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COP26 ends in utter failure – Frustrated by that?


Repost from NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW IT

By Paul Homewood

The United Nations climate agenda has finally reached its footing in Glasgow.

It almost happened in Copenhagen 12 years ago, when developing nations refused to limit their economic growth to please the West. Only the promise of hundreds of billions of dollars convinced them to take the trip.

The can again hit the market in 2015 in Paris, when developing countries were allowed to use the cart to reduce growing emissions.

But sooner or later, it’s time to act, not talk. And when it came to the crisis, developing nations rose up, led by India, China, South Africa and Iran. The induction paper is this provision in the Draft Agreement, which was presented to the conference yesterday:

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India along with a bunch of like-minded countries know that they cannot run their economy without coal and other fossil fuels, never mind growing them and eradicating poverty . Faced with the entire Agreement being lost, Alok Sharma and the UN organizers withdrew and replaced the words “remove” with “decrease“. Only one word was changed, but its effect was devastating to the Agreement.

Since there is no obligation to do any of this (hence the term “Call”), and no time scale is mentioned, India and the rest can interpret terms in any way they want. (By the way, non-degrading coal means where the carbon is not captured). In short, they would be able to burn all the coal they wanted, for as long as they wanted.

The rest of the Agreement is also pretty weak and ineffective. It’s full of terms like “to urge,” “to ask,” and “to invite,” which means there’s no obligation on anyone to do anything.

And all COP26 has really agreed on is to meet again next year and discuss things again.

In terms of Mitigation, i.e. reducing emissions, countries that have not yet submitted a new plan are required to do so next year. But if they haven’t done so yet, it’s highly unlikely that they’ll come up with anything meaningful next year.

The agreement will certainly “reaffirm” the 1.5C target. Politically, it couldn’t be helped. However, 1.5C was never an option, and was effectively started in Paris, when it was recognized that emissions would continue to rise until 2030. According to science, emissions would need to be cut in half this decade to reach 1.5 C, something that is clearly not remotely possible now.

The parties were also asked to return next year with enhanced targets. But again, what would the countries that just submitted new targets this year propose that are significantly different next year?

Then, of course, there’s money. There are many “urges” and “requirements” from developed countries to speak up:

But the bar has been raised, with the third world more demanding than ever. An important issue introduced at COP26 was that the need for developing countries to finance climate change adaptation should be increased at a reduced cost.

In other words, they don’t want money for solar panels. They want it to build resilience to climate change (weather they mean!).

Another blow to Western money claimants is their failure to adopt the Loss and Damage agenda. This is a silly claim that all weather disasters are caused by global warming, and therefore rich countries should pay the poor for every little bit of bad weather.

That’s too much for even Joe Biden to accept, as it will keep the West swept away forever. The Treaty of Glasgow effectively kicked off the matter, only promising more negotiations at some point in the future.

Naturally, supporters of the UN agenda, such as the BBC, have tried to get the best out of the bad job, claiming that “progress has been made”. Matt McGrath silly calls it “ambitious” and “progressive”.

Some have even claimed that the 1.5C target is still alive. For example, Chris Stark, Executive Director of the Committee on Climate Change stated:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-59253838/page/6

This shows how out of touch he is with reality. Living in his little bubble, he seems to think the rest of the world shares the same obsession with climate change.

But as the Climate Action Monitor reaffirms, emissions will continue to rise, despite new plans submitted to COP26:

https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/

End of the road.

In my view, we have seen the beginning of the end for the United Nations climate agenda.

There will certainly be many more COPs to come. And there will be annual warnings from Prince Charles that we have 12 months left to save the planet.

But the writing is now on the wall. The developing countries of the world are standing up and refusing to cut fossil fuels, because they know they have no alternative if they want to develop their economies and give their people a better life. .

They got off the Climate Train.

So are we.



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