by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my attention in the past few weeks
Scafetta: Test CMIP6 GCM Simulation against Surface Temperature Records from 1980–1990 to 2011–2021: High ECS not supported [link]
Svensmark, Shaviv et al. Massive effect of solar activity on Earth’s energy budget [link]
The discovery of whale bones and sea shells at ancient beaches along the west coast of Greenland 32 to 36 meters from present-day shores has been dated to 5000 to 9000 years ago. The beaches are still ~6 m higher than they are now 1500-2000 years ago. [link]
Oceanic cues for predictability of Pacific Decline Oscillation [link]
Impact of Indian Ocean on climate projections for Australia [link]
Consistency and challenge in ocean carbon sink estimates for global carbon budgets https://bit.ly/3mxtmEz
Global and regional increase in precipitation due to global warming [link]
Dynamically adjusted view of extreme event distribution https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-971-2021
Powerful detection of forced warming under conditions of great potential for climate change [link]
The Transformation of the Indian Ocean since 1675 [link]
Amplify extreme temperatures on tropical lands [link]
Have you ever wondered how the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) was warm AND biotic during the Pliocene? [link]
A 993 AD storm over the sun created a pulse of radiation so powerful that it changed the chemistry of Earth’s plants – and recently helped scientists pinpoint five people Vikings to America [link]
Interesting analysis of cold deaths and heat deaths [link]
Global Survey of MJO and Extreme Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letter, 48, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094691….
Revisiting the UN Climate Disaster in Doubles [link]
Changes in the frequency of major storms in the North Atlantic [link]
Greenland’s temperature change over the last century [link]
Useless green energy hits the wall [link]
New articles on the medieval warm period [link]
Measures on land to mitigate climate change [link]
“Long-term effects of wind on Arctic sea ice through memory of the ocean” https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/4703/2021/…
Recent increase in tropical cyclone precipitation extremes on the east coast of the United States [link]
How unusual was the 31-year NAO trend ending in the 1990s? Models say it is much rarer than observations, indicating a possible new model error. [link]
Half of two recent papers show a decrease in the peak of more frequent floods but an increase in the number of peaks of more rare larger floods, and why: https://sciasedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169421010441…
Sea level rose more than 2.6 meters during the event 8200 years ago (8.2 ka). That’s a lot. https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/doi/10.1130/G49296.1/608090/New-estimate-of-the-magosystem-of-the-sea-level
Degenerate climate change in the tropical Pacific [link]
Seasonal temperature change is gradually reduced due to human influence [link]
Interesting modeling study that predicts future flood damage under adaptive assumptions https://nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01158-8…
Cooling in Antarctica [link]
Towards usable climate forecasting information on decadent time scales [link]
The new paper points to the importance of simulating precipitation events on snow for high flows even in the cold season, but also their role in exacerbating hydrological droughts in the winter months. Later. https://sciasedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169421010222…
New study shows enhanced water cycle slows global warming [link]
Our article on the hydroclimatology of the Indo-Pacific Warm Water Basin is out! We investigate the IPWP hydroclimate during the last deglaciation using an isotope-assisted Earth system model and explore its implications for isotope records. [link]
Your article in Science Advances today shows that emissions from global fires have stabilized despite a significant decline in burned areas globally over the past two decades as we tend to more emissions from forest fires. [link]
Uncertainty inherent in precipitation variability [link]
New Australian drought report. Recent drought cannot be clearly connected with human cause [link]
Future projections of Northern Hemisphere extratropical climates based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability https://nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00268-7
Does the presence of moisture make the weather more predictable? In a new @AMS_atmos paper w/@MHell we argue that it occurs at mid-latitudes by increasing the existence of annular mode anomalies (the leading mode of variation in mid-latitudes) https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/aop/JAS-D-21-0055.1/JAS-D-21-0055.1.xml…
North Atlantic jet stream forecast in the context of last 1,250 listens https://pnas.org/content/118/38/e2104105118
Release of methane from the Siberian permafrost after the 2020 heatwave https://judithcurry.com/2021/10/31/week-in-review-science-edition-130/
Policy & technology
The developing world needs energy – and a lot [link]
Past world economic production limits current energy demand [link]
Emerging Republican Climate Policy Framework [link]
Using artificial intelligence to protect the world’s energy infrastructure [link]
Global potential to harvest drinking water from the air using solar energy [link]
UNEP: Current climate commitments are weak promises [link]
The promise of integrated power planning [link]
Reliance on renewable energy becomes a reality [link]
Why did California shut down its last nuclear power plant? [link]
Japan restarts nuclear power plant amid push to cut carbon https://cityam.com/japan-to-restart-nuclear-power-plants-amid-carbon-cutting-push/…
France bets more on nuclear power in the face of European energy crisis [link]
Is nuclear power finally ready for its ‘Model T’ moment? [link]
How to power a planet with lava [link]
Agents promoting particular warming of the northeastern US coast [link]
European drought winds [link]
California’s New Energy Infrastructure: A Transition to Nowhere [link]
Asian Development Bank plans to buy coal plants [link]
#UK Government Notice #NetZero Large-scale inclusive strategy #Nuclear And new #Reactor #Technologies https://nucnet.org/news/go Government-announces-net-zero-strategy-that-includes-large-scale-nuclear-and-new-reactor-technologies-10-2-2021…
Geophysical constraints on wind and solar reliability worldwide [link]
The opposite: How adjusting flight plans can help the climate [link]
Recycled lithium batteries are as good as new [link]
Why India can’t get rid of coal addiction? [link]
Making a giant battery from iron [link]
Renewable energy paradox Solar panels and their toxic waste [link]
During the global energy crisis, anti-nuclear chickens return home to sleep [link]
Bangladesh is truly a climate success story [link]
U.S. dairy and dairy industries could be climate-neutral by 2050 [link]
California is poised to launch a groundbreaking program to buy vulnerable beachfront homes and rent them out until sea-level rise makes them uninhabitable. [link]
“Electricity shortages are one of the biggest and most intractable problems affecting Africa’s most populous country, where power outages lasting hours or days are routine and millions are left without access. with any power source”. [link]
How to prevent massive fires in the Sierra Nevada [link]
Floating farm strengthens flood resistance [link]
What is up? Three decades of failed carbon capture and storage [link]
About science and scientists
Follow science? On the marginal role of social scientists in the Covid-19 pandemic [link]
MIT abandoned its mission. And me [link]
The dismissal of a geophysics professor simply having a rational view of affirmative action does not bode well for academic freedom at MIT. https://realclearscience.com/2021/10/22/cancel_culture_has_a_lot_to_answer_for_800146.html
Ed Yong: How Public Health Participated in Its Own Downfall [link]
Funtowicz: A Quick Guide to Post-Normal Science [link]
A provocative new book: The Dawn of Everything. Human history rewritten [link]
#TheTrick – a drama about the 2009 email hack from the Climate Research Unit – aired on BBC [link]
New ideas are struggling to emerge from the sea of science. The formation of the canon [link]
Australian Supreme Court rules dismissing Peter Ridd by James Cook Uni are justified “Dr Ridd criticized scientific institutions, arguing that their work was not properly examined or replicated. Some scientists have become “emotionally attached to their subject,” he said. https://abc.net.au/news/2021-10-14/qld-peter-ridd-high-court-appeal-loss-academics-free-speech/100535328
Nobel Card winners, Angrist and Imbens not only discovered interesting things about the economy – they also made economics more like a science. [link]
Why is the latest candlelight event on campus different? [link]
The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has decided to award the 2021 prize #Nobel Prize in Physics for Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann and Giorgio Parisi “for their groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex physical systems.”
What is even considered scientific writing anymore? [link]
Science is politics, and we have to deal with it [link]
Who decides what is misinformation? The social science monoculture doubled. [link]
Think again: The power of knowing what you don’t know [link]
