The first Longshots column correctly predicted the tie between Quaise Khademi and Ijaz Ahmed at 16/1. It won’t always be so good. This week is a case in point. There are fewer wars to choose from and fewer possible underdogs.
However, we won’t be discouraged as there are still some interesting prices to look at.
The Longshot
Sooner or later, someone will catch Artur Betterbiev at the right time. The Russian-Canadian is now 37 years old and has been cutting weight to hit the light weight limit of 175 lbs for almost 8 years now. Some unaffiliated underdogs will eventually win the jackpot. There was a case made for Joe Smith that man; he has power in both hands, a solid chin and fights with high speed. However, the WBO champion was also there, the match against Beterbiev was certain to end in disaster.
For those who think Smith can win, the 10/1 odds available to him to do it by stopping must be appealing.
The more likely outcome, in my opinion, is that Beterbiev suspends Smith in the second half of the match.
Betfred is providing Boxing Social Bet Booster Service to Russians to win between 7-12 and 11/10 odds. That seems like good value to me, but it’s too short a price for this column. Beterbiev’s last three wins have all come in the 9s or 10s and I feel this game may be late. The IBF and WBC champs to win 7-9 are priced at 5/2, but the pick here is that Beterbiev will keep his opponent in the 10-12 range 10/3. Those odds translate to an implied probability of 23.1 percent. Given that three of Beterbiev’s last six games have ended in those frames, I feel 10/3 is a good price.
Pair
US Olympic athlete Troy Isley looks for his sixth win as a professional over Donte Stubbs.
Navy veteran Stubbs has made a living testing prospects on television cards and has remained unstoppable in his five losses. However, I feel Isley is on a level above the opponents Stubbs has faced so far. The highest ranked choose their athletes carefully and have a high success rate in guiding them.
world title registration. Isley picks his punches into the body well and I believe those hits will be the key to slowing Stubbs, before stopping the laner in the second half of the sixth round. I like Isley from 4-6 to 7/4.
Ireland player Keane McMahon hopes to turn his life around by reversing the odds against Jahyae Brown.
McMahon lost 10/1, lost 2/3 of the last match. There’s not a lot of gruesome footage of Brown, but from what I’ve seen, he’s not the most devastating puncher and is very comfortable on his hind legs. Those factors, in regards to McMahon being a fairly professional player, a 2/1 ratio for ranged teamfights of 2/1 is a good value.
If you like both bets, doubles are available at more than 7/1.
Treble
Robeisy Ramirez faces the biggest challenge of his professional career to date when he takes on the role of Abraham Nova. Ramirez eventually appeared to have developed into a good professional but got off to a slow start, following a distinguished amateur career. Nova herself is a solid fighter, but it feels like the Cubans are the better.
As Graham Houston stated in Weekend corner 2/1 on Ramirez to win in injury time seemed wide.
Add to that the double and treble this week at odds of more than 28/1.
