Can Doomsayers explain? – Is it good?

By Vijay Jayaraj

With ice cover in July and August still above the 10-year 2010-20 average, summer sea ice levels in the Arctic have astounded experts, who had predicted such levels as can not.

This is in stark contrast to the dominant climate narrative that predicts summer ice loss in the Arctic. Some politicians have even stated that areas of the Arctic will be ice-free for the time being.

Given that the Arctic is technically seasonally melting, it can be concluded that the amount of ice in the summer of 2022 is already greater than the 10-year average. On most days in July and August, sea level is above the 10-year average and significantly more than a few years earlier.

Japan’s National Polar Research Institute provides a helpful visualization in the chart below. This year’s Arctic sea ice – shown in red – was compared with the 10-year average and the levels of the previous few years, including 2012 when the ice reached its lowest point in the period tracked .

Data on sea ice extent in square kilometers in the Arctic Ocean from June 2002 to present and decadent averages for the 1980s, 1990s, 2000s and 2010s are included.
Source: National Polar Research Institute,

According to the Danish Meteorological Institute, the extent of sea ice in the Arctic sea is much larger than in the past five years as shown in a nearby chart.

The extent of ice in the Arctic sea

Source: Danish Meteorological Institute,

Summer temperatures in the Arctic remain at roughly the same level as the 1958-2002 44 average, with no discernible increase in warming. In the graph, the temperature is shown on the Kelvin scale; the blue horizontal line is freezing, or 0 degrees Celsius and 32 degrees Fahrenheit.

Average daily temperature and climate north of the 80th parallel as a function of the day of the year. Source: Danish Meteorological Institute,

Now, here’s the big question: Why couldn’t internationally acclaimed climate scientists predict this stark increase in summer sea ice levels? Is it because their overall approach favors the theory that carbon dioxide is warming the planet to dangerous levels? Or is their model incapable of predicting future temperatures?

The answer must come from the apocalypse themselves. They need to explain why summer temperatures in the Arctic are no different from the 44-year average and why summer sea ice is above the decadent average.

Acknowledging that we still don’t fully understand the complex climate system will discredit scientists and political organizations in promoting destructive energy policies that address the disaster fantasy. climate disaster.

The melting of the Arctic ice has been used as a key data point in justifying the restrictive energy policies adopted by many countries. It’s ironic – and infuriating – that millions around the world are suffering from high energy prices and power outages at the same time as Arctic sea ice is at its largest level in five years!

Europe is facing rapidly rising electricity prices and natural gas shortages. People in the US are suffering from high energy prices as their access to cheap fossil fuels is limited by the government’s fascination with solar and wind power. China is looking for ways to minimize power outages. All of this could have been avoided if political leaders hadn’t pushed for the wrong climate emergency.

It makes no sense to force people to live in the dark in the name of climate policy when policymakers themselves have so little understanding of the warming and cooling mechanisms of the planet. Acknowledge the dawn of climate science and free people from energy tyranny.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Research Associate of the CO2 Alliance, Arlington, Va., and holds a master’s degree in environmental science from the University of East Anglia, UK. He resides in Bengaluru, India.

This comment is the first Published at American Thinker August 30, 2022.


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