By Charles Jay
My quick fight between Canelo Alvarez and Dmitry Bivol is that we are looking at something that will go the distance. And then we can start from there. I don’t know if Bivol is thinking of a knockout win. That was clearly not his strategy in defending his recent WBA lightweight title. His last six games have come a long way, and he won them all with ease by decision.
You should also pay attention to the scorecards. He won those games by an average of 25.7 points, spread across three judges’ scorecards. That’s 8.6 points per card. And that really tells us some of the story here.
It was clear that he had complete control over those bouts. What do you think of the possibility that this relatively upright fighter will just stand there and cut open Canelo’s stomach and just write the same script round after round? Now mind you, I’m not saying Alvarez is going to go out there and attract him; After all, Bivol is a legitimate light weight class, and Canelo, 5 foot-8 and moving up from where he’s at his most comfortable weight, isn’t necessarily someone I’d expect to control. this war by force.
But he doesn’t really have to. He can control the fight with action. And you know what I mean when I say it. You often hear announcers talk about one of the gladiators having to be “busier”. More activity usually translates to more points on the card. From what I’ve seen of him, Bivol doesn’t judge me as someone who will have a high workload, at least in terms of things that will keep Canelo steady after his punches. I think he likes to keep his distance between himself and the opponent, go out and pick the positions he wants to be in. He defends well, so he has that for him.
But will he be so cornered by these opponents? Does he have to give his all for all or most of the twelve innings? The indications are that this has not happened. And I can imagine something else happening to Canelo.
Alvarez unleashes body punches, which is a point in his favor. That can happen, especially if he’s looking to lower and take Bivol’s punches. And what I see in visualizing this fight is that Canelo might actually be the busier boxer. And Bivol might not have enough firepower to really cost him when he gets inside. Going up against other heavyweights, perhaps Artur Betterbiev, could be a different story. But I don’t know that Bivol might be thinking any other way than that he intends to send a letter to Alvarez.
That being said, I’m looking for this to get through 10.5 laps and I’m using a -275 rate for that. Instead of placing – 525 on Alvarez (your price may vary), I will use the exact same winning method as we have seen – 165 on Canelo to win a decision (you can do well Moreover).
That’s my story, and I’m sticking with it.