Weather

Can you trust machine learning chat apps for weather information?


From Cliff Mass’s Weather Blog

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Nowadays, machine learning (ML) applications such as chatGPT are very popular, making people worry about human substitution, bogus homework, etc.

So, I couldn’t help but be curious when evaluating OpenAI’s chatGPT capabilities in the field of meteorology.

My conclusion: human meteorologists don’t have much to worry about right now.

ChatGPT can produce sensible prose that’s usually completely wrong.

For example, I asked it about the origin of the extremely important region of convergence Puget Sound (see below).

According to the conversation, the GPT convergence zone occurs when oceanic air collides with drier air from the eastern part of Washington State. Wrong. Puget acoustic convergence occurs when sea air moves around the Olympics and then converges (combines) east of the Games, pushing the air upward (and thus creating clouds). and rain). Not for chatGPT

Then I thought I’d give it an easy… why is Bellingham so cold. The answer is that cold air from within can escape out of the Fraser River Valley, a low-level passage through the Cascades. ChatGPT gave a crazy answer regarding the rain shadow of the local mountain ranges. Totally unreal.

Then I asked about why there is often cold air in Columbia Gorge. Another easy way.

Fact: The low-water Columbia Gorge acts as a conduit for cold air near sea level from eastern Washington. But chatGPT has other ideas, from the altitude (it was wrong 180°), rain shadow and cold air escaping from Gorge’s flank. Very bad explanation.

Extremely frustrated, I decided to give chatGPT an even easier question: create my profile.

Mostly wrong. It says I was born in 1951 (false) in Brooklyn (false) and I grew up in Great Neck, NY. (wrong). That’s how I got my Ph. from MIT (SAI…I graduated from UW). And many other “facts” have been confused.

In short, chatGPT’s performance is generally quite poor and one has to be VERY careful before believing its often convincing prose.

Finally, I asked chatGPT to write a weather blog for me and I’m happy to help (see below). I’ll let you, my reader, decide if it’s good enough to take over.

By the way, a lot of it was wrong.

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