The weather is shaping up to be exactly as planned by the Canadian men’s national team as Mexico visits Edmonton for the all-important World Cup qualifiers. The snow will subside on Tuesday night, but El Tri will still be greeted by single-digit temperatures at Commonwealth Stadium for a game that could see the Canadians overtake Mexico in the rankings. .
Canada has scheduled two home qualifiers for November in Edmonton hoping the weather will give them a decisive home advantage. The setup went live on Friday in a 1-0 win over Costa Rica. A second straight home win over the favorites for one of the three automatic berths would greatly increase Canada’s chances of qualifying for its first World Cup since 1986. And if it goes up to the powerhouse years in the Mexico region, it will legitimize Canada as a new CONCACAF force.
While Canada is fueling enthusiasm that is building around its unbeaten record so far in qualifying – even Prime Minister Justin Trudeau visits the team the day before the Mexico game – El Tri fans questioned the status of their team after a deflationary shutdown before eternal rival the United States. What seemed like a smooth qualifying campaign can quickly turn into a nightmare for Mexico, coach Gerardo “Tata” Martino with the loss to Canada. Martino had to deal with questions of resignation after only his first loss in qualifying.
The Canadian side won’t feel that a win is too far away from how they played against Mexico in the CONCACAF Gold Cup semi-finals (losing 2-1 at the end of the game) and in the October qualifying draw at the Stadium. Azteca of Mexico City (1-1). Les Rouges played with personality in both games, and their pace poses serious problems for a Mexican team that could finish calendar year 2021 in fourth place if results don’t go their way.
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How to watch Canada vs. Mexico in America
- Day: Tuesday, November 16
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: Telemundo
- Streaming online: fuboTV, Paramount +
The World Cup qualifier between Canada and Mexico from Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium will be broadcast on Telemundo (Spanish) and broadcast on fuboTV, available for new users 7 days free trial.
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Canada vs. Mexico: Lineup
Canada coach John Herdman rarely repeats the lineup in consecutive games. A change of formation is also possible against Mexico, from a 4-4-2 to a 3-5-2 suitable for Mexico’s three-man attack, which is believed to be El Tri’s strength.
Canada’s expected lineup (3-5-2, left to right): Milan Borjan-GK – Kamal Miller, Doneil Henry, Alistair Johnston – Alphonso Davies, Mark-Anthony Kaye, Stephen Eustaquio, Jonathan Osorio, Tajon Buchanan – Jonathan David, Cyle Larin
Sub-projected Canada (12): Maxime Crepeau-GK, James Pantemis-GK, Derek Cornelius, Steven Vitoria, Samuel Adekugbe, Atiba Hutchinson, Samuel Piette, Richie Laryea, David Wotherspoon, Lucas Cavallini, Liam Millar, Ike Ugbo
There was much talk in the Mexican media that El Tri could go with his own 3-4-3 formation. Mexico regains midfielder Nestor Araujo after suspension; he will probably join Johan Vasquez and Julio Cesar “Cata” Dominguez in a back three. Club America right-back Jorge Sanchez is seen as a likely replacement for Luis “Chaka” Rodriguez, who struggled against the US, and Orbelin Pineda is a candidate to replace the bridge. Unfit attacker Jesus Manuel “Tecatito” Corona.
Mexico’s expected lineup (3-4-3, left to right): Guillermo Ochoa-GK – Johan Vasquez, Julio Cesar “Cata” Dominguez, Nestor Araujo – Jesus Gallardo, Edson Alvarez, Hector Herrera, Jorge Sanchez – Orbelin Pineda, Raul Jimenez, Hirving “Chucky” Lozano
Mexican Sub (12): Rodolfo Cota-GK, Alfredo Talavera-GK, Hector Moreno, Luis “Chaka” Rodriguez, Gilberto “Tiba” Sepulveda, Osvaldo Rodriguez, Andres Guardado, Luis Romo, Carlos “Charly” Rodriguez, Roberto “Piojo” Alvarado, Jesus Manuel “Tecatito” “Corona, Henry Martin, Rogelio Funes Mori
Canada vs Mexico: Odds & Predictions
Odds by DraftKings
The truth is that Canada is not threatened by Mexico. Their players have proven it with their play in the previous two games against El Tri this year. If frigid conditions could keep Tata Martino’s players out and crowds could be a factor, then just one shocking and non-specific performance could put the Canadians out.
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Even if the Canadians had an extra day or their finish was not, a draw would still be realistic across the board and wouldn’t be a disastrous outcome for either side. If you are looking to profit on a win or draw in Canada, that is a double chance for Canada you are after (price – 225). Obviously there’s a bigger chance of a return in a Canada no-bet draw (-110), but you’re pushing into a draw. The Asian Pick is essentially no tie, but it’s a bit better priced at -105.
Pick: Canada PK Asia Handicap (-105)
Guess: Canada 1, Mexico 0
- Cash flow: Canada +175 / Draw +200 / Mexico +165
- Transmitted: Canada +0.5 (-220) / Mexico -0.5 (+160)
- Total goals is O/U 2.5: Above +135 / Below -175
- Both teams scored: Yes -110 / No -120
