny of scientism and the subversion of science [link]
Oreskes: Climate scientists set the proof too high [link]
The lane of scientists and upstream [link]
It doesn’t destroy culture, it destroys technology [link]