My new podcast addresses a question I get asked often. How ingenious is the future weather forecast?
The answer has radically changed over the past three decades, and I tell you why. Just to fuel the discussion, here’s a diagram of the National Weather Service’s (GFS) global modeling skillset for different lead times (blue bars). The skill holds up well for the first four days, but you should see a big drop in the second week. This plot also shows the skill of aggregate systems where multiple forecasts are made and averaged: the skill holds longer.
My podcast also provides weekend weather forecasts and tells you how far you can drive to experience the mid 70s! See below on how to access podcasts.
Some of the main podcast hosts:
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Notification
With COVID down, the department is starting public lectures and the first one was a very good one (see below). You must register to attend.
And Workshop on weather in the Northwest will take place (online) on May 7th. Information is this.
This meeting is open to everyone and covers the major weather events of the year, plus more. The June heatwave will be a major theme this year!
