Stickers at hand out to voters at a polling station arrange at Capital One Area for the upcoming 2020 basic elections.
Yegor Aleyev | TASS | Getty Pictures
There’s been a big decline over the previous yr in voters who suppose their vote shall be counted precisely, a pattern pushed primarily by Republicans — most of whom nonetheless believe false claims that President Joe Biden did not legitimately win the 2020 election, in line with a brand new NBC News poll.
Two-thirds of all registered voters, 66 p.c, say they’re assured their vote shall be counted precisely, down from 85 p.c in October 2020. And 29 p.c say they don’t seem to be assured that their vote shall be counted precisely sooner or later, in comparison with 11 p.c who mentioned the identical a yr in the past.
Whereas Democrats have stayed regular on the problem (89 p.c say they’re assured their vote shall be counted precisely), Republicans’ confidence within the vote has fallen dramatically as former President Donald Trump has spent a lot of the previous yr making baseless and false claims about fraud within the 2020 presidential election.
Final yr, 84 p.c of Republicans mentioned they have been assured within the vote depend, about on par with Democrats. However now, 41 p.c of Republicans share that view, whereas 50 p.c say they don’t seem to be assured their vote shall be counted precisely.
There’s been a slight uptick in mistrust amongst independents, too — from 84 p.c assured and 13 p.c not assured in October 2020 to 76 p.c assured and 22 p.c not assured now.
Simply 22 p.c of Republican adults imagine that Biden was elected legitimately, whereas 71 p.c of independents and 93 p.c of Democrats mentioned they imagine that Biden’s election was reliable.
General, 58 p.c of adults imagine Biden was legitimately elected, whereas 38 p.c say he was not. Majorities of most demographic teams imagine within the legitimacy of Biden’s election. However simply 35 p.c of rural voters, 42 p.c of whites and not using a school diploma and 21 p.c of these not vaccinated in opposition to Covid-19 say Biden’s election was reliable.
As compared, after the contested 2000 presidential election in Florida was finally determined by the Supreme Court docket in a call that decided the winner, the general public’s belief within the legitimacy of the presidential election dipped to the same level.
From January 2001, when he was inaugurated, to that November, the portion of adults who mentioned President George W. Bush’s election was reliable went from 55 p.c to 58 p.c, with the portion who felt it was not reliable dropping, from 39 p.c to 35 p.c.
Over that point, the overwhelming majority of Republicans (nearly 90 p.c) mentioned that Bush’s election was reliable, however the portion of Democrats who mentioned the identical grew from 20 p.c to 32 p.c by November.
The NBC News poll was performed Oct. 23-26 of 1,000 adults — 650 of whom have been reached solely by cellphone — and it has an total margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 proportion factors.
The margin of error for the ballot’s 820 registered voters is plus-minus 3.4 proportion factors.
